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NYCTK

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Everything posted by NYCTK

  1. NYCTK
    He's one rehab start from returning and has had a 3.80 ERA over 300 IP the last two seasons. I'd take him over any of Dobnak Festa or even Paddack, and possibly even SWR the remainder of the season if we're being completely honest.
  2. NYCTK
    He's upside. He's a lottery ticket. Twins got a nickel for 5 pennies.
  3. NYCTK
    Honestly, the ownership is one of the worst in professional sports. This self imposed salary penalty they've placed on themselves right when they're ready to make waves has completely hamstrung the team. I hope Carlos chews them out. To cope with my frustration I'm going to the Mets game tonight, in full Mets gear.
  4. NYCTK
    This idea that the Rangers are looking to sell Eovaldi is a three week old idea. They sit 4 games behind in the AL West and 7.5 from the 3rd WC. And they aren't in a rebuild phase, so why would they make their 2025 team weaker? They'd have to get blown away with an offer. We're talking Brooks Lee, minimum.
  5. NYCTK
    I was lucky enough to be able to travel up to Cooperstown from my home in NYC. It's hard to overstate just how important that childhood favorite player is. I couldn't miss the once in a lifetime opportunity.
  6. NYCTK
    Best roided up reliever outside of Gagne.
  7. NYCTK
    Not only would this be a terrible trade for the Twins, I doubt the Red Sox are really interested in adding an obstruction to the player they believe will be their 2B for 4+ years in Grissom.
  8. NYCTK
    26 isn't really young developing talent anymore. It's typically the start of peak.
  9. NYCTK
    That's fine. I'm not saying to give up on him. But no team is lining up to trade for him.
  10. NYCTK
    Nah, he's better than that. He's not quite a AAAA player. He isn't a true starter though. I think the Twins would be wise not to count on him as such long-term.
  11. NYCTK
    I know! I'm a fan of him in general. He was so good last year, and I hope he has found some fix to his swing and continues to produce at an 880 OPS for 2 or 3 years to come. But if we're being honest, he's not one of those players that profiles as a consistent staple in a roster. His two best comps with the bat might be Mark Reynolds and Miguel Sano. Those players combined for a total 1.2 WAR after their age 26 season. Another positive comp might be someone like Russell Branyan who stuck around the league for a while, hitting 230/330/490 fairly consistently, good enough to hold a major league job but never quite good enough with the bat or glove to hold down a starting spot on any good teams. A solid, 4th OF, DH/PH guy. All told, I feel like that's Wallner's best case scenario.
  12. NYCTK
    I've noticed the same. But I'm actually a big supporter. I want to see him do well. He was obviously not right at the start of the season, striking out in half his plate appearances. It's also important to recognize his limitations though. I want to see him continue to be a 130-140 OPS+ guy, but even when he does his defense and position restricts him to being a 3 Win player basically. Whereas Julien could have (and potentially still could be) more like a 5 win player building on last year's production.
  13. NYCTK
    Because it's his big weakness, and him being successful versus fluky is going to largely be tied into that K rate. He's been great in this 26 PA stretch, but that's with a .600 BABIP. If he were putting more balls in play this type of production wouldn't appear to be quite as unsustainable as it does right now. Over 400 PAs, the difference between a 40% K rate and a 32% K rate is 32 balls in play. And for Wallner that means something like 2 more dingers, 2 more walks, and another 10 or so hits scattered about.
  14. NYCTK
    Yeah, a bat only player with a career OPS+ of 100 at the age of 26 isn't exactly going to get much attention. He's a waiver wire reclamation project. Not an asset.
  15. NYCTK
    No one's saying he's Aaron Judge. But he's not a complete bum either. I don't trust him much going forward because even though he's hot that K rate is still north of 35%, but if you think BA is super important while OBP or OPS is meaningless, we're just never going to agree so we can leave it here.
  16. NYCTK
    I'll be driving up to Cooperstown for the ceremony. Can't wait.
  17. NYCTK
    The guy with a career 132 OPS+. Fact is he has had a complete turnaround from the start of the season but you've been too busy to notice.
  18. NYCTK
    They instantly identified he needed some work and sent him down so early that his putrid start has already been made up for, sitting with a 132 OPS+ at the all-star break. Good for him! Hope he can keep his mindset right and continue to produce, especially since Larnach seems to have come back to earth and isn't really pulling his weight anymore.
  19. NYCTK
    The sad fact is, no we don't actually. If SWR or Paddack run out of gas, we're left without a real good option to step into the rotation. Another go for Festa or Varland, which isn't going to kill the team but is a real risk for the rest of the season. And we just DFA'd the 3rd(?) man in that pecking order. Unless you're talking about future seasons, which I can see, but hoping the depth at AA materializes into a #4 by next season is a bit of a high wish too.
  20. NYCTK
    Getting to the playoffs is my biggest concern too. Which is why a 6th starter is way more important in my mind. If we get to the point that SWR or Paddack just run out of gas (or god forbid an injury) we're stuck with Boushley/Varland/Festa/Dobnak and that's basically giving away a game every 5 days. And I just feel like this need is inevitable.
  21. NYCTK
    I do understand the desire, but the type of relievers in FA that you wish them to go after are so expensive: Chapman - 10.5M Hader - 19M for 5yrs Kimbrel - 13M Robertson - 11.5M Neris - 9M even Pagan - 8M for 2yrs! Cause after looking at those top and second rung tiers of reliever, we're looking at the likes of: Dylan Floro, Jake Diekman, Andrew Chafin, and...Josh Staumont
  22. NYCTK
    That's fair, I think my concern comes in that I don't trust Larnach either. And I guess I prefer to have Kepler due to the old adage 'defense doesn't slump'.
  23. NYCTK
    Ok, but he's going to be back soon, and there's nothing to suggest he won't be effective. Nothing more than any other reliever we could acquire from outside the organization. We don't have to pretend as though he's dead either.
  24. NYCTK
    You're probably right. Drake looks like a floor of good backup. They're also pretty weak at SS. Toss in Farmer... That does make the Braves better this season, but the Twins don't get enough for this year. The downgrade from Max to Wallner is greater than the improvement from Minter over the 3 headed Lefty mess they got going on now. But it frees up 3 mil in salary they could use to acquire elsewhere? Idk man, I'm just sitting in my office running out the clock to the weekend...
  25. NYCTK
    Actually, Braves need a RF too Braves acquire Kepler Twins acquire Drake Baldwin and AJ Minter I don't know that I like that either, but it's fun to look.
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