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Woof Bronzer

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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer

  1. Woof Bronzer
    The family is running out of toys to let him play with...
  2. Woof Bronzer
    I read it more as "Twins fans don't deserve a first class stadium because they don't give my family enough money."
  3. Woof Bronzer
    It's especially weird because Tom thinks the Twin Cities market can't support a first class ballpark, whatever that means. An interesting comment considering the Pohlad family spent years saying they needed a first class ballpark to win. A case of "I was lying then, I'm telling the truth now" I suppose. Tom Pohlad pointed to what he said is an unfavorable economic model for small- and middle-market MLB teams like the Twins. In such markets, revenues “don’t necessarily support” amenities like a first-class ballpark at Target Field or consistently putting a high-performing team together.
  4. Woof Bronzer
    Unless the business is so inherently profitable, and franchise values never ever decrease, that it doesn't matter who is running things. The investors don't want to win baseball games or become long term owners. They want to make fast profit and get out.
  5. Woof Bronzer
    Thanks for the explanation, I had no idea defensive analytics were that silly.
  6. Woof Bronzer
    I'd be a bit cautious in celebrating. Here's what Tommy Boy said a couple months ago. Nothing screams "we are committed to turning things around" like making excuses for the market, crying poverty, lying about the source of your debt, and then blaming fans who dare question the commitment of an ownership group who took the most successful Twins playoff run in decades and decided to "rightsize" the team down to one of the worst teams in MLB.
  7. Woof Bronzer
    Well if you believe some of the folks around here Leipold just invested in a business that loses millions every year, and the investors invested a bunch of money in a losing business without wanting a voice in how that failing business is run. Thoughts and prayers for these ill advised investors!
  8. Woof Bronzer
    Publicly known data proves this isn't accurate. You stated their gate was $84 mill. Their revenue share is $200 mil. That's $284m in revenue without factoring in tv, radio, advertising, merchandise, naming rights, all the other ways pro sports teams get revenue. You think all of that totals $8.4 mil in revenue? I don't. You seem to be doing an awful lot of work trying to prove, without actual data, that MLB teams lose money. I'm legitimately curious as to why?
  9. Woof Bronzer
    This seems to be a fan blog from the mid 2000s. The Pittsburgh Gazette did an actual investigation into the numbers. I trust the work of actual journalists a bit more than whatever "DK's Grind Feed" is, sorry.
  10. Woof Bronzer
    It's in the same Tribune article. $200m for rev share alone. Assuming there's TV money, radio, advertising, etc on top of it. $210m in revenue is almost certainly light. I appreciate the work you've done on the costs but the truth is it's just a guess, we have no idea. If teams like the Pirates and Twins want to cry poverty there's a simple solution: open up the books. What do they have to hide? This results in each team taking in 3.3 per cent of the total—an estimated $110 million USD, if not more. Teams also receive a share of national revenues, totalling around $90 million USD per team.
  11. Woof Bronzer
    Is this actually a thing? The Twins put time and effort into manipulating defensive stats? For what purpose?
  12. Woof Bronzer
    If it's that easy to turn someone into a good defensive 1B, why has Falvey literally never developed a MLB 1B? If it's that easy to turn someone into a good defensive 1B then the Bell move is extra terrible. The Twins should just put Wallner or Larnach or any of their 17 outfielders there and save the $7m for bullpen help. Or put one of the kids there to give them MLB at bats.
  13. Woof Bronzer
    You're right, I misstated the facts. The article clearly says the Pirates were able to cover payroll alone with the gate. But the article also says this does not include revenue sharing and tv deals. They get at least $210m in revenue share not to mention tv or advertising or anything else. So even by your $171m expenses math (which is a guess, no one knows) the Pirates have enough revenue in this area to be profitable as well. Based on this I think it's accurate to say the Pirates are quite profitable.
  14. Woof Bronzer
    Nostalgia is a powerful drug!
  15. Woof Bronzer
    Sure, but the short term 1B issue is not the difference between this team competing in 2026 or not. They could put Juan Soto there and he's not turning this into a playoff team. Paying a washed up vet on a 1 year deal and hope he bumps us from 65 wins to 66 is pointless.
  16. Woof Bronzer
    I think you misread me. I don't think they should be deluding themselves into competing, because this is a bad roster that keeps showing us they aren't good enough. I want the FO to be honest about the roster and commit to a rebuild that will start us on the path to being actually, truly competitive in a couple years.
  17. Woof Bronzer
    If you are trying to compete, spending $10m - maybe half your free agent budget - on a 1 WAR player is as terrible as spending $7m on a 0.6 WAR player. In order to compete the Twins need to find serious value. Signing Bell or Arraez is nibbling at the edges, an approach that led to a disastrous 2024 and an embarrassing 2025. I'll keep saying it. In order to compete the Twins need to add 25+ wins to this roster. Guys like Bell and Arraez don't do that.
  18. Woof Bronzer
    The comparison isn't weak grounder to 2nd (the batter isn't trying to ground out) vs K, it's putting the ball in play vs K. If you put the ball in play you have about a 30% chance (BABIP) of avoiding an out - some of those weak grounders will squeak through. If you strike out you have about a .01% chance of avoiding an out. Hitters are about 10x more likely to get a hit on a ball in play than GIDP. Not doing something to avoid the much rarer bad outcome, and thus sacrificing the much more common good outcome, is a poor strategy. If the goal is to avoid outs - and I agree that it is - putting the ball in play is a much, much better strategy.
  19. Woof Bronzer
    Play the kids. Build toward something better. Do something different.
  20. Woof Bronzer
    Ah yes, as opposed to the much more mature way of looking at the situation by constructing straw men (nobody has ever said it's some easy magic fix; nobody has ever said Falvey loves losing) and insulting those who disagree with you. Thanks for being the adult, great job!
  21. Woof Bronzer
    I don't love WAR either and don't like using WAR as the be all end all, which I admit I am doing a bit here. But it's a reasonable shorthand for position players and I'm not seeing anything in Bell's numbers to indicate WAR is underselling his talents. But if WAR is an outlier and his other analytics point to him being an above average player, by all means, share the data. In this instance I'd prefer to be wrong!
  22. Woof Bronzer
    Unfortunately, the Twins plan is to find an additional 25 wins from last year's roster, so it's the ceiling that needs to be raised, not the floor, and wasting precious resources on a washed up AAAA player most definitely doesn't do that.
  23. Woof Bronzer
    durable middle-of-the-order bat This is an interesting way to describe a player who has been sub-replacement level over the past 3 years.
  24. Woof Bronzer
    Yeah I'm not a fan of Clemens at all, he's a utility player at best but some here are desperate to turn him into a legitimate talent. Serious "contenders" do not platoon replacement level players like Bell/Clemens at a premium offensive position.
  25. Woof Bronzer
    Bell was a 0.4 WAR player in 25, -0.6WAR in 24, and -0.1 WAR in 23. I am using 3 bad years to reject a player. Is that enough?
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