Woof Bronzer
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Everything posted by Woof Bronzer
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It appears there was a grand total of 1 article about Bradley in the offseason. Definitely some comments calling for the BP, but majority seemed to be in the "give him a shot to start" variety.
- 64 replies
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- taj bradley
- griffin jax
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Sure, but I'm going to want more than a couple decent starts from Bradley before I declare him an ace. His problem has been consistency/meatballs and it's too early to say he's eliminated those issues.
- 64 replies
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- taj bradley
- griffin jax
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A little early to hang the "We won this trade" banner, but early 2026 returns are very positive. I like watching Bradley pitch.
- 64 replies
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- taj bradley
- griffin jax
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Sure they can. Prospects are always just that. There are thousands of examples of highly rated draftees busting out. And thousands of examples of guys who dominate the minors but can't put it together in MLB (there's even a name for these guys: AAAA players.) Does Brooks Lee look like a top 100 player to you? Quick, name a good MLB SS who was slow. had limited range, and couldn't hit. It isn't his fault that he was asked to start? At the position he was drafted to play? What???? There are millions of players who would give up everything they have for a starting MLB SS position. Poor Brooks Lee, how unfair for him to be expected to do the thing he's dreamed about since he was a kid!
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I mean, SS is a pretty important position on a baseball team...are you saying Lee's performance shouldn't be mentioned anymore? Or should we pretend that he's better than he is? "It's not fair to criticize poor performance" is something you hear from loser organizations, so it fits with the Twins, but I guess I don't understand the benefit of ignoring bad performance from critical positions. This entire organization needs more accountability, not less.
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Is there evidence that the Twins are telling guys if they strike out they'll get demoted? I agree, that would be ill advised.
- 47 replies
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- game recap
- mick abel
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I think Wallner is fine, a one tool player but it's a valuable tool, especially given his contract. Teams like the Twins are never going to compete for the big free agent sluggers, so they need to identify and leverage cost-effective alternatives. I also think his absolute ceiling is, what, 3 WAR? And his floor is AAA? I mean, it just seems weird to get worked up one way or the other about guys like Matt Wallner. It really must be the Forest Lake thing.
- 48 replies
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- matt wallner
- simeon woods richardson
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It's professional sports. You ARE under a microscope, always. Literally every single thing every player does on the field is recorded, viewed, analyzed. Baseball statistics are robust and easily available. Teams know every single detail about a player's approach, off the field training, diet/nutrition, etc. If an MLB player isn't good enough there are 10,000 players ready to take their place. If you don't feel like you're under a microscope you're probably not going to last very long in the league. Brooks Lee should feel like he is playing for his career as an MLB starter right now. Royce Lewis should feel the same. Baseball is not an office job. Accountability is good.
- 47 replies
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- game recap
- mick abel
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You know I respect you greatly...but I feel like you have much higher standards than crediting the team for not giving up on the season by April 6.
- 48 replies
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- matt wallner
- simeon woods richardson
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Is it his fault that he struck out in the 9th as the game winning run? 46%Ks, -0.1 WAR so far. Oh and I checked, his wRC+ is 97. Are any of these things his fault? Matt Wallner breaks brains.
- 48 replies
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- matt wallner
- simeon woods richardson
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It never stops amusing me when a guy with Fire Dan Gladden as his avatar complains about everyone being so negative all the time.
- 46 replies
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- victor caratini
- ryan jeffers
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Matt Wallner Has Made the Right Adjustment
Woof Bronzer replied to Matthew Trueblood's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
You understand that wRC+ isn't an actual statistic, right? It's some guy's attempt to measure offensive value by weighting what he most values in hitters by normalizing the data (removing all context) and guessing what would have happened if the games were played in a vacuum against robots in a way that spits out 100 as average. It's not hard data. Doesn't mean it isn't useful, but wRC+ is a formula, not a fact. Here's how easy this is. Kody Clemens had 1.2 WAR last year, Wallner had 0.6. Numbers clearly say Clemens is twice as good as Wallner, right? End of conversation, if you don't think so you hate math. -
Matt Wallner Has Made the Right Adjustment
Woof Bronzer replied to Matthew Trueblood's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
Yes, that's what everyone here is saying, Aaron Judge and Cal Raleigh are the same as Matt Wallner and they should all be cut. Brilliant. -
Matt Wallner Has Made the Right Adjustment
Woof Bronzer replied to Matthew Trueblood's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
It's always entertaining to see what passes for a meaningful sample size for the sabermetric crowd. If the sabermetric produces a result that goes against sabermetric gospel, it's simply hand waved away as a small sample size. Conversely if the sabermetric produces a result that aligns with sabermetric gospel, sample size simply isn't mentioned. Wallner has 17 PAs in 2026. He's batting .143 with a .650 OPS. (Full disclosure, I'm not sure what his wRC+ is so far, which seems to be the metric that the sabermetric crowd have decided is the only one that matters when evaluating Wallner. I'm sure it's fantastic.) Might be juuuuuuust a bit early to proclaim Mission Accomplished. I've said many times I think Wallner is neither the worst Twin to ever suit up, nor a misunderstood All Star caliber slugger. The fact that a 28 year old one tool player with less than 5 career WAR conjures up such intense passion amongst fans is really fascinating. His top 2 bRef comps are Jon Nunnally and, lol, Oswaldo Arcia. I'd have to go back and look but I doubt there were 500 articles written about Oswaldo Arcia. -
Twins Fall to Bottom of The Athletic’s Hope-O-Meter
Woof Bronzer replied to Cody Christie's topic in Minnesota Twins Talk
Tom has publicly demanded that he be judged on results this year. It is going to be fascinating to see how he handles this season as a leader. It will tell me a lot about what hope I have for the future. In my career I have observed that it's easy to be a CEO when times are good; how a CEO navigates adversity tells you what you need to know. And by the looks of it there will be plenty of opportunities to navigate adversity in 2026. -
Even better yet I'd say managers should take both historical data into account as well as the current game situation, and make decisions appropriately. The decision might be different tomorrow, and that's ok! They might be different in the 2nd inning vs the 8th inning. It's really ok. The idea that we should never sacrifice to get one run because the historical likelihood of getting 2 runs is like 8% lower by doing so is brain melting logic. But that's modern baseball I guess.
- 80 replies
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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What would be the win expectancy if the Twins got a run there vs. if they didn't?
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- joe ryan
- byron buxton
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Fans who pretend "what's happening outside of baseball" didn't have an impact on the WBC are projecting their feelings too. Sometimes baseball can't be reduced to a series of formulas. Human emotions matter. And that's a good thing.
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- joe ryan
- mark derosa
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Fair point and I usually hate the "they just wanted it more" narrative. But man watching USA sleepwalk through that game vs Venezuela's high energy it sure seemed like that game meant more to them. Which probably should have been expected given the recent...geopolitical events in Venezuela.
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- joe ryan
- mark derosa
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Holding Venezuela to 3 runs should have been plenty for this roster. USA lost the game because Venezuela wanted it more, played harder, hit better, pitched better, ran the bases better, played great D, didn't get rattled by the Harper homer, and flat out earned it. They were unquestionably the better team last night in every aspect of the game and Joe Ryan wouldn't have changed that.
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- joe ryan
- mark derosa
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