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Bradfoot

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Everything posted by Bradfoot

  1. Bradfoot
    Hosmer is not included
  2. Bradfoot
    Padres would pay the Hosmer Contract for 23, 24, and 25. The Nationals would only pay the remainder of this years salary of the deal. Not a bad player to have playing for free.
  3. Bradfoot
    I don't think the trade calculators are capable of valuing a potential future trade properly. For instance, Miami does not need to trade Lopez. There is no urgency for that. Larnach and Steer may seem like an even trade to the calculators but does that trade value convince Miami to sell someone that they have no reason to sell? I don't think so. I think a seller trading a highly regarded player with 2.5 years of cheap control would be reasonable to expect to "win" the trade by a fairly wide margin. It would take more than Larnach/Steer to get Lopez.
  4. Bradfoot
    I don't really see Miami parting with a great starter that still has 2 full years left. They could find a corner outfielder of Larnach's caliber much easier than replacing Lopez. They want to be competitive next season and I believe Lopez would be a big part of that. I think odds are better of them finding an extension for Lopez in the next 2.5 years instead of trading him. I could see him getting a deal similar to what they gave Sandy Alcantara last offseason, buy out the arb years and get 2-3 additional years.
  5. Bradfoot
    The 13th ammendment does have to do with this since you saying the consequence of breach of contract is forced servitude. The 13th ammendment does not allow that behavior. If there was a breach of contract it would be more of a early termination fee or barring him from working for a competitor which I don't think they can do in this case since it is not another pro baseball team. Finding a substitute is nowhere close to impossible. Even if the Twins did not promote the most logical person (the assistant), there are hundreds of candidates available. If the Twins wanted to go the college route again they can talk to any of those that just finished their season. There are also hundreds of past pitching coaches out of work, former players that would like an opportunity to coach, etc. Making the argument that Wes Johnson is the only person in the world that can be our pitching coach next week is not at all true. "During a pennant race" is also not true. We have not met the halfway point of the season yet. He cannot be forced to finish the season, there may be a penalty for ending the contract early but there is no legal method of forcing him to coach the remainder of the season against his will.
  6. Bradfoot
    The 13th amendment specifically says Neither slavery nor involuntary servitude, except for a crime which they have been convicted, shall exist in the United States of America. Employment contracts are not fully enforceable, there may be penalties for breaking it or non-compete clauses but that would depend on the contract. Even if the team doesn't give their blessing, the player or coach can absolutely leave. In most cases they would only forfeit the remaining money and not be able to sign with another team in the same league for a set period of time. Since the NCAA is not affiliated with the NFL or MLB in any way, the NFL and MLB don't have any say in who is hired by NCAA. A non-compete clause would not be applicable in this move since he is not moving to another MLB team. The Twins are not in competition with LSU.
  7. Bradfoot
    You can't fault the guy for making what he must feel is the best decision for himself and his family. As we have seen many times, the teams don't show much loyalty when the team is under performing or if a better opportunity is available.
  8. Bradfoot
    I watched a couple of those White Sox games against Cleveland. Some of the sloppiest defense I have ever seen. Dallas Keuchel must be frustrated that he got charged for 8 runs when his infield was booting groundball after groundball. They were very generous with the hit ruling in that one.
  9. Bradfoot
    The Microsoft Mariners of Seattle and the U.S. Bank Twins of Minnesota will play a 3 game series at T Mobile Park. The first pitch is brought to you by Arby's "they have the meat." Lets take a look at the starting lineup brought to you by..... Theres the 3rd out brought to you by All State, "you're in good hands." Now lets pause for 3 minutes of uninterrupted advertising.
  10. Bradfoot
    Ditch the DH. Every position should hit and every hitter should be able to field a position. If you want Nelson Cruz's bat you have to have Nelson Cruz's glove.
  11. Bradfoot
    With this small of a sample size it is pointless to analyze batted ball data, 4 batted balls without a hard hit would make Larnach's 50% hard-hit rate become 38%. But since we are playing this game, it is curious that you highlighted Larnach and not Nick Gordon. His sample size is even more ridiculous at 6 events (compared to 14 for Larnach) but I wouldn't have bet they would average over 95MPH. Nick Gordon - Average Exit Velocity 95.7 (3rd on Twins), Hard-Hit rate 66.7 (14 plate appearances) Trevor Larnach - Average Exit Velocity 88.4 (11th on Twins), Hard-Hit rate 50 (19 plate appearances)
  12. Bradfoot
    Perfect games and No hitters are romanticized feats hyped up by the sports media. Are they cool and impressive? Absolutely! Do they mean anything in a team's quest to win a championship? No! Any team trying to win a championship should be focused on the big picture and protecting an injury-prone pitcher in his first start of the year, after a weird Spring Training schedule, on a cold day, and with a huge lead makes perfect sense to me. I support the Dodgers decision.
  13. Bradfoot
    I'm alright with their decision to pull Kershaw. He has been getting a reputation as an injury risk for the last few years. Might as well protect him when it is this early in the year, after a weird spring training schedule, a cold day, and staked out to a 6 run lead. They are absolutely right to take the whole season as the big picture instead of focusing on a single game achievement. His health for the next 6 months is much more important to their World Series asperations than a perfect game.
  14. Bradfoot
    I wouldn't say a 26-year-old pitcher with 300 major league innings is obviously in decline.
  15. Bradfoot
    16 strikeouts too. 4 of his 6 runs allowed came from a grand slam. He had a nice Spring for whatever that is worth. His ceiling is much higher than Paddock's (and pretty much all of our young pitchers). You are correct, Rogers would not land him in a one for one.
  16. Bradfoot
    79 wins is my guess. I see the AL Central as a very good White Sox team and 4 teams with .500 potential. Each of the 4 teams has a perfect scenario where they can push that up to 85 wins or so (Tigers/Royals - Prospects taking off, Twins/Guardians - healthy stars and former prospects regaining potential). The Twins have a lot riding on a very small number of players. If any of Buxton, Gray, or Correa spend any significant time on the IL they could find themselves in last place again. We need those three to be healthy for most of the season AND at least a couple guys to take a significant step forward (Kirilloff, Larnach, Sano, Sanchez, Ober, etc.). The path is there but a lot has to go right.
  17. Bradfoot
    Love this signing. It would be a bummer if he opts out after 1 year though. Shocking that he agreed to 3 years, thought for sure he would find one of those absurdly long deals that burns the team for last 3-4 years.
  18. Bradfoot
    Exactly, Correa probably has to pick his contract first. Then Story can hope someone who missed out on Correa sees him as a desperate have to have guy.
  19. Bradfoot
    For me it is about how good the American League is looking this year. It's possible that the East produces four 90 win teams again. Houston should be solid again, Seattle, LAA, and maybe texas could be interesting. The Twins better do really well against central teams.
  20. Bradfoot
    Arenado has sustained that "peak" for more than 2 seasons and not just for what is commonly called the juiced ball year. Agree to disagree I guess. I do not see Story as a difference maker or a sizable leap from a Villar type that can be had for less than half the cost or commitment.
  21. Bradfoot
    Arenado is a far superior player to Story, I'm not questioning his ability. He clearly regressed by leaving Colorado. He was 12th in War for 2019, 11th in 2018, and 12th in 2017. If Story saw the same 30% regression in WAR that Arenado did that 3.9 becomes 2.73, not that far off from 2.14, closer to half a win better.
  22. Bradfoot
    Arenado was fine in St Louis. Was he as good as he was in Colorado? No. His 34 homeruns and 113wRC+ are his lowest output since 2014. He regressed by leaving Colorado. He averaged a WAR of 5.65 from 2016-2019 and dropped to 4.0 away from Colorado. What if Story sees a similar 30% drop in WAR by leaving Colorado? He would be pretty darn close to 2021 Villar WAR territory. Look at it this way, in 2019 hitters in general (away teams included) batted .307/.370/.526 at Coors Field while the league average was .255/.322/.431. The Rockies won 71 games that year so it's not like they were boosting that discrepancy by being an elite offense. Just compare Story's career Home stat line to that 2019 average of everyone at Coors. Story .303/.369/.603 League .307/.370/.526
  23. Bradfoot
    Villar's road splits aren't really relevant since he is not leaving hitter paradise like Story would be. The question isn't can Story ever hit on the road, the question is how much of his success is linked to being in Colorado.
  24. Bradfoot
    I would love to see the Twins spend money, just not on Story. I view him as an obvious regression away from Colorado so why pay him like it won't happen? He already declined a 9 figure deal so he thinks he will get a huge deal. Villar is a low risk guy who really isn't a huge drop off from Story. I am not saying that Story's away stats are a perfect example of what to expect but its obvious that his output will be less than his current level. Story away from Coors Field .241/.310/.442 Villar Career .258/.326/.403
  25. Bradfoot
    I support a SS signing by the way, just not a big one. I also agree Lewis is not a surefire stick at short but why sign a long, expensive, and risky contract to block him anyway.
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