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Otto von Ballpark

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Everything posted by Otto von Ballpark

  1. Otto von Ballpark
    Bard seems to match the statistical/age profile of a lot of AA relievers who don't get selected, or who get returned fairly quickly. Spin rate is a new X factor, I suppose.
  2. Otto von Ballpark
    With Slegers, I think Seth's reminder that he wasn't selected in Rule 5 last winter is pretty important. He has had a solid season at AAA, but he was largely the same pitcher for the full season at AA last year. I really doubt teams will change their minds on him. Rule 5 selections and full season survivors are pretty rare too. Looks like only ~5 guys might survive the season from Rule 5 this year (pending some DL cases), and 3 of them are Padres. Not an excuse to needlessly expose anyone good, of course, but another data point suggesting that Slegers is probably safe.
  3. Otto von Ballpark
    For spots opening, with the 60-day DL guys included, and Recker excluded, we have 41 rostered guys right now. 5 pending FA: Belisle Colon Gee Perkins Santiago 4 possible nontenders in arbitration: Gibson Pressly Gimenez Grossman 9 potential cuts (not all of these guys will be cut, of course, but some among this group will be): Boshers Busenitz Chargois Hildenberger O'Rourke Randy Rosario Turley Palka Vargas And of course Hughes as a big wild card. Then you need to factor in any MLB FA they might sign this winter. Probably at least 3.
  4. Otto von Ballpark
    I'd probably bump Bard and Melo to tier 3, even though I think Bard deserves a look. Just seems they're not interested. Reed hasn't been particularly impressive either, he might be more 2nd tier than 1st. Otherwise, good list!
  5. Otto von Ballpark
    Interesting that Willie Calhoun, a guy that some posters here didn't even want as a secondary piece in a Brian Dozier trade, was now the top piece in a Yu Darvish trade...
  6. Otto von Ballpark
    Tyler Wells was a 15th round pick last year and isn't even in the Twins top 30 at MLB Pipeline. Kaprielian was the 15th overall pick 2 years ago, and was the Yankees #7 prospect at MLB Pipeline. You can't compare two minor leaguers by stat lines (or in Kaprielian's case, the lack thereof).
  7. Otto von Ballpark
    Santana isn't much of a substitute for Darvish or Gray at this juncture.
  8. Otto von Ballpark
    The Astros already have too many starters, probably moving Peacock back to the pen.
  9. Otto von Ballpark
    In former Twins news, Astros are close to adding Francisco Liriano, to be used as a reliever.
  10. Otto von Ballpark
    New rule is that draft picks can't be traded until after the World Series, and can't be included as PTBNL prior to that.
  11. Otto von Ballpark
    The Nationals, Rays, and Rockies have already spent some resources on bullpen pieces this month. Guessing their level of interest is on the cheap side.
  12. Otto von Ballpark
    Kintzler to Arizona seems like the only possibility left that could return much if any value. MLBTR noted last week there was some interest, but Arizona largely seems to be on the sidelines this trade season: https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2017/07/pitching-market-notes-kintzler-twins-interest-red-sox-dbacks-ervin-santana-astros-background-dodgers-darvish-cubs-verlander-cardinals-lynn.html
  13. Otto von Ballpark
    At least they substituted it with "whining" yesterday.
  14. Otto von Ballpark
    Here are the teams that have already traded for bullpen help in the last few weeks: Cubs Yankees Nationals Rays Mariners Mets Rockies Brewers Royals Red Sox Who is conceivably still shopping for relievers today? Indians Astros Dodgers Diamondbacks Those teams rank 2 , 4, 5, and 9 (Arizona) by bullpen fWAR. Edited to reflect Addison Reed to Boston.
  15. Otto von Ballpark
    I'm wondering if the return might not be closer to Pat Light territory, though. Kintzler has had a nice season for us but I'm not sure he fits anyone's profile for bullpen reinforcement.
  16. Otto von Ballpark
    Could do both, the AFL doesn't start until October. Jason Kubel infamously played in the AFL in 2004 after September and the playoffs with the Twins...
  17. Otto von Ballpark
    From MLBTR's top 25 deadline day trade candidates, #4 (Justin Wilson) already went to the Cubs, and #3 (Addison Reed) is "moving closer" to the Red Sox. Kintzler is the next reliever on the list, at #5. Joe Smith is right behind him at #6, though, and I could see him being more appealing to some with his 2017 K rate. I'm starting to suspect we might be underwhelmed by the Kintzler return, even compared to other relievers. Enough that the team may not bother to deal him at all...
  18. Otto von Ballpark
    FYI, Gordon does not need to be added to the 40-man this winter. Even if I traded Dozier, I don't know if I'd add Gordon quite yet. Between Polanco, Adrianza, and presumably Escobar, we probably wouldn't need/want Gordon to break camp with the big club next spring, so the September audition would be less necessary.
  19. Otto von Ballpark
    This is probably fairly close to the truth. I know backup catchers seem to get underrated (Butera, Herrmann, Murphy), but Gimenez has already bounced around quite a bit and it generally hasn't been by trade. Claimed on waivers twice, traded for "future considerations" once, purchased once. I could see him being a third catcher for the stretch drive somewhere, but that would likely have to wait until September 1st. Likewise we could wait for a catching injury, but that might take all month too. I'd prefer just to have Garver up now. But I am guessing Gimenez plays out the season here, Garver gets in a few games in September, and then Gimenez (or some equivalent) is brought in on another minor league deal for next spring.
  20. Otto von Ballpark
    How would you classify the following? "Twins' Brian Dozier shown on TV urinating in the dugout bathroom with the door open" http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/baseball/brian-dozier-shown-tv-urinating-dugout-door-open-article-1.3370548
  21. Otto von Ballpark
    Hurlbut is a minor league free agent this winter. He's been solid in Rochester this year, but with that group of names in the first post, I don't see how you can justify giving Hurlbut a 40-man spot just to keep him around. He turns 28 in November...
  22. Otto von Ballpark
    Yes, coincidence. There are still more important unanswered questions about Buxton right now than anyone else on the team. They absolutely did not force him to the DL during a hot streak and a pennant race just to get a look at a relatively fringe prospect in Granite.
  23. Otto von Ballpark
    Garbe actually never played in the GCL. He went straight to Elizabethton where they generally play night games like everyone else.
  24. Otto von Ballpark
    = joke!
  25. Otto von Ballpark
    No matter, just daisy-chain them!
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