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ThePuck

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Everything posted by ThePuck

  1. we'll see. I hope so.
  2. Heck, like 2 days before opening day there were tickets available right behind home plate, like 13 rows back...on the regular Twins MLB site even. I don't think that would have been possible the first two years...maybe last year, but not sure.
  3. Sounds a lot like....Juan Pierre :-)
  4. I any event, I enjoyed the exchange of ideas with you. Here's hoping Revere has a better career than I think he will.
  5. snepp, What did Fangraphs replace UZR with when calculating the defensive part of WAR? Calculating WAR for Position Players | FanGraphs Sabermetrics Library
  6. Exactly...like it did last year. Big % drop in attendance...and we'll see move of that this year
  7. We can take out the average and look at UZR actual. 8.3 in 776 innings in CF in 2011. 15.4 in 708 innings in RF. Or look at DRS defensive runs saved. -1 in 2011 in CF, 11 in RF. Any way you slice it...he has more value in RF defensively....and I don't see how having a smaller ballpark will help his offensive game.
  8. but, hypothetically, wouldn't having less room to roam on the surface make his range smaller? And wouldn't the pitching staff they have give him less Opps to build his DRS?
  9. okay then, let's go with defensive runs saved. -1 in 2011 in CF, 11 in RF
  10. And the same thing can pretty much be said about WAR.
  11. Which WAR are you using? Fangraphs?
  12. But quoting WAR for the same amount of time? On top of that, you think a smaller park helps Revere's game? Why would it? He's not gonna be hitting HRs
  13. and the defensive difference?
  14. That's why I wrote what I wrote about 300 innings...but he played over 700 innings in CF in 2011 and about 70 more innings in RF last year But if we're talking shaky Metrics for single seasons, it applies to WAR as well..
  15. I already pointed out the differences on defense with the UZR/150. I'll do it again: His UZR/150 while playing CF in 2011 was 14.7. His UZR/150 in CF last year (in limited time ...like 300 innings...so not much to really judge off of) was in the negatives. His UZR/150 in RF last year was 26.2. That's a significant jump
  16. His WAR, while playing mostly CF in 2011, was 1.7. It was 3.1 last year while mostly playing RF.
  17. His WAR, while playing mostly CF in 2011, was 1.7. It was 3.1 last year while mostly playing RF.
  18. His UZR/150 while playing CF in 2011 was 14.7. His UZR/150 in CF last year (in limited time ...like 300 innings...so not much to really judge off of) was in the negatives. His UZR/150 in RF last year was 26.2. That's a significant jump
  19. Would have been nice to see the perfect game...and a record for Ks in a perfect game..
  20. except that his range compared to most RFs is what made his defense part of WAR so high. Yes, he still has great range, but now he's being compared to other CFs.
  21. hope so. Did you see Pierre's WARs up to when he turned 32, 33? heck he had a 2.5 at 32, a 2.0 at 3.1. Had some 4s earlier in his career. If anything, as a CF, I see his WAR going down. His crazy range helped his WAR compared to other RF. He still has crazy range, but not over the top of most CFs like he did in RF
  22. Like I said...he'll be lucky to have a career like Pierre. Not too high on Revere, personally.
  23. He'll be lucky to have a Juan Pierre type career.
  24. Gibson sure, but cups of coffee in September for Meyer and Arcia don't really work towards what I'm talking about. I'm glad you're optimistic though...very cool. I'd LOVE, absolutely LOVE to be wrong about 2014.
  25. I don't even think about that possibility. We're a scrap heap club when it comes to FA and I don't think that ever changes.
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