Game Thread: Twins @ Rays, 8/7 @ 12:10 CT Probable Starters: Kyle Gibson (3-6, 4.94 ERA) vs Matt Andriese (6-2, 2.72 ERA) 1. Battle for the Best of the Worst Who is the worst team in the AL? Is it the Twins (44-66) or the Rays (45-64)? The Twins have been hot since June or the Rays who have fallen apart since then? Comparing them with Pythagorean W-L, the Twins are still the same distance back at 49-61 to Tampa Bay’s 50-59. I definitely believe the Twins are the better team at the moment though… but they’ll have to do better than last night’s game to prove that. 2. The Revenge of Kevin Jepsen and Oswaldo Arcia I was really hoping that Arcia was going to be healthy during this series, but alas, he is not. However, we did get to see Jepsen pitch a scoreless inning last night. I hope the Rays send him back out there and the Twins pulverize him into the dirt. Well… maybe that’s a bit harsh, but it’s frustrating that the Rays have Jepsen, Chih-Wei Hu, and Alex Tapia in their system and the Twins have nothing – only but a good run of Jepsen in 2015 and a bunch of losses in 2016. 3. Lineups Twins Kyle Gibson ® 1. Brian Dozier® 2B 2. Robbie Grossman(S) DH 3. Max Kepler(L) RF 4. Miguel Sano® 3B 5. Eddie Rosario(L) CF 6. Kennys Vargas(S) 1B 7. Jorge Polanco(S) SS 8. Juan Centeno(L) C 9. Danny Santana(S) LF Rays Matt Andriese ® 1. Logan Forsythe ® 2B 2. Nick Franklin (S) LF 3. Evan Longoria ® 3B 4. Brad Miller (L) SS 5. Mikie Mahtook ® CF 6. Corey Dickerson (L) DH 7. Steven Souza Jr. ® RF 8. Tim Beckham ® 1B 9. Luke Maile ® C 4. Random Stuff Hmmmm… let’s look at some random statistics for no reason. Let’s see… each teams’ top 5 players by WAR! (I’m not including traded players) (WAR stat from Baseball Reference) Twins Dozier 3.4 Kepler 2.7 Mauer 2.6 E. Santana 2.1 Kintzler 1.1 Rays Longoria 2.9 Forsythe 2.4 Kiermaier 2.4 Odorizzi 2.3 Andriese 2.0 The Rays starting pitcher is their 5th best player so far… that might not bode well for us. And now… for one more really random stat… WAR per PA! (I calculated the stat by dividing oWAR by plate appearances) Polanco .0119 Vargas .0107 Kepler .0092 Dozier .0075 Grossman .0055 Obviously we’re dealing with very small sample sizes for Polanco and Vargas, but it still shows how well they’ve hit so far. So remember! When Brian Dozier comes up to the plate, he will add .0075 WAR. Hooray for pointless numbers!! Alright, let’s win this one Twins!