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Willihammer

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Everything posted by Willihammer

  1. I hold out hope that a fresh start with a new manager will benefit Hicks. By the end of last season it seemed clear to me that, fairly or unfaily, he was in the doghouse.
  2. Well this is off to a blazing start...
  3. No Hammer?
  4. I'd peg Hicks upside at Desmond Jennings. Walk rate around 9%, strikeouts around 25%, not a lot of pop, good baserunning. Average defense in Center but above average in a corner. Never an all star, but an acceptable .725 player at the bottom of the lineup.
  5. One problem I see with "timing" is that the core we all envision might not be the core we'll end up with. Example. According to this top 22 list written 3 years ago, the Twins best prospects were: 10: Kepler 9: Salcedo 8: Bullock 7: Arcia 6: Revere 5: Hendriks 4: Sano 3: Hicks 2: Wimmers 1: Gibson Flash forward to 2014 and the best players were Brian Dozier, Trevor Plouffe, Danny Santana, Revere, Arcia, Gibson, Pinto, and Kennys Vargas - only 3 of whom ranked in the top 22 of this particular prospect list. I'm curious - has anyone gathered the various BA, MLB.com, minorleagueball.com prospect lists over the years and determined how accurate they are? Who the most accurate forecasters are? Trends? (ie. are certain types consistently overvalued or undervalued?) Has anyone considered the possibility that the new core is here already?
  6. I know this is about the Royals but you can look at the other team in the ALCS too. If you'd told Dan Duquette that Manny Machado and Matt WIeters would get injured and Chris Davis would get suspended for Adderall usage would he have given up two draft picks to sign Nelson Cruz and Ubaldo Jimenez?
  7. I'm as big a Mauer bobo there is but he has to come back stronger next season. There are too many other good options for 1B.
  8. 30 teams, 150 rotation spots. Take the top 150 by games started, let's see where Gibson ranks (quintile). K-BB%: 5th xFIP: 3rd SIERA: 3rd Among this year's playoff teams, here's where Gibson would rank (quintile): K-BB: 5TH xFIP: 3rd SIERA: 4th You might think he's still improving, I don't see it happening. Sinker-slider can only take you so far. He's a 3 at best.
  9. unblock-us.com. Best $5/month you'll ever spend
  10. We're in trouble if Kyle Gibson's our no. 2 starter.
  11. I generally agree with that reasoning but Plouffe has burned his backers before. Between his age, recent production, years of control, I suspect his stock is at a high water mark and is more likely to nosedive than continue rising. Also, Escobar's cut out perfectly to be the bridge to Sano IMO. There isn't room at DH-1B for Sano to get regular playing time. He'll have to play third to get regular at bats.
  12. Maeda's stats are pretty similar to Iwakuma's actually. Don't look bad next to Kuroda's either. It just seems like the industry tends to under-estimate. Tanaka is another. Fastball too flat, stuff wouldn't translate. He was given a no. 2 as a ceiling. Cashman signed him to be a no. 3. Kuroda was supposed to be a 3. Darvish was the only one (recently) who the industry expected to be a no. 1 (and he hasn't disappointed, obviously).
  13. I wonder if the Padres would be interested in a package centered on Plouffe, what they would give for it. Think they'd trade Ross, Cashner, or Hahn?
  14. Iwakuma was supposed to be a 4 too, according to KLaw at least.
  15. Maeda's coming. Would you rather see the Twins blow $100m on a 24 year old Tomas or a 27 year old Maeda?
  16. I would be fine with starting Sano but am a little gun shy about Buxton. At least Sano had dominated AA. He would have been up in 2014 at some point, had the elbow not happened so if you assume he'll be able to pick up where he left off, we'd only be accelerating that timeline a couple of months. Buxton has all of 3 PAs in AA and I don't want another Gomez / Hicks type fiasco.
  17. There you go. Chitown had just said that using a billion years of mammalian evolution as an explanation for men ogling girls was a copout and I was calling her out for doing it too. Girls can ogle too. That was my point. I'm sorry if that derailed the thread.
  18. Yes that's exactly what I was trying to say.
  19. Between the shoulder and the velo dip - pass.
  20. Fair enough. Me, I like sex and sports in more equal proportions. YMMV.
  21. Really fun to watch Dozier play this year. Probably my favorite player.
  22. Would it be fair to say that, in addition to his stellar on field play, Brian Dozier's hair in 2013 made the whole experience that much more enjoyable for you?
  23. Steinbach as pitching coach? Or as manager
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