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Linus

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Everything posted by Linus

  1. Linus
    This is the problem: we don't want Hicks or Schafer to hold down center field because there is no evidence that either should be counted on at this point. Neither are proven offensively and Hicks isn't defensively, either. Rasmus improves our outfield defense substantially which is the lowest hanging fruit we can go for right now.
  2. Linus
    Can we just sign Colby Rasmus to a short term deal and be done with this? Even if we have to overpay a little it solves the biggest remaining problem. With a competent CF this team would hang in contention for the second wild card spot most of next year. Plus, it allows Hicks to start in AAA to try and salvage his career and puts Schafer in the 4th outfielder spot. All would be right in Twins world.....
  3. Linus
    I'm not the world's biggest May fan and I wouldn't trade him for Blackmon. the idea of trading Gibson for him is, um, a really bad idea.
  4. Linus
    There is no way Plouffe is one of the top 4 defensive 3rd basemen. This is an example where defensive metrics are still evolving. He has improved markedly and deserves credit for doing the required work to get better at his craft. His throwing is noticeably improved and his ability to make the plays that he should has gone up as well. When / if Sano takes over 3rd he could be a nice trade chip (much better than moving him to another position).
  5. Linus
    If I was Schafer, I would take the Twins offer and say "I'm really excited to be a part of this wonderful organization and look forward to helping the team anyway I can." Randy Bush had a theory that he didn't want to get the most money he could because that would make it easier for the Twins to decide he wasn't worth it. It sounds kind of crazy but really its crazy like a fox. There is a number where Schafer is worth it for the Twins, and there is a number where he isn't. Guys like him frequently end up released for money, when their goal should be to gain any kind of a foot hold on a MLB roster.
  6. Linus
    I almost included a Gardy reference in my post. I was hearing him when I was typing it.
  7. Linus
    Its OK - I'm not dissing metrics; I think they are useful and interesting.
  8. Linus
    Gives Chance To Win The Game. Regardless of stats, when he took the mound last year we had a really good chance to win the game. I expect that to be roughly the same next year regardless of the metrics. Not to be simple about it but, he has good stuff, throws strikes and attacks enough that he will always strike out a decent number of hitters (hopefully when there is a man on third). I also think that regression won't be caused by him slipping into old habits. The changes he made were in spring training and he was pretty consistent over 200 innings - that's no flash in the pan. Oh, by the way.....thanks for asking Ash.
  9. Linus
    I would guess his job is very secure. He's an experienced guy that the pitcher really like and he was / is not completely lost at the plate. Given what is available in the marketplace for catching, the Twins are just fine with Suzuki at $6mil a year for two more years. The great thing is that if Pinto blossoms or they make a trade, Kurt can easily adopt a back up role and still not be a huge salary anchor.
  10. Linus
    He "touched" 89 with his fastball and change was at 77. The problem with bringing him in is that then you have to give him a chance when, probably, that chance should be going to a younger pitcher. If he looked good in spring training, it maybe would make sense to deal Duensing and let him be your lefty out of the pen. One thing in his favor, although a shell of his former self, that shell might be better than most of the "last guys" on a staff.
  11. Linus
    His GCTWTG percentage last year was 75%. The last projection I saw for this was the same so I am not looking for a huge regression. This is much more accurate than FIP, Zips or Steamer.
  12. Linus
    Sorry, no. The Twins need all the pitching they can get. Let's worry about too many good pitchers when it happens
  13. Linus
    Ash, it was "rath" as in rather or I'd rather not irritate the mods........ Does anyone know why I can't respond with quote on my laptop IE10? As to the topic at hand: This is the way TR always has been. I guess I don't understand how him admitting mistakes is somehow insincere or insufficient to some. Its as if the only thing he can do to satisfy some people is to call a press conference and say: "I really bungled that Mike Mussina thing so I've decided to fire myself". Anything less is not accountable enough. I realize many people don't like him, fair enough. There is plenty of ammunition for you to roundly criticize the guy but this particular area just ain't it.
  14. Linus
    OK, at the risk of mod rath.... You have no idea what Ryan's job security is and your assumption that you do is a misleading at best. When it comes to "man up" (whatever that descriptive term might mean) I would consider that Ryan stayed with the Twins when they were subject to contraction when he had an opportunity to leave and go to Toronto. He is honestly admitting his mistakes; if you are waiting for him to fall on some sort of a sword because he has made some mistakes (like any other GM) than you are being ridiculous.
  15. Linus
    Obviously, Mauer wasn't that good last year, which may or may not mean anything going forward. And of course, they will replace him with someone....my point is that people are overestimating prospect success rates and underestimating how difficult it is to achieve the level that Mauer has produced over his career or even what he is likely to produce at age 35.
  16. Linus
    Well, we actually don't know that. Here is my point: I know Mauer will be older and not at the same level of his batting title or MVP seasons. However, the percentage chance that any of these guys (let alone Minier or Diaz) ever even comes close to being the player Mauer has been or even will be at 35 is just not that great. Your are underestimating how difficult it is to get to Mauer's level or even something close to it. Hell, other than Sano, there is a greater chance they don't even make the bigs...
  17. Linus
    Four years from now, there is a much better chance that Joe Mauer is a better ballplayer than Minier or Diaz, so there is a substantial chance that we will want Joe back. Prospects are suspects until they aren't - Mauer has 3 batting titles and an MVP. Perspective is in order, here.....
  18. Linus
    Omg, no way. Let's just move on....
  19. Linus
    Advanced stats have provided so much useful information over the last 20 years that I am shocked that the role of the closer hasn't been exposed. This theory just seems to still be in the dark ages when you compare it to other aspects / theories of baseball. I strongly advocate that your best relief pitcher should be used in your most important situations, regardless of the inning. How great would it be to have 3-4 (especially if one or two were lefties) guys who throw gas and you could bring them in mixed and matched with the situation.
  20. Linus
    I think your projection is spot on. I hope that Meyer wins the 5th spot as his ability to fulfill his ace potential is very important for the Twin's future. I have no problem with the "logjam" of pitchers, young and old. When your rotation is as bad as ours has been the last several years you want plenty of competition so nobody is given a spot. It will work itself out as Milone has an option, Pelfrey can be released if need be and I think people are making a big leap of faith with May. He may make it, but there is an equal chance that he goes back to AAA one more time.
  21. Linus
    OK - am I the only one who is starting to get a little worried that there is an injury history developing here? I realize he is still young and I don't know what his minor league health history was but since he has been in the big leagues he has frequently been injured. And this is at an age where you would think he would be resilient.....
  22. Linus
    Best Twins trade ever.
  23. Linus
    Well he didn't compare him to Michael Cuddyer who also had a nice autograph. The underlying premise clearly links them as does the follow up stats. Sorry. Shouldn't have brought it up.
  24. Linus
    Right. One of the greatest power hitters in MLB history and a guy who hasn't made AAA. Have fun with the autograph thing but to compare them in any way as ballplayers at this time is just silly
  25. Linus
    This. Anybody who pitches well will get more than ample opportunity to prove themselves. We were killing the Twins for not spending money and now we are worried we spent money on free agents who might block unproven minor leaguers. Can't have it both ways folks.
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