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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    Much, much lower seems like a stretch. It is at the point that if you like someone you have to take them. Rooker almost certainly would have been gone by the 3rd round, and decent chance with Leach too. The difference between 30 and 100 on those lists is quite small, and a matter of personal preference as much as any explicit difference. If you can get someone you like and save money to spread risk in alter picks, that is a reasonable strategy.
  2. drjim
    It's not a huge stretch to have Lewis #1 overall.
  3. drjim
    Enlow is the riskier sign. If the deal falls apart they lose less money for the unsigned pick. Always an advantage to pick as late as possible, but of course there is risk that the player gets popped. Of course, since Enlow was the first pick of the day, it would be quite surprising if they didn't know exactly what he was signing for.
  4. drjim
    I for one expected them to nail every multiple agent signings, fleece multiple teams in trades, and draft 3 of the 5 best talents. Or at least sign a better reliever or two. There is a lot of truth that over short periods of time, almost all front offices look the same.
  5. drjim
    Maybe I'm crazy, but if Pressly is back to mediocre and not a disaster, a bullpen structure of Kintzler, Rogers, Duffey, Pressly, Boshers, a rotating long man, and a spot reserved for a rotating prospect (until one sticks) could be functional. Can't be worse.
  6. drjim
    He's turned into an acceptable second lefty somehow. Makes Breslow's continued presence all the more unnecessary.
  7. drjim
    This surprised me too. I support bringing back Pressly, but does make keeping Belisle and Breslow that much more inexplicable.
  8. drjim
    Also, with Lewis, he doesn't have an elite arm, but it's not Revere, it's much more like Polanco. Might be able to play at SS, but probably in the long run not enough.
  9. drjim
    I never said Bard and Melo were the level of the interchangeable long men, just that cycling them in now would be little different from what they have. But perhaps worth the shot. But either way, they are the 7th and 8th guys from the class that might contribute, which is pretty much desserts at that point.
  10. drjim
    Berrios was ranked about 50 going into that draft. Obviously not 100, but in reality that is a small difference in probability. Some of the other relievers drafted were in the back of the top 100, but the two that actually popped weren't in top 100. Do agree that it will come down mostly to Buxton vs Lewis. But Buxton, when drafted was almost all tools, lots of concern about how long it will take the bat to come around (which have been somewhat vindicated).
  11. drjim
    Why would you have doubts right now? Based on what?
  12. drjim
    I looked again, that 2012 draft was really good. Would be awesome if they could repeat it. An emerging up the middle stud (Buxton), a 2-3 starter (Berrios), their two competent setup men (Duffey, Rogers), and three relief prospects that may make it after recovering injuries - Melotakis, Bard, Chargois. This should be the model for what they are trying to do this year.
  13. drjim
    Yes. Glad that McKay turned them down.
  14. drjim
    I hope the Twins can copy those results this year. It was a good draft!
  15. drjim
    If nothing else, there has to be a better way than just reading rankings and flipping out. Especially since many of the same people would flip out if it was *too* close to the rankings.
  16. drjim
    You can't conceive of a scenario where a front office might promote their own draft picks, a college bat at that, on a different timetable than prospects they inherited?
  17. drjim
    I don't get all the angst on Leach either. That is truly a situation where you accept some expertise from people who watch him or you aren't going to trust anything. The difference between 30 and 100 for hs rhs is really small. I'm pretty accepting of them finding someone they like from that pool and going for it.
  18. drjim
    I don't get it either at this point. Once they called Pressly back up Belisle really brings nothing to the table. Seems they are delaying the inevitable.
  19. drjim
    I agree, seems like a very solid draft to me so far. And they have more money to throw around to increase depth in later rounds, especially hs arms.
  20. drjim
    I'm impressed by the evaluation skills of people on this board who know nothing about any of these hs arms other than a quick glance at a ba ranking. For context, the average difference between the 30 pick and 100 pick is less than 1 WAR a career, so these rankings are more academic than anything. There is so little surface difference between Leach and Carlson, is it really worth this angst? Or the pretending that you actually know the difference between them? I suspect the savings is going to be used to load up on hs arms. The majority won't really be heard from, but if 1 or 2 hit, it is a very successful draft strategy.
  21. drjim
    Grab a good hs arm at 37, and spread more of the savings in other picks to buy out a few more arms.
  22. drjim
    Like it a lot, save more money, spend the night shopping for the best offer to kick off tomorrow.
  23. drjim
    Yea, that didn't age well. He'll be gone after tonight. I don't have an especially strong opinion on who the long man is at any given time, just like that they are active in rotating them through (as they have been). Haley will have to make a triumphant return at some point.
  24. drjim
    Indeed. Can bump you up at 35/37 or buy out a handful of hs arms throughout.
  25. drjim
    Trump is going to fire Mueller. The groundwork is being laid.
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