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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    I would agree, unless there's a trade. Otherwise he has a small chance at a September call up, but much more likely not.
  2. drjim
    I'm skeptical, but if he is promoted it might mean the front office thinks he is further along than I would guess observing from afar.
  3. drjim
    His hr rate has also spiked a little. Might be a fluke, might be the result of improvements in k and bb rates and to be more economical with his pitch counts. Seems like he has a few things to tighten up in AA, and should need to make around 10ish starts in AAA before he's even considered for the majors. I had higher hopes when he first got back healthy that he might move quicker, but there is clearly some development still needed. I think he might get a couple of starts in the majors if the Twins fade, but they aren't going to use him if they are still in the race. Likely he goes into next season as the 7th or 8th starter.
  4. drjim
    I always took that as longing for a local kid more than any sort of desire from the Twins. They would have known how much he cost and what other teams would have wanted him. Passing on him on 35 and 37 made it pretty clear they had other priorities.
  5. drjim
    All that said, if the Twins are still in it in September, I highly doubt Gonsalves comes up, unless they add no one and are desperate for a starter. And even then I'm skeptical. He's potentially a fine 3-4 (more 4) going forward, but not the type that would really play up in the pen. Much more likely, in my mind, that Romero comes up as a reliever.
  6. drjim
    I don't think a potential cup of coffee in September is rushing him, and it would be an especially good idea if the Twins fade and are out of it by then. But expecting him to be an effective starter in August for a team trying to compete instead of potentially adding a cheap (Pavano-like) option would be a mistake.
  7. drjim
    If Gordon was hitting like this as a college SS he would have been picked #1 overall.
  8. drjim
    Was the ability to afford him ever in question? Always struck me as a scouting/ranking decision.
  9. drjim
    I agree on Sano. He is a (relatively) slight decrease in his k rate away from being on another level.
  10. drjim
    By trading Erv for prospects this summer. Not sure rushing Gonsalves is the answer to this dilemma.
  11. drjim
    The assignment for the first full season is much more telling in my mind. The month or two after the draft is about getting used to a wood bat and adapting to the everyday grind of pro ball. Not a huge difference if that happens in the complex or in the mountains.
  12. drjim
    Gonsalves has a ways to go.
  13. drjim
    Seems it could have gone either way. I don't mind saving some of his bullets for later in the year and Kintzler has not been used heavily recently. And I would agree that if you are going to warm Kintzler, might as well just use him from the start.
  14. drjim
    Not sure I agree on this. How would they have added higher quality second and third level minor league depth in an offseason, without subtracting from the mlb roster.
  15. drjim
    I don't see a reason not to trust them initially. I never liked the Belisle signing and they probably should have aimed higher than Breslow, though I was intrigued by his changes enough to approve the minor league signing. While they were uninspiring in major league signings, I give them much more of a pass on how the depth had shaken out. So much of the current situation is based on what they inherited. It is so difficult to add impact depth from outside the org, unless they blew up the major league roster. Levine and Falvey, fwiw, have both commented multiple times on how much of the second tier plan for relievers had been ravaged by injuries and required the scramble. This is pretty clearly true and does seem like they had something of a plan going in. All that to say, while I am critical of the major league additions to the bullpen, I don't think that should necessarily mean they don't know how to evaluate their own internal options compared to scrap heap veterans they continue to add.
  16. drjim
    Reed really couldn't have moved much quicker. I think there is clearly something more they need to see from Melo that they didn't fast track him. I don't have a good handle on Bard, he really emerged this year after several years of injury and ineffectiveness. If he's legit I would push him fast since he's an obvious injury risk.
  17. drjim
    I would probably bump Curtiss too. Seems in the Bard and Melotakis tier. They will shake out soon.
  18. drjim
    This is where looking at numbers over thinking of the actual stuff the reliever brings to the table is a mistake. Reed has a legit two pitch mix that will play in the majors, that's where the excitement came from. Bard might be there but has even more work. Hildenberger has some deception but unlikely that works. The rest are org guys. I'm not saying ignore numbers but I think of it more as red flags at that point rather than a straight comparison that is going to mean much. Reeds numbers as a college reliever in Low A are beyond meaningless.
  19. drjim
    I wouldn't be surprised if they moved Bard pretty soon, perhaps after the Rochester all star game, or other potential promotions. Bard and Melotakis are a tick behind Reed, and Hildenberger is behind all three.
  20. drjim
    I'm more basing on the way he finished last year and the reports that were coming out of spring training this year before he got hurt. Don't think a straight look at numbers from 3 years ago tells the whole story.
  21. drjim
    Seems to me they are going with a hope for a rebound from Belisle to previous production (which is unlikely) over the small chance there is any upside in the relievers still in the minors.
  22. drjim
    Maybe. I'll grant Rosario was probably a longshot based on a 40 man issue, but they did give him a chance to flash something. Clearly wasn't ready though. And I think they are at least partially still committee to Belisle and Breslow because they just don't have other options. I would personally get rid of both and replace with Pressly and a cycle of relievers, but that's not exactly an inspiring option either, especially in light of what Busenitz has done. I would expect more of the same from the rest of the oft mentioned options. Reed strikes me as the first talented relief prospect that is both healthy and close, will be interesting to see what they do with him. He may be the one that finally cooks Breslow.
  23. drjim
    I would also think having the talent of a top 30ish prospect and getting representative time at AAA helped him succeed. That has very little to do with a development schedule for a handful of borderline relief "prospects".
  24. drjim
    But why? What is it about Busenitz that you would expect to see? And which RPs so far have you wished they held on to? There is no comparison between Busenitz and Rosario.
  25. drjim
    I would agree. Basically every relief pitcher that people are lamenting about a lack of a call up are at best in that 13th/14th pitcher range. Can be up and down for stretches, some value while they still have options, but easily replaceable. And I would have no problem with Breslow being cut. Hughes they'll probably have to wait until mid next season, give a chance to recover from TOS.
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