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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. You hit on the biggest problem with this whole thought experiment. A trade of Santana for prospects that are going to step in and perform sounds lovely, but breaks down when you have to match that an actual team with the actual assets that have and are willing to move, while also keeping in mind that there are other pitchers going to be floating out there.
  2. They did and he flopped. Another one will get a shot soon enough.
  3. I'm very against trading Santana, but a move has to at least concede that moving him is setting back the pitching for at least this year and next year, possibly even 2019. Saying you are going to trade Santana to build the staff for next year is a fantasy.
  4. Dozier is not all the expendable though, at least not until mid next year. They will have a little money to sign a decent free agent starter. You can probably roll with Santana, FA, Berrios, Mejia, and then one of Hughes/May/Gonsalves/Romero out of spring training. Gibson might even rebound enough to make it worthwhile to tender him a contract.
  5. And who do you propose would come back for Santana that would help next year, even at half the level Santana would? Not sure that asset exists on a team that would target Santana.
  6. Assuming he didn't want to go with Duffey again, who would you propose Molitor should have pitched in that inning? His options were Boshers for a second inning, Belisle, Breslow or Wimmers. I suppose he could have pushed Rogers and/or Kintzler for more than an inning.
  7. I would feel less good. Teams don't usually keep signing mediocre relievers in their mid/late 30s with exploding bb and hr rates to mlb contracts.
  8. Good word. I'm not as concerned about the secondary pitches, but I do worry about the 100. He might be a freak, but that type of velocity seems like it would lead to breakdown. But your second point seems to.be really key. It would seem he would spend much of next year at extended, followed by a half season of rookie ball. Then he would mobe up to Low A, likely with a late start, then if he was really good he would need a full season, possibly split between Hi A and AA. Then he would still need another half season before he would get to the bigs. So if everthing goes as well as possible, both with health and performance, he would debut mid 2021 at the earliest. And that is assuming he can hold up for a season, which is far from certain. Wright and McKay could easily debut middle of next year, and have shown some ability to log some innings. Gore would be on a quicker schedule than Greene too.
  9. Also true that if the Twins pick Wright and he gets hurt it would look like a mediocre pick. Same with Greene. I don't get your point with this comment.
  10. If Benson didn't get hurt in his third season (after pitching too much year 2) we would think differently about his career.
  11. Boxscore said 120. That's a little high, but on full rest it's not a massive red flag. He shouldn't have went out for the 7th, and if he didn't his line would be much more respectable. This one game would be a silly reason to pass on him.
  12. I don't think they will. Breslow might not be long for the squad though. And there is not really room for Hildenberger until one of them is gone, that's all I was saying.
  13. Busenitz is the other option. I would guess Hildenberger only comes up if they cut Boshers or Breslow.
  14. Last offseason. But I would guess Pressly is coming back.
  15. People got out a little ahead of themselves with him two years ago too. He'll need to show something at a higher level before he gets national notice.
  16. I don't like this way of thinking. It doesn't matter if he can do both pretty good, it matters that he does one of them well. Otherwise you're drafting the equivalent of the 7-10th best talent if he is only the 4th or 5th best pitcher (or hitter). I fear these two way talents are being overrated because of this exact thought process.
  17. That may be true on a vacuum, bit much harder to execute when dealing with actual teams and the prospects they literally have. In the very unlikely scenario they trade Santana, they would have to get at least pitcher who has already debuted or is on track to debut and be impact within a calendar year. Very few competitive teams have that type of asset floating around. Maybe Colorado, Dodgers and Astros, and that might be a stretch.
  18. I also don't get the comparisons betweem the Yankees last year and the Twins this year like it is meaningful to what trades the Twins should consider. The franchises were/are in such different places.
  19. It would be fascinating to see the sh*tstorm that would erupt if the Twins did trade Santana. And the return isn't going to be *that* great either way.
  20. This is true, but Erv strikes me more as the exception rather than a trend. And isn't command the biggest issue with Turley?
  21. Just saw a comp of a bigger, stronger version Kris Benson. That might actually be pretty accurate. Benson had some talent, but was ridden pretty hard his second year, had some nagging injuries right after and was never the same.
  22. I'm not sure there is a ton they could have done in the offseason to prevent these specific problems. They clearly should have aimed higher than Belisle, Breslow, and Haley as their additions, but that would have improved the active bullpen. There is not much that can be done to add quality depth to the minors in an offseason, especially when basically the entire stock of quality depth gets injured. They could (and should) have had a better bullpen, but the scramble to fill it out would still be ongoing. There's a reason the Twins only won 59 games last year.
  23. The season eventually ends. The combo of minimal moves in the offseason with basically the entire second wave going down with injury doesn't leave many opportunities for good outcomes.
  24. Gibson strikes me as a good representation of Wright's floor, which would require Wright to suffer a series of very serious injuries.
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