+1. I would add a couple thoughts. 1. Contract rank might not be the best indicator of talent as this will vary based upon age of pitcher or certain intangibles (ie desire to play for contender or certain geographic location). Perhaps the rankings of MLBTR? 2. Despite Seth's comments, I would think of FA as a relative crapshoot. Few, if any, would argue that Greinke was #1, Sanchez #2, and Dempster #3 last offseason. The crapshoot starts in the next tier and I would imagine if you knock out the clear top performers that the correlation would be that much smaller.