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drjim

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Everything posted by drjim

  1. drjim
    I guess I can see why he no longer works for a team if that is his analysis. Again, to state again, I think Berrios should have been up since the May spot start. Still do. Always will. I think that blunder by Ryan has a good chance of costing the team the playoffs. Still not calling him up is doubling down on a previous blunder for no good reason. But come on, a 21 year old breaking into a team that had good reason to not think they were a contender compared to a team that was a preseason world series favorite squandering their ace for the playoffs is not close to the same. That hurts credibility.
  2. drjim
    I do hope that he accepts reality and retires at the end of the season instead of holding out for a job and getting no offers.
  3. drjim
    Who is Paul Swydan? While I share his outrage, comparing Berrios this year to the Strasburg situation kind of destroys any credibility he might have.
  4. drjim
    I think the innings limit and pitching out of the bullpen are two different issues. Looking back, I don't have a huge issue with how the Twins handled Berrios up until the spot start of May. That should have been his and then re-evaluated the situation at that point. But the reality is that by that point it wasn't feasible for him to pitch the rest of the season in the rotation. It would have taken a plan from the Twins from spring training to make it work and considering where they (and Berrios) were at, I don't fault them for not considering that at the time. I don't understand the hesitancy to pitch him out of the bullpen other than they don't think it is worth it now that they have 5 guys they trust ahead of him and prefer to protect his arm. I don't agree, a game like yesterday for instance would have been a perfect time to unleash him for a couple of innings. They could put very conservative rules such as no more than 3 innings, 2-3 days between appearances and no coming in to a game with runners on base. Doesn't seem very hard.
  5. drjim
    I understand this point but it can be expanded a little to think about how it plays out. I would have no interest in trading Plouffe for a return that contributes nothing to next year, but it could make sense to trade Plouffe for multiple pieces that increase depth. For example, a reliever and a SP that is close, or an extra OF type and a C prospect that is close. It is good roster management to take a position of surplus to shore up another lesser spot and add depth in other spots of the organization. I am also not a fan of locking into an everyday DH going into the season, and Sano is probably ready to play 3B every day. There is some guys that are worthwhile to give a shot and it is pretty easy to a get a veteran bat, either in the offseason or at the trading deadline if all internal options flop.
  6. drjim
    This doesn't make any sense. If the first three guys flop Plouffe is very relevant to next year. Of course, doesn't mean they shouldn't trade him, but this reasoning is suspect, none of those three contributed this year and the offense has more or less held up and is probably on the upswing, contributions from them or not.
  7. drjim
    As bad as he has been recently, he helped prop up the team in May and provided almost enough bridge to get the three young OFs together. That, combined with limited other one year deals available for OFs, makes this deal perfectly acceptable in my mind - so long as they don't bring him back (and they won't). Paying too much on a one year deal when they are still under budget doesn't bother me a whole lot.
  8. drjim
    Sure, if he was good they might have brought him back. And it might have been smart.
  9. drjim
    I imagine after action reports aren't exactly for public consumption.
  10. drjim
    I like the list, especially giving the relief guys a chance at some redemption and to get someore looks to see if those catchers might contribute. Walker seemed a no brainer too.
  11. drjim
    Generally accepted that fatigued pitches will lead to increase strain which will lead to increased chance of injury. That's the theory behind pitcher abuse points and would seemingly apply to to large jumps in innings loads. Again, I'm happy for the quotes of a study that says nothing, but baseball teams, which have huge incentives to get this right, especially with young pitchers, don't push pitchers past certain increases year over year, from the most old school to the most analytical. This doesn't mean Berrios shouldn't have been up here two weeks ago, but does mean that it was never an option to have him slide into the rotation and pitch through the end of the season making a start every fifth game at that point. If the Twins had a desire to have him start at the end of the season it would have taken a plan that was implemented in April, but considering the expectation of the team and even Berrios it is hard to fault the Twins for not doing that. It is quite easy to fault them for not putting Berrios in the May start and to use his innings on the Twins instead of in the minors.
  12. drjim
    Pinto is absolutely not catching again this season. Stop saying this is an option. But absolutely, the rest of your point is valid - and in reality there is nothing preventing Pinto from coming up and providing an additional bat even if Fryer is on the roster, other than the fact that Pinto hasn't really hit since rejoining Rochester.
  13. drjim
    Are you referring to more than the study that "disproves" the Verducci effect or is that all? If you are only citing this article (http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=19497) you are really misreading the conclusions with a post like that. That study shows that the Verducci effect, in and of itself, is pretty meaningless. Past injuries are most correlated with current injuries. The second most correlated factor for injury to a pitcher (other than previous injury), is increase in pitches from one season to the next - which is a big reason why teams limit innings jumps. It is absolutely not junk science and there is actually evidence, probably from the same studies that you just cited. The Verducci effect is junk but it was never to be taken as gospel as it was more a theory without any statistical evidence beyond some anecdotes, and is not the reason that teams cite 20%. But it was a theory that provided more study that led to more information but nothing conclusive. The other factor, aside from health, is effectiveness. There is a point that pitchers are not as effective, become more fatigued, and become more susceptible to injury. There is a reason that no team, from old school to the most analytically inclined, will let young pitchers take a big jump in innings from year to year. Just because data hasn't been fully collected and proven and full correlation known doesn't mean it isn't there
  14. drjim
    Don't sleep on Cle, they strike me as the team most likely to catch the Twins/Rangers/Astros. Makes the schedule tougher.
  15. drjim
    Fear not, the Twins aren't going to trade Plouffe this offseason for prospects, this isn't 2003 anymore. If he's traded it will be for a SP or possibly a C.
  16. drjim
    I might look at it the other way. They call him up now, give him a taste of the bigs in a bullpen role and then likely start him in the minors as the sixth starter. This would still manage his innings/stress a little and render any service time issues moot. It is very, very difficult to break into the majors as a starter on opening day and expect to make it through the season. No matter what happens in September Berrios should be eased into the rotation at the start of next season.
  17. drjim
    I will never understand the Berrios and May* handling, self inflicted wounds that could very well cost them a playoff spot. I don't get as upset about trades that didn't happen (because who knows all the details) or hesitating to call up mediocre guys (hasn't exactly burned them) or the Santana/Escobar situation (it was at least a defensible plan that failed), but this makes no sense. No reason to waste his bullets if he is coming up. *And by May handling, it will always be the spot start, not necessarily moving him to the bullpen in the first place.
  18. drjim
    I agree with this and would add a 4th OF signee as well. There is certainly risk that none of those three mentioned (in addition to the three starting OF) will do much, but a platoon DH type bat is the one type of bat that can move in July. Reading between the lines in some of the media coverage the Twins are probably higher on Sano's 3B defense than we might think, but it made no sense to move Plouffe out of the way for the rest of this season. The offseason is a different situation if they can get a sp or c.
  19. drjim
    Because for the rest of the season Pinto (rightly) isn't going to be allowed to perform the most basic function of a third catcher. Might as well make Mauer the third catcher.
  20. drjim
    Agree with this list. That's all the Twins need. Listening to Molitor/Antony on Sunday it seemed they wanted a 3rd catcher, pinch runner, pop off the bench and some arms. This fits. Hicks will be back in a few days too.
  21. drjim
    It's always obvious when people not in a religious tradition try to define it. The main issue this article runs into is that there really is no clear "objective" truth as he seems to argue against. Religious traditions debate within itself constantly as to what is the actual "objective" truth that is held within the specific tradition, and will for the rest of time. Really not all that different that the "subjective" truth position. To put it another way, scripture is the starting point of morality but is not the end point, mostly because there is no completely established one way in how it is to interpreted and thus play out in morality. And I'll add this - the best preachers/teachers (imo) of Christianity are those that teach/preach more about shedding all the things that get in the way of community with the living God and letting the individual interpret what the encounter means for themselves. However, the issue is that so many people just want to be told what is acceptable and move on with their lives.
  22. drjim
    I'm a defender of religion but I agree with you here. Nationalism is nasty but it doesn't compare with radical religion because there is a theoretical limit to nationalism once borders have been established. The difference in recent history is that nationalism fused with the most advanced/wealthy societies while religion has fused mostly with stateless actors that just don't have the resources to cause the damage that nationalism fueled countries did in the last century. I agree with Levi to a point, that violence must be met with violence, but there is also a role to be played by people within the midst of a movement/religion to reform and stop themselves. It has happened with nationalism in the past and other religions, and will ultimately happen with Islamism. Just a matter of how long and how many dead it will take.
  23. drjim
    I also think the claim that much of the bad throughout history was done in the name of religion really undersells the impact of economics and straight power politics. Religion was certainly used to whip up people into a frenzy to go fight and die for a sovereign but I'm extremely skeptical that rulers (with some exceptions) cared all that much about it.
  24. drjim
    Or most of Europe and a lot of SE Asia. I fear the disasterous boundaries of a century ago still need to get worked out in much of the world.
  25. drjim
    I'm with you. I find Gladden very entertaining to listen to. I guess for the specific game I like old school ball and stories and then figure out anything else I need on my own. I do think overall the Twins have a very strong radio team. TV not as much.
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