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kab21

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Everything posted by kab21

  1. kab21
    this is a misreprensentation. They have been signing one guy for 1-1.5M each year and at least a couple of guys in the 500+ range. They haven't been spending their 4+M yearly int'l bonus pool mostly on cheaper guys. They have been spending it on one reasonably priced top 30 guy (Minier, Diaz for example) and then a pile of 500-800K guys.
  2. kab21
    I am surprised but Vargas continues to struggle and the Twins need a legitimate bat to DH. Maybe Sano is ready although I would have liked for him to get one more month in the minors.
  3. kab21
    Castro is good but I am not trading a player of Sano's potential for a Castro level player. Sano might bust but I will take that risk.
  4. kab21
    For this season there is no doubt that you keep as a RP. Stretching someone out after an entire college baseball season (earlier start) sounds like a bad idea. Next spring you stretch him out to be a starter. Would the Twins actually go against convention and call Jay up in august? This now gives them at least 3 hard throwing potentially dominant RP'ers to call up with Meyer (supposedly moving back to the rotation) and Burdi being the other two.
  5. kab21
    I'm okay with this pick. Not because jay is awesome but I'm also underwhelmed by the other options. Jay is at least intriguing based on stuff. It could be worse. they could have taken a quick to the majors pitcher with mediocre stuff.
  6. kab21
    I'm on board with this if the Twins scouts really like him. The only question is that there doesn't seem to a lot of conviction that he is a top 6 guy. The downside is that the Twins lose a year of development time by waiting. One interesting aspect of the draft slotting is that it is actually a benefit to consolidate your picks into one draft. For example the Twins would be in an outstanding position with the #7 and #20 (estimate). They would be the team that could take the guy that dropped due to signability (Manaea for example) and make it work with the extra 5% and possibly take a few underslot picks in rds 4-10.
  7. kab21
    I'm not sure what to think of it. How many 6th or 8th rd'ers really contribute? Of course some do but not many. But my point was that signing Rodon wasn't as simple as just using the +5% allowable overage. Money came from elsewhere. The area where it becomes a bigger issue is that the Twins wouldn't be able to go overslot in rds 2-4 for a guy like Gonsalves that dropped.
  8. kab21
    My concern with TJ is with the high number of repeat TJ surgeries. This is a new trend in the last couple of years. I think the upside is high enough with the other picks that it isn't necessary to pick Aiken.
  9. kab21
    They used other ways to come up with more money to sign Rodon. They basically threw away their 6th and 8th rd picks to come up with an extra 400K that went to Rodon. Perhaps that is a good strategy but that's what I was talking about by having to go underslot later in the draft.
  10. kab21
    Rodon got 700K more than slot though. The White Sox had to pick at least one underslot player in the rest of the draft.
  11. kab21
    I think Cameron is signable for the Twins but it will definitely mean that they can't go overslot in rds 2-4 and likely mean that they need to consider underslot picks at one or more picks in rds 2-10. That's a stiff price to pay. I like the interesting possibility of the Astros banking enough money to draft Cameron later. Intriguing but I think he will get picked. It is hard for a prospect to sit out a year and re-enter in what is likely a stronger class.
  12. kab21
    Is it worth mentioning that the Twins frequently have infielders playing all over the place as they come up in the minors? Plouffe played 25 games at 3B in 2006 and 43 games at 3B in 2008. He was always primarily a SS but he did actually play other positions like many infielders do in the Twins system. It's stange that Plouffe's biggest problem at SS seems to have fixed itself. He wasn't rangy but neither was JJ Hardy. Plouffe's biggest problem was that he couldn't hit the 1Bman consistently. He was all over the place. Perhaps 3B is perfect since range is less important and he gets the ball sooner with a little more time and doesn't need to rush his throws.
  13. kab21
    Perhaps Plouffe has to be my new favorite player (don't currently have one) to replace Cuddyer.
  14. kab21
    Strawman arguments. Nobody and I mean nobody says Sano needs to become an elite level fielder. I think he is several years away from the possibility (not certainty) of playing defense anywhere near Plouffe. In some ways it compares to Harper and Myers. Both were catchers and would have had to stay in the minors at least another 2 years (guess) for their defense to be acceptable but probably still poor. Instead they moved positions and were fasttracked. Sano's bat should be ready sometime between 9/2015 and 6/2016. I'm not willing to wait an additional 2 years (guess) for adequate but below average defense or put up with one of the worst fielders in the majors for a couple of years.
  15. kab21
    I see the Twins Miguel being several seasons ahead of the Marlins/Tigers Miguel in the 'we can't have this guy at 3B' talk. MCab only played 2 full seasons at 3B (30+ games 2 other seasons) for the Marlins at age 23/24. It seemed like more but Lowell was the 3Bman for the 1st 2.5 seasons and in some ways is the Twins' Plouffe. The Tigers only played Cabrera at 3B because they went all in on offense with VMart and Prince with zero other options at 3B. It's not a move that they wanted to make but roster construction necessitated it.
  16. kab21
    What? Players go through slumps all of the time. He wasn't going to be as hot as he was but this slump doesn't change much. I don't think Miguel's approach needs to change. He just needs time. I'm hoping that he improves his pitch recognition and as that happens the K's come down a litttle. Nobody should expect him not to K a lot though but as long as 30 HR's and a lot of BB's come with those K's I'm okay.
  17. kab21
    They will make room for Buxton when he's ready. They might keep him down an extra 2-3 months instead of rushing him but an ordinary player won't block Buxton.
  18. kab21
    I don't think it's wrong but I do think it's pointless. Perhaps they have a specific coach they want Correa working with. Perhaps they have too many MI's in AA and are short in AAA. Perhaps they want Correa to hit in the PCL. There can be reasons but I don't see a lot of benefit from playing at AA/AAA in the first half of the season and then getting promoted vs playing half a season at AA and then getting promoted.
  19. kab21
    There is no reason to promote Buxton to AAA in the first half of the season. The difference between AA and AAA isn't that great and it's a good thing for Buxton to develop the camaraderie with the juggernaut of prospects in Chattanooga. At mid season it's a possibility.
  20. kab21
    I'm not sure what the problem is. Hicks is the only CF'er. I think it would be considered a major victory if Hicks was a .700 OPS hitter. If he is doing that then the Twins won't feel as much pressure to promote him but a .700 OPS hitter isn't going to stand in Buxton's way when it's time to come up.
  21. kab21
    Except you used one month of WAR numerous times to show that Suzuki was one of the worst catchers in baseball. It's not what you do.
  22. kab21
    I am using career stats.
  23. kab21
    The best case for this rotation is that there should be fewer games where the Twins are down 3-4 early in the game. But this still isn't a good rotation. Pelfrey and Gibson have 5 K/9 career rates. This is usually a 4-4.50 ERA pitcher in the best case. Nolasco on the other hand has never pitched as well as his stats and that was when he was healthy. I'm not optimistic for a <4 ERA. Mays is kind of a wild card but I wouldn't expect <4 in his first season. Hughes should be much better than he has pitched but overall I see a lot of mediocre but at least that's an improvement from previous seasons.
  24. kab21
    I think we might be jumping the gun a little by planning out 30-40M/yr contracts for Buxton. Those types of contracts will be given to the most elite of the elite players. Right now it should be considered a moderate success if Buxton turned into an early career BJ Upton. He was worth 3-5 WAR/yr as a Ray. Yes, Buxton has the chance to be Michael Trout but many of these elite prospects never reach that potential.
  25. kab21
    If Sano is raking then he will be able to make room with Arcia, Rosario, Hicks or Vargas in the OF or at DH. I don't like the idea of moving Plouffe and putting Sano at 3B. I'm okay with Hunter's defense for a year but long term I like the idea of setting up a good defense and I am not an optimist that Sano will be anything better than below average.
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