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kab21

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Everything posted by kab21

  1. kab21
    Adding to the bullpen really depends on other moves that the Twins make due to cash available and May being in the rotation or bullpen. Let's assume that the Twins have made their big moves and keep May in the bullpen (not what I want). Based on that I sign the best guy that will take 2/12 (ballpark). I might also look at signing a cheaper LOOGY. That gives the Twins a pretty deep bullpen with potential in AAA/AA although it isn't necessarily dominant at the backend.
  2. kab21
    I think Duffey and May could be combined into one best thing. Finding two potentially MOR starters or a setup guy out of the midrange prospects is a huge thing for the Twins. Depth on the pitching staff is key for the Twins going forward.
  3. kab21
    Phil Hughes would have made my list. I really expected him to be the #2 that the Twins needed and he fell apart. Still it is a pretty good list.
  4. kab21
    Of course Hicks has upside but I think you are underselling Murphy's upside. If the Twins end up with a .700 OPS catcher with average to above average defense that catches 120-130 games then this trade is almost certainly a win for the Twins. It can also be a win for the Yankees.
  5. kab21
    Upside is that he improves and hits like he did last year and develops into an above average defender that isn't a FA for 5 more years. Capps is more like Jepsen. Guys that are placeholders for 1 or 2 seasons until something better comes along.
  6. kab21
    Murphy is nothing like Capps. Capps was old, mediocre and going to be a FA.
  7. kab21
    I think Jeff Sullivan might be jumping the gun a little on this one. Hicks had a great month, an okay month and 3 awful months. This was how almost every season went in the minors also and the LHB question is still there. Perhaps he becomes a really good player like Gardner but that lacks the certainty stated above.
  8. kab21
    Absolutely. That is 20M that could be spent somewhere else (like Jordan Zimmerman)
  9. kab21
    A little bummed but I probably am not going to see Park play in Taiwan this weekend. The travel logistics are so much easier to see JP/USA the night before. And it is a much nicer stadium to see a ballgame in.
  10. kab21
    That value is tied to him being a 3B though. he doesn't check any other boxes for teams as a primary choice. Nobody is giving up something valuable to put him at 1B or DH. It is nice that he can play there but there is a huge value difference between 3B and DH for a guy like Plouffe. Zobrist (or even Daniel Murphy) is a guy that can check multiple boxes for a team. And both of those guys are also FA's. Todd Frazier almost certainly has to be on the block. the Rangers have a top prospect to dangle as trade bait. The few teams that are looking for a 3B have several option besides Plouffe.
  11. kab21
    I find it hilarious that people are criticizing JR Murphy and then thinking Turner is part of the solution at catcher for the Twins. Murphy had a .733 MiLB OPS compared to turner's .674 (and sinking) OPS. And Murphy debuted in the majors at almost the same age that Turner was debuting in the minors. Murphy is 10x better than Turner. I think many are overrating how easy it is to acquire a really good catcher. Wieters is kind of expensive and costs a draft pick, Lucroy is going to cost top prospects, Norris might be available but he isn't a great hitter (pretty good) and he has a bad defensive reputation. I think some are using catching defensive stats as absolute. Especially for players with small samples. JR has some pretty solid (or good) defensive scouting reports. I feel much better with him behind the plate than platooning Suzuki with some random 35 yr old catcher. He isn't an exciting player but he should solidify the position for quite awhile. The simple fact is that the Twins had (still have) too many OF'ers and almost zero catching depth. They might have given up a little more value in Hicks but I am not sure he will ever hit enough from the left side to be a full time starter. I won't lose any sleep losing him. He might make the Twins regret this trade but that can happen with any trade.
  12. kab21
    Very few of those 10 teams (just a guess on the exact number since it has been awhile since I looked at the teams) are competitive next season. Rebuilding teams don't trade for 29 yr olds with 2 years of arb left. For example the Braves and Brewers have been mentioned as possible destinations. they lost 94 and 95 games last year and have given every indication that they are rebuilding. Trading prospects for a veteran makes no sense for them.
  13. kab21
    Why doesn't 'X teams need 3B and Y teams don't' work? 3B is a really deep position with a lot of solid players. I am not intentionally limiting anything to make a point. I am actually looking at the market to make a point. I don't think anyone else is. I am being realistic about the teams that are interested in a veteran 3B.
  14. kab21
    I guess I don't understand how the 3B market makes him valuable. There are at least 20 teams that are set at 3B with a veteran. For some reason 3B has become a deep position of fairly good players. Most of the rest of the teams are entering rebuild mode or have a prospect waiting that they might want to try out instead of trading something valuable for Plouffe. Plouffe's trade market and value is almost entirely tied to 2-3 (possibly 4 teams) and the direction that they want to take. If the Angels resign Freese and the Padres/Brewers rebuild then there is almost no market for him. And nobody is saying that Plouffe isn't valuable on the trade market. He doesn't have a lot of demand because very few teams are shopping for a 3B. That does affect his trade value in the short term though.
  15. kab21
    I think it funny how everyone talks down Plouffe and then they try to trade him (part of a package) for Lucroy or include 12M in dead money with him in a trade. He isn't that good.
  16. kab21
    He has averaged 3 WAR the last two seasons and each WAR is worth 5-6M minimum. But basically you are saying that you trade him for anything because he has to be moved? That is what it sounds like. I disagree.
  17. kab21
    he would likely decline it and I would be fine with Plouffe on a one year contract. Plouffe would be stupid to decline it and not go after a multi-year deal.
  18. kab21
    And then you extend him a QO and get a draft pick. the twins don't have to be run like a tiny market baseball team that has to trade players before they become FA's. Plouffe should be traded for one and only one reason: the haul of prospects (or for Norris) is fairly good (like one top 50ish prospect at a minimum). He shouldn't be traded for the sake of trading him.
  19. kab21
    I would not be disappointed at all. Torii was a legit all star player for a decade. If he was Jacque Jones I would be a little disappointed though.
  20. kab21
    signing some lower priced pitchers instead of Nolasco, Hughes and Santana means more Pelfrey and Correia level pitchers. And I think 2 of the 3 pitchers (hughes and Santana) will work out very well for the Twins. Nolasco got injured and has been dreadful. It happens. Getting an ace doesn't have to happen this offseason but if the Twins want to be anything more than an underdog in every playoff series then they will need to address this at some point or hope that Berrios is that pitcher. Yes, the playoffs are a crapshoot but they are more of a longshot when you are an underdog to a more talented team in 3 series. This is what plagued the Twins in the 2000's. They made the playoffs but they were typically considered one of the least talented teams in the playoffs (my hopes were high in 2006 though). It isn't impossible to win this way but it is really hard.
  21. kab21
    He is a prospect whose luster has worn off and your proposal is basically hoping that other GM's haven't noticed. He isn't going to rank in any top 200 lists and no deal for a player at Lucroy's level is going to be headlined by Stewart. These proposals amount to trying to glue together a bunch of things that you don't really want and trying to convince other teams that they have a lot of value. They don't. Other teams are going to be more interested in Kepler, gonsalves or Palacios or risers in the system than someone whose value is plummeting.
  22. kab21
    Arcia is the new Casilla in trade talks. He accounts for <10% of the value of virtually any proposed trade so he really isn't even worth mentioning other than as a throw in. Including Stewart in virtually every trade talk is just as funny. Maybe the opposing GM's haven't noticed that he can't strike out and still have him ranked highly? Quit trying to pawn off mediocre prospects for really good players. And if the Brewers are rebuilding then they are going to want players with more team control than Plouffe and probably Gibson.
  23. kab21
    Being injured and not playing much doesn't equal decline. Yes, there should be concern that he wasn't 100% in the partial season that he played before this contract. If he was 100% then he would be getting 5 yrs (possibly more) for 20+M/yr. And FWIW he caught back to backs 4 times in September. As of right now everything is saying that he is on track for a complete recovery from TJ. This isn't a concussion type injury that will re-occur in the future.
  24. kab21
    He had TJ so please explain your concern.
  25. kab21
    He came back at 12 months and for a catcher I would consider the recovery to be closer to a pitcher. Pitchers can come back in 12 months but if they do then they are usually babied that first season. Just like Wieters. The reason that Wieters is available at a discount is because of this issue. If he had been healthier then he would be getting 5 or more years at 20+M. Basically he would have exceeded McCann's contract.
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