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Thrylos

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Everything posted by Thrylos

  1. Thrylos
    Scott Diamond (AKA "the Twins' Ace" TM Bert Blyleven) begs to disagree...
  2. Thrylos
    The "lone" position battle? I see several: Assuming that Escobar and Adrianza made the team, there are 1-2 bench jobs that need to be won among Vargas, Grossman, Aybar, Granite, and LaMarre. That short lived (and putative, because they might still go with 4) 5th SP battle between Hughes and Duffey The rest of the pen positions 3-4 after the 3 veterans (Rodney, Reed, Duke) and Hughes (if he does not start.) Rogers, Hindenberger, Pressly are not locks for anything. They have been parts of some of the worst pens out there, and frankly, a couple of them suck this spring (and if you cannot throw strikes against lower competition, you cannot throw strikes against higher competition.) To the names mentioned for a spot on the pen, I would add Myles Jaye. That 2017 pen was awful and its center pieces would not cut it in a contender. So it looks about half a dozen jobs need to be won still...
  3. Thrylos
    Thanks for saying what some of us have been saying regarding Sano since the beginning of the BMI police "reporting". I just hope that this ends it, at least for this site. And it is double appreciated, because just a few days ago, you yourself propagated that...
  4. Thrylos
    Thorpe is 21. Another start at Fort Myers would not hurt him. Stashak is 23. He might be the one who gets the call to Chattanooga
  5. Thrylos
    Data: 2017 Buxton: 7.4 BB%, 29.4 K%, 0.25 BB/K, .312 wOBA, 90 wRC+ Sano: 11.2 BB%, 35.8 K%, 0.31 BB/K, .361 wOBA, 124 wRC+ See that BB/K? Sano's strike zone control was better than Buxton's. And of course, their offensive production (wOBA, wRC+) was not even in the ballpark. And this is not about defense or whether someone adds value another way. It was about:
  6. Thrylos
    He pitched really well. However I do not trust the Hammond Stadium gun. It is a couple miles fast. It had Hughes at 92, a velocity he did not reach outside that ballpark. Lynn will pitch at the minor league intersquad games this coming Sunday. It will be interesting to peek at the handhelds and see what his velocity is there. Probably a truer number. So far so good. It will be interesting to see how filling a rotation full of number 3s will play for the Twins this season. If the Twins' number 3 is better than 70% of the other teams' number 3s, that will have them at about 22 games over .500 in the regular season (93-69). The post-season is the issue with this approach.
  7. Thrylos
    The inability to hit breaking pitches, control the strike zone and make adjustments as opponents make their book on you are common career limiters.
  8. Thrylos
    But much better than any season Mauer had since 2013... And unfortunately Mauer will not likely be as good again.
  9. Thrylos
    There is another way that Mauer can remain a Twin for life: Accept a "special assistant" position, like his buddies Way too early to even start thinking about Mauer and this off-season. Let's see what kind of season Mauer, Morrison, Vargas, and Rooker have, including health-wise and can pick up the conversation in October/November...
  10. Thrylos
    I'd rather have him pitch in Southern Tennessee than Upstate New York in April for sure... The competition in AA is probably as good if not better than AAA. Does not really matter and building up innings is all the same. All minor league innings are "wasted" btw...
  11. Thrylos
    Shall I hear more, or shall I speak at this? The single most impressive thing regarding Romero this Spring is the meteoric improvement of his changeup. Not mentioned much, but it has become a plus pitch from an average pitch based on work he did this off-season. Add the change in mechanics that improved his control overall, and Romero might have a very impressive season (and potentially postseason) for the Twins
  12. Thrylos
    Confused. Are you talking about Sano or Buxton?
  13. Thrylos
    The same columnists who were discussing Sano's off-season weight issues were applauding Perkins's venture into home brewing and fried food... Helps to be a Minnesotan vs a Dominican as far as the pundits are concerned...
  14. Thrylos
    Aaron Judge listed at 282; he is larger. Adam Dunn played OF well into the end of his career. He was listed at 285. Matter of fact, now that Lynn is onboard Sano is not the largest player in the Twins as well. Nor was he last season; Colon was. But for some reason, Colon's weight was "cute". As was Puckett's and Newman's for some reason... I just don't get the bias against Sano. Let's see what he does at the field and then start being critical.
  15. Thrylos
    Maybe. But that was a horrible bullpen. And he is a novelty type of pitcher. And novelty (unlike stuff) tends to wear out. Some people might argue that Busenitz was or that Belisle was or that Kintzler was... Kinda tough to point at the one-eyed person among the blind and saying that he should be around...
  16. Thrylos
    I would not pencil in Trevor Hildenberger, Ryan Pressly, or Taylor Rogers, as "locks" for the Twins' pen, ahead of eg. Duffey Other than the 4 veterans (the 3 new guys plus Hughes) there are no locks. Everyone who is returning in that pen was part of one of the worst pens in the game. No locks. I think that the biggest loser with the Lynn signing was Fernando Romero who had an outside chance to make the team and be good. Maybe he will do so mid-season. I would also not write Vargas out and/or call Grossman a lock. Neither or both can make the team or someone like Granite and Aybar might. These 4 are fighting for 2 spots and any combination might be in play. Give it 2 weeks, we'll know.
  17. Thrylos
    Yeah. There is another part of that equation here: Lots of the Angels' helium is based on Ohtani helium who so far seems unable to get AAAA players out. Ohtani has been so bad that the Angels had him pitch at the back fields his last start so will not attract attention. That team will be a circus this season. Mark my words
  18. Thrylos
    Looks like Odorizzi will get the Opening Day with Berrios the home opener in order to be able to pitch in Puerto Rico
  19. Thrylos
    There is only one free agent arm that might make sense for the Twins right now: Greg Holland on an 1 yr contract plus and option...
  20. Thrylos
    Baseball reference lists Dan Uggla as the player closest to Dozier. In the last 3 seasons preceeding his free agency, he had: OPS+ 123 bWAR 10.9 fWAR 11.4 He became a free agent in 2011 and signed a 4y/$48M contract after age 30. The average salary back then was about $3M and now about $4M, so that 4/48 today would have a 4/64 equivalent, which seems about right, other than maybe the 4 part. A 3/40 is more likely, esp. with the other high quality second basemen, in addition to the superstars, who are going to be free agents this coming fall.
  21. Thrylos
    It's more complicated than Gordon vs. Dozier for 2019: It is almost certain (if of course Dozier performs well in 2018) that the Twins will make a qualifying offer, which Dozier may or may not take.If he does not take it, and signs with another team, the Twins gain a high draft pick.Kinda hate it that Eduardo Escobar sounds like the forgotten man in this conversation. Regardless Gordon's readiness, he could be the Twins' second baseman in 2019.Asdrubal Cabrera, Logan Forsythe, Freddy Galvis, Ian Kinsler, D.J. LeMahieu, Jed Lowrie, Daniel Murphy, Sean Rodriguez are all free agents next off-season and will be competing with Dozier for a new job. That job might be with the Twins. Will the Twins be better off with LeMahieu (the premier defender at 2B in the game, plus a great, albeit less powerful bat) than Dozier (who is 2 years older) in the intermediate term? Will the Twins be better with Buxton and Polanco (their 2 fastest players based on statcast) on top of the order than Dozier and Mauer in 2019?The Twins let more popular players (Morneau for one, Gaetti for another) walk, and it was not the end of the world in the fanbase.There is a lot in play here, and no way we can answer (or need to answer really) this right now. We got to see how 2018 goes for the Twins and Dozier, it will be a critical data point in the decision...
  22. Thrylos
    Danny Neagle and Bert Blyleven. And a guy named Morneau (and a guy who brought Liriano and Nathan). I would not trade any for Lynn Also, their is the assumption that this front office will draft like the previous front office, which is false... Also, their is the assumption that their 3rd best pick will be their 3rd round pick, which is also false since they are having supplemental competitive balance pick before that at 75th overall. So it very well be that pick and not their 3rd round pick. Lots of good players better than Lynn were taken after the 75th pick overall
  23. Thrylos
    Hildenberger has about 1/3 of MLB experience under his belt and has been pretty sucky this Spring. Not sure that he is a lock... He has options. Same with Grossman as far as suckiness goes. He does not have options, but has a non-guaranteed contract and the Twins can use part of that $2M elsewhere.
  24. Thrylos
    Based on the fact that the turned the worst team in the Twins' history in Minnesota into the postseason, just in one season, I'd say that the front office knows more about what they are doing than it's doubters. Cannot challenge the facts, because, unlike business value, they are not subjective. They got a bargain on LoMo. They are looking for more, but they are not and should not overpay for what they think is mediocrity.
  25. Thrylos
    Things that work against Lynn: He is on the declining side of his careerHe has a pretty non-stellar season (1.4 fWAR, 4.82 FIP) in the NLHe made only $7.5 million the previous season and should not expect much of a raise based on his bad performanceHe has only one decent pitch, the fastball, that he throws 3 ways: 4-seamer, 2-seamer, cutter. If/when that does not work, he is up the proverbial creek.The Cardinals know him better and they are competing. If he were an asset, they would had tried to re-sign him. He comes off a lost season (2016). They know his medicals.He will cost a high draft pick who can be better than Lynn (think Berrios)4.25 ERA, 1.517 WHIP against the AL last seasonBased on his previous performance, and injury history he comes with a ton of rish. That 2/$20 offer the Twins made, is not a lowball, but it reflects the above. It is a more than fair offer, since he will be getting a 33% raise after a down year. That 1.4 fWAR was pretty close to Gibson's 1.1 fWAR last season; Gibson's FIP was an eerily similar 4.85, but in the AL.He should had taken the money (QO) and run...
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