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PseudoSABR

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Everything posted by PseudoSABR

  1. PseudoSABR
    He spent most of his adult life in the Twins organization; it's safe to say he has some ties here.
  2. PseudoSABR
    It doesn't necessarily bother me but I also realize that if the groundcrew had etched some Wiccan (or heck, Islamic) symbols into the mound, we wouldn't be giving the Cardinals same kind of a latitude. It's easily to brush the ethics of expressing one's freedom of religion, when that religion is a dominant force in our society. Rob Neyer hits on this very issue (and Seattle flying a pride flag), and I largely agree with all of his points.
  3. PseudoSABR
    Pfft. Only eight strikeouts over four innings.
  4. PseudoSABR
    Sano with a HR and 3B in two games.
  5. PseudoSABR
    A one or two week return seems far better than unknown to me.
  6. PseudoSABR
    Say, that the Twins remain competitive (or even heat up) through the deadline; perhaps it becomes unpalatable to become sellers, but maybe there's a way to build for the future by buying at the deadline. What would you be willing to give up for Gallardo? He's signed through next year and still fairly young (27). He started out slowly but has regained his ace form recently (though his K-rate is at a career low). This is wishful thinking, because I imagine he'd cost more than we're willing to give up.
  7. PseudoSABR
    Worley might be ahead of Pelfrey by the time he is healthy as well. Pelfrey's role was to buy time, and though he didn't do it effectively, that role has probably closed, and the Twins should explore other options and avoid paying any more incentives to Pelfrey's ineffectiveness.
  8. PseudoSABR
    There you go.
  9. PseudoSABR
    I do, it's why I don't bet so much on the results. Go figure.
  10. PseudoSABR
    Willihammer's motivational speech works, evidently. And really, it takes some dudes time to figure it out. How long did it take Cuddyer to get right in the big leagues? Even Morneau took a minute. The notion that you give up on a first round draft pick that's shown success (though not sustainable) at both lower levels and even major league in puffs seems foolish. You ride it out, until dude gets expensive. Maybe sending Parm down is part of the solution, but I don't quite see it, unless it's just at bats he needs to get better (but I doubt it's that simple).
  11. PseudoSABR
    Personally, I just don't buy the easy-out stat that saves us the trouble of paying attention to a number of metrics. I think there's lots of horse**** in regards to new metrics, because there's money to be had in the promotion of easy-go-to references for what has been complicated scouting and inference from basic statistics. I actually think this is an intersting metaphor--why was the Higgs-Bonson particle namesaked as the god particle? Because it was theorized that it would account for the mass differential of an atom and what we can actually account for (protons, neutrons, electrons, the like). But after discovering that particles (a field really) exist that might fit the Higgs-Bonson profile, (and I'm not a scientist so correct me if I'm wrong), the mass differential still exists (between the parts and the whole). There's still **** in an atom that we can't quantify--humbling **** for science and humanity honestly. The weight (or worth) of a pitcher probably will never be easily quantifiable (which, honestly is awesome, because it takes a number a skills to pick the right measures)--the metrics that claim to do a better job of either measuring what a pitcher has contributed to a win or what he will contribute to a win make me cringe with cynicism. I doubt I'm the only one.
  12. PseudoSABR
    Seriously, Levi, can you not concieve of an instance where the results in AAA belie the capacity for major league success? Liam Hendricks exists. Gibson has 'earned' his shot, but that in and of itself doesn't translate to major league success, especially if his coaches and management see part of his game that is vulnerable. I just don't get the cynicism, it seems totally assumptive and weighted towards a preconceived point of view. And I think you're totally wrong about the money-spending fanbase knowing much about Gibson at all. Really, that's my hunch, and my cynicism as well. But I think the fanbase is pretty much a cross-section of the American populace, which well, isn't all that bright, thoughtful, or attentive. Most don't probably know who Trevor Plouffe is, Willingham is probably still totally foreign to many. Gibson? Who? Pshwwww?
  13. PseudoSABR
    Well, that's why I clarified (I specifically told you how you're 'supposed to think' about what I had said). And, if you think about it, you don't to make announcements about some player's development and not other's because the one's you don't make announcements for get weirded out (real, rational human effect). So you make a policy where you don't make announcements on development. Seems prudent and mature to me. Again, you simply focus on Gibson's AAA results and not whatever else might lead to major league success. You act as if there's no track record for pitchers dominating AAA and failing at the major league level (in fact the Twins just had such player, ahem, Hendricks). There's myriad possibilities from Gibson's preparation, approach, pitch selection, coachability, on-and-on that don't show up in AAA boxscores, but will lead to failure at the ML. Again, this is not to say that Gibson hasn't earned his shot (I believe he has), but that Twins are somehow nefarious in this regard is asinine. And really, such continued suggestions seem not only out of touch, but also trollish.
  14. PseudoSABR
    It makes a huge assumption that pitchers don't have control of of balls in play, which seems absurd to me. Pitchers don't even have absolute control of walks, strikeouts, or homeruns--they'd need BIP (batting-independent pitching) for that (though maybe xFIP attempts to do something that through standardization). Like I said, FIP can tell us a something about the ERA, but both stats in themselves don't give us a clear picture of a pitcher's contribution.
  15. PseudoSABR
    The people that are upset by Gibson not being called up are a very small portion of the fanbase. We're hyperfans on this board. Such announcements could also be counterproductive if there's some attitude or psychological reason that might hold a player back (not saying that is at all the case with Gibson). I'm also sure that the Twins are in communication with Gibson about what he needs to accomplish (whether in results or approach, etc.) to get to the big leagues.
  16. PseudoSABR
    How horrible it is for a GM to take personal stake in prospects. Oh boy. Honestly, I doubt most GMs make such trips, and the fact that such endeavors are used against the front office seems petty. I doubt TR's evaluation is simply about promotion but probably has as much to do wit long term plans. Yes, perhaps the club held players back for a week so they could be seen by the actual GM--maybe Buxton (or Harrison or Walker, or whomever) misses an oh-so meaningful week of Ft. Myers ball (at most). I'm glad to see that the guy in charge of making a winning ball club wants to personally see the minor league prospects at such a low level--there must be potential meaningful parts of future major league club there for TR to go to such trouble. For my part, TR as a roving scout demonstrates investment in minor league system as whole, if not individual players--more, I hope it indicates a keen anticipation of future needs. Get out there, TR, and assess what you need to add to the system or how much you should rally over what we already have. If the dude is going to Cedar Rapids, he's digging in. I'm not sure how many GMs actually visit their low-A affiliate, but it's super cool the Twins GM is one of them.
  17. PseudoSABR
    Right. That sounds logical and beneficial to development. But I think we see Parm stay on the roster throughout the summer, because the Twins plan to trade somebody(ies) in the next month. It's silly but both the fanbase and media seems to be confusing flirting with .500 for competing for a playoff spot, which is just a silly way long off.
  18. PseudoSABR
    Kepler with his first hit (a double) and a walk.
  19. PseudoSABR
    And Santana led the Twins to ten world championships! What a glib response.
  20. PseudoSABR
    That's not a forgone conclusion. I think the relationship between FIP and ERA is similar to BABIP and AVG. A given pitchers FIP tells us something about that same pitcher's ERA in terms of it's statistical variance. FIP, just like BABIP, looked at exclusively and not compared to career norms doesn't tell us much, and seems irresponsible. FIP is a favorite around here because it disfavors 'ground ball pitchers' in its very nature. That pitchers have the capacity to effect balls in play is totally excised from the FIP stat.
  21. PseudoSABR
    I'm not sure how you think General Manager job works. But if you're unwilling to credit TR for signing Correia (or judging it to be a good idea to do so), than you can't hold him responsible for any decision he's ever made (to give credit or blame). I imagine there's always someone within the front office with closer ties to individual players and transactions than the GM.
  22. PseudoSABR
    Right. There's something. And I think we are too fixated on results, when we hear a word like consistency. Let's not forget that Hendricks dominated AAA before laying an egg at the big league level. There might be consistency problems in Gibson's approach, mechanics, preparation, what-have-you, that aren't showing up in the AAA boxscore, that will show up when he reaches the majors. The notion that the Twins are just being stubborn or giving 'scholarships' to lesser players seems nonsensical, and can be dismissed out of hand. The Twins are clearly concerned about something; I just hope that Gibson's recent run alleviates those concerns. I also have some skepticism about the actual innings limit; I wonder how devoted the Twins really are to that restriction--because if they aren't married to an innings limit, keeping Gibson in AAA doesn't seem as egregious.
  23. PseudoSABR
    It's obviously just some dude's opinion; it doesn't need to be any more than that. By my own eye-test, I think the defense in the infield is much improved; even the catcher play seems improved from both Mauer and Doumit. I don't know if the stats bear that out (or even if stats can substantiate much about defense). Honestly, if lots of people are seeing a better defense (as flawed as each's perception might be), there's probably something to it.
  24. PseudoSABR
    Compelling counter argument.
  25. PseudoSABR
    What does scholarship even mean? That someone has earned the right to have an entire year to make due? Or that someone has been given a pass in spite of their actual earningness of such a pass? I'm not sure I get it. Taking Diamond out is foolish, if we consider this a developmental season (as opposed to the pejorative, 'rebuilding'). I'd look to TRADE Pelfry or Corriea before demoting anyone. Gibson's time will come, while it might be frustrating, I sense that the Twins are trying to maximize the value of their veterans--the unfortunate byproduct is that they are playing better. Ugh.
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