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jokin

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Everything posted by jokin

  1. jokin
    I guess your editor took Labor Day off?
  2. jokin
    DickNBert said that the "good, long look" for our latest Schafer would include extended stints in both LF and RF- to find out if he's "part of the solution" as the 4th OFer in 2017- as if there weren't more than adequate clues as to what he brings to the table, solution-wise, from his previous 5 stints on the Brewers' roster. And those predictions of no need to worry, Schafer is only getting 7-8 PAs after his call-up, have proven to be wildly "optimistic". Schafer is currently at 14 PAs- and counting... and this is after Buxton has been called up and started 4 games in CF. Like Grossman, and many others before him, the initial results for Schafer always tend to look alluring and intoxicating, but those early-evening diamond in the rough results invariably precede the morning-after hangover of AAAA reality.
  3. jokin
    I'm sure the Twins have one...
  4. jokin
    Why not Granite?
  5. jokin
    Talk about adding insult to injury...
  6. jokin
    Well played, Sir! I Diaz has generated barely a ripple of discussion on the board, of the very young prospects, it's pretty much been Kiriloff non-stop. Where do you see Diaz landing in the prospect rankings- closer to 20ish- or closer to 10ish? In addition, I think it's time for Twins Daily to get Bref and Fangraphs up to speed with their physical stats on Diaz- he's still listed at his baby size- 6'3" and 180#s. How is he carrying the extra weight- masses of lean muscle mass or Vargas-esque pudge?
  7. jokin
    Take a guess on who the leading hitter is at E-Town. If you assumed it was Kiriloff, try again. Lewin Diaz is hitting .310 with a .930 OPS. Two questions: 1) Has Kiriloff been shut down? 2) How much has Diaz raised his prospect stock in 2016? Still only 19. Seems like a kid at 6' 3" and 180#s who could fill out into a monster.
  8. jokin
    Schafer has to be going back down then, right? Need a CF if Roc?
  9. jokin
    Correction- Berrios gave up only two HRs, not three. But what a great AAA game to view- the Wings look like a team playing for something- and Berrios is making his own statement besides a playoff berth. Great defense, crisp, efficient pitching from both teams. Berrios was of course, very impressive, Vargas and Garver too (Garver lost what could/should have been a hit to the scorekeeper). Walker played CF after Buxton departed and did just fine.
  10. jokin
    That's what I suspected. Thanks. Then it makes perfect sense to call Garver up when Rochester finishes their season. (DFA Centeno?)
  11. jokin
    You mean besides the 20% CS rate? Or allowing the highest number of Wild Pitches? Or ranking 26th in Catching Defense by Fangraphs? Bottom quintile in assists? 2nd to last in Putouts? Bottom quintile in DRS and rSB?
  12. jokin
    I would hope they're long-past worrying about burning one of a soon-to-be-26 year old's option years... so hopefully, wrong. I mean, the club needs as many data points on their projected 2017 catching situation as possible. Is there a legitimate reason that Garver can't both get a call-up and play AFL ball?
  13. jokin
    Good points overall, prospect catchers develop at the slowest rate of all prospects- with good reason. The Twins made a decision early on to put Turner on the faster track with respect to Garver- he clearly had/has the better tools to play the position in the majors. He also beat Garver out for the Bench award in college. Garver took the whole situation as a challenge, and he has clearly responded in exactly the way the Twins had hoped he would. I have to object to your characterization of Garver's season in Ft Myers, though. His underlying numbers were sterling among all catchers in a very tough, power-starved, pitchers' league. FSL numbers: 1st in OBP, 1st in IsoD, 1st in BB%, 3rd in wOBA, 3rd in wRC+. Garver's FSL numbers were also skewed by an outlying BABIP of .287 relative to his minor league career BABIP of .311 for A ball and above and .335 if you throw out his year at Ft Myers. Garver has a great eye at the plate and can hit for some power. To further support the case, his offensive production in the AA Southern League was far superior to past Southern League catchers who became decent-hitting major leaguers, like Vogt, Lake and Gattis.
  14. jokin
    So if I'm reading this right, it's still mathematically possible, if not probable, that the Lookouts could have the best overall SL record and not make the playoffs? Arghh, minor league baseball..
  15. jokin
    Great to see that you now acknowledge that Maddon and Epstein do indeed represent "progress" in baseball terms, whereas in the past we frequently locked horns each time some of us philosophically supported both of them in their moves and machinations and you took the opposing POV.
  16. jokin
    But that's exactly what the beat writers, opinion writers and bloggers have been suggesting is Tonkin's destiny for 3 years now (presumably with encouraging whispers from the Twins coaches and management). Tonkin and his straight FB and inability to hold runners appears to have slightly better upside in an Anthony Swarzak-type role. (BTW, interesting to note Swarzak's increased velocity and K/9 rate since leaving the Twins- both numbers comparable to Tonkin)
  17. jokin
    More "good news". With the current 10 game losing streak, the Twins have now climbed down to within one game of the Braves in the race to the bottom and the resultant grand prize of the #1 overall 2017 draft pick.... so there's that to shoot for, as well. In that regard, I hope the Twins haven't failed to plan for a plan to fail over the last 31 games.
  18. jokin
    The only good news that immediately comes to mind is that the club has indicated that they are finally ready to enter the 21st Century and do what many of us have been asking for for most of this century (and what most other clubs have recognized is critical to on-field success in the ever-complexifying game of baseball) - ie- going outside of the insular Twins culture and hiring a President of Baseball Operations who presumably in turn will hire a hungry, youngish and degreed with a highly mathematically/systems-oriented pedigree as the new GM. Oh, and the other good news? Only 31 games left for the Twins faithful to be forced to endure.
  19. jokin
    Heh. Got that right. MLB 1B averages: wOBA- .333 wRC+- 107 Mauer's averages: wOBA- .336 wRC+- 109 Sooo, Mauer is slightly better than average
  20. jokin
    Another way to look at Mauer's year among 1B (and more meaningful): wRC+- 109 (ranked 19th) wOBA- .336 (ranked 20th) UZR/150- 2.0 (ranked 8th) fWAR- 1.5 (ranked 14th) Pretty mediocre #s in a net down season for all MLB 1st baseman.
  21. jokin
    Yeah, guys like..., for example, Meyer, who has demonstrated both past and recent dominance at AAA level? Or wait, is Meyer your "NEGATIVE" value guy? It gets confusing...
  22. jokin
    I did a little Southern League stat research. The numbers suggest that the Twins have a pretty good future tandem in Chattanooga. The SL has produced top-hitting MLB catchers in recent years, including Lucroy, Vogt and Gattis- Garver's comparable numbers in the SL easily exceed all 3 of them in almost all respects. *** (See Below!) Yes, Garver doesn't get the love behind the plate that Turner does, but he passed the eye test when I saw him catch in Ft Myers last year (Eades was wild and didn't have his best stuff, Garver somehow got him into the 7th inning and threw out two runners). And I don't think I'm speaking out of turn by disclosing that in private conversations with our Cedar Rapids correspondent, SD Buhr, that he was emphatic that Garver had MLB-potential defensive tools when he played at the A level in 2014. And it's worth mentioning yet again, he was the runner-up top NCAA catcher two years running- just behind Mike Zunino and Stuart Turner for the Johnny Bench Award. Here are some interesting catcher hitting stats in the Southern League: Top 12 hitting catchers- min. 170 PA (average age- 24.333 years). *** Mitch Garver (age 25.5) (some of these numbers attained as a DH) SLG .452 (1st) OPS .806 (1st) ISO .176 (1st) wOBA .369 (1st) wRC+ 132 (1st) OBP .354 (3rd) BB% 11.1% (4th) Stuart Turner is a year younger, and somewhat surprisingly, his offensive production falls right in the middle of the top 12 SL catchers (and has improved as the season has progressed).
  23. jokin
    Agreed on all points. I just originally said it was within the realm of possibility... and why it was yet another reason why this was a good trade for the Twins in not having another potential liability overhanging such a bad trade in the first place.
  24. jokin
    Let's hope that this continues moving forward. There is evidence there to present caution in making any presumptions. I do hope the Twins have learned from the recent past not to do a Hughes-like extension if his production produces clues that it will be suspect going forward.
  25. jokin
    Hmmm. I'm not a fan of Nolasco, and as I've previously stated many times, it's a great trade to unload that contract that never should have been signed in the first place. Just saying that Santiago is far from a panacea... Santiago career numbers as a SP: FIP- 4.64 xFIP 4.83 Nolasco career numbers as a SP: FIP- 3.85 xFIP- 3.83 Santiago over recent seasons has been playing for a team in the Top Quintile for team defense. Nolasco over recent seasons has been playing for a team in the Bottom Quintile for team defense.
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