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jokin

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Everything posted by jokin

  1. jokin
    Yes.
  2. jokin
    If Sano has a first half like he had in Ft Myers, the clamor to get him to Minnesota will be deafening. The Twins should be gently ticking the phone lines for indications of interest for both Plouffe and Arcia, but only with the idea of pulling the trigger on one or the other when and if Sano proves to be ready. 3rd base has finally stabilized, why put it into a state of chaos or having yet another player playing out of position before Sano's future position has been more firmly established?
  3. jokin
    Absolutely! I've been in favor of this move since his last FA. I'm wondering what it would take to convince him to consider the Twins,former A's teammate Kurt Suzuki to place a couple phone calls?
  4. jokin
    "Struggle not to drown" better? The main point remains, there was no "plan" implemented at the major league level to address the lack of a run prevention strategy, other small market teams have done so and thrived. Pitt did it their way, Miami did it differently, but has gone from #1 NL laughingstock just a year ago during the 2013 season, to having one of the most respected pitching staffs in the game. The Twins "strategy" appears to sign speculative SP FAs along with 2 trades to keep the leaky boat afloat in the short-intermediate term, and in the meantime, draft bushels of K-throwing college relievers and sign 4 HS arms and hope it all pans out to big success by 2017-18.
  5. jokin
    AJ Achter...Stephen Pryor....Brandon Peterson...DJ Johnson....Adrian Salcedo...Matt Tomshaw...Tyler Jones
  6. jokin
    Dougie reported yesterday that Ryan and Antony met with Molitor. Sure seems like he was the manager-in-waiting all along, and he made his case stronger during the season, with the apparent public backing he has from some of the players.
  7. jokin
    Yep. Here're the Twins K/9 rank since 2008: 08- 26th 09- 23rd 10- 26th 11- 30th 12- 30th 13- 30th 14- 30th The Twins had bad K-rates from 08-10, but their defense was for the most part good enough to make up for the K deficiency to produce three straight winning seasons. The Twins have the worst K-rates from 11-14 and the defense can't come close to making up the K deficiency. (Interesting to note, with the SP upgrade this year, the K/9 rate of 6.47 in 2014 is actually higher than the average K/9 of 6.38 for the years 2008-10... which obviously shows the K-rates around the league continue to rise while the Twins struggle just to stay above water).
  8. jokin
    Walker dropped from 10 to 13, and his numbers in A+ still raise red flag doubts on whether he'll ever be a productive major leaguer, Harrison dropped from 12 to 18 and had similar struggles in Ft Myers to Walker leading to the same doubts long-term. Kepler fell from 8 to 16 and it becomes ever more doubtful if there will ever be a spot available for him on the Twins before they have to make a decision on cutting ties. Rosario was a well-documented mess in 2014, falling from 5 to 12. Bottom line, all four need to have big years at Chattanooga in 2015 to stay in the mix as future elite Twins prospects.
  9. jokin
    Quoting that 50% figure sure seems concerning enough to Twins management/ownership for Dave St Peter to dredge it up, yet again on Monday. They must see a link, or then, Why say it?
  10. jokin
    Actually, the top tier FAs carry a pretty significant chunk of risk, as well (Pujols, Tanaka, Zito, etc.)
  11. jokin
    All true, except the Pohlad's only would have been $150M CASH poorer, which was more than made up multiple times by the increase in net value of the franchise, plus the yearly cash flow on the back end of the deal- the concept of retained earnings doesn't apply here.
  12. jokin
    Then why does the organization repeatedly and unabashedly harken back to that now-apochryphal quote? Dave St Peter just this last Monday assured reporters that the 2015 budget would include a continuation of the payroll being set at "around 50%"? Except that $85-86M isn't anywhere near 50% of overall revenues, nevertheless, here's DSP's attempt at "reassurance"- : http://www.1500espn.com/sportswire/Notebook_Terry_Ryan_will_remain_Twins_general_manager092914
  13. jokin
    The vibe on this list largely is either "falling back"- 5 guys are ranked lower on Seth's Top 50 from a year ago- Thorpe, Rosario, Walker, Kepler and Harrison or "staying about the same"- Gonsalves, Minier and Jones. Only Duffey, who jumped from #45 to #15 and Hu at #17 look like "comers". By contrast, Seth's 11-20 last year graduated FOUR players to the Twins- Vargas, Santana, May, Pinto. This list of 11-20 has only lower-upside Duffey and more of a 2015 longshot in Rosario with any possible chance of helping the big club next year.
  14. jokin
    Yeah, but it seems the Twins often find reasons to do so. It seems if the kid can improve on his contact issues between now and next spring he has a chance to really flourish in a full-year setting, a better facility than E-Town, and with higher level teammates and competition.
  15. jokin
    Minier is actually 3 months younger than Nick Gordon. Did Minier show enough in GCL to get a chance to (presumably) join Gordon starting out in Cedar Rapids? Just with these 2 names plus the other possible position players and arms ranked between #20-50, plus the 2014 E-Town guys, seems to portend well for another really good Class A team with at least a half-dozen high-end/major league starter-level prospects.
  16. jokin
    I would counter by saying that the Twins have been in an unspoken, and hence clumsy and dishonest, rebuild since August of 2011. Regarding the Astros, add "much-maligned in these parts" to the front of "Houston Astros" and add "Miami Marlins and Chicago Cubs" to to the back, and you now see 3 teams, not just one, that are "in a better place as a result." And with respect to the new stadium, the Twins could have chosen to stay in "all-in" mode after 2011, the decision to crawl into the fetal position is on ownership. What they have demonstrably proven in the meantime is that "half-in/half-out" almost never works as a strategy for on-field success.
  17. jokin
    Which brings up a cogent point, based on today's moves, Joe Vavra's kids have to be thinking about the somewhat apocryphal quote, attributed to an IBM executive, as Microsoft and Apple began eclipsing the business model of the once-vernable comapny:
  18. jokin
    I advocated for Searage in the recent past, but based on this......: I don't think Ryan would see him as a good fit, more like daily salt poured into old wounds.
  19. jokin
    This is demonstrably not true. The rebuild tacitly began after the 2011 All Star Game. The Twins announced that payroll was going to be drastically cut for 2012, in August of 2011. They then quickly moved Young and Thome out of town, followed by Cuddyer, Kubel and Nathan opting for free agency in October after the Twins low-balled them. Bill Smith was fired a week later, as Pohlad finally convinced Ryan that, as a rebuild specialist, was the right man for the job.
  20. jokin
    I hope Joe Schmit is closer to the truth than "Meathead".
  21. jokin
    KSTP's Joe Schmit brought up an interesting point on his sportscast tonight, saying something about time to end the "handoff" system, particularly when the system isn't working, even though he acknowledged this corner-turning you speak of. His comments essentially went, "It's time for a sweeping change, and the best way to do that is to install a much different, much younger point of view. The Twins have a wealth of young talent almost ready to contribute, the last time the Twins had an opportunity just like this one was 1986, the Twins in that era were unafraid to install a 32-year old GM in Andy MacPhail, and a 36-year old manager in Tom Kelly. And recognizing the team's growing diversity, and more impact Latin players on the way, it's incumbent on the Twins to hire a Latin coach."
  22. jokin
    Jimmy P finally shows up back in town, to provide some push-back to the TR push-back. Dave St Pete piles on, apparently with something plumbing-related.
  23. jokin
    Yeah. The personnel moves made this year, both short- and intermediate-term, plus, as La Bombo pointed out in the previous post, TR's mea culpa on his "Gardy vote of confidence" on August 21, indicate that Ryan had his hand forced to make these necessary changes by ownership- he seems to have had a bit of a tin ear at the level of the looming crisis in revenue-stream collapse- a 30% drop in ticket sales and collapsing media ratings means business as usual was not an option. I mean... why the insistence on bringing back Florimon to start at SS no matter how obvious it was that he wasn't up to the job with not one, but two younger, better alternatives at the ready?; placement on the roster of Bartlett, Guerrier and Kubel; Suzuki v Pinto for PT; the manager and his coaches all-but-in-revolt over their demands, insisting that Ryan up his 11th hour offer to extening Suzuki; and why wasn't the whole month of September better orchestrated as a month long tryout for 2015 roster spots?
  24. jokin
    Great post, and a turnover of the coaching staff can make some of this more possible. It's inexplicable that a team in its 4th year of the rebuild would still have the 4th oldest pitching staff. People forget that Gardy and the acting GM purposefully decided not to bring up Santana out of spring training after his tremendous showing in March, and given a trial run at SS while Florimon made it clearer in Rochester if he was up to the task, and also that Santana only got a starting gig, as literally, The Last Man Standing, after the Twins bumbled in losing multipleactual CFs off of waivers, and then, consecutive concussions from Hicks and Fuld.
  25. jokin
    + 2 Brevity.... Part Deux
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