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stringer bell

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Everything posted by stringer bell

  1. I see Hurt started and McBrayer isn’t playing. It makes a short bench even shorter.
  2. I basically agree with Smerf, but not on the numbers. I don’t think there is 50% in the national Republican coalition, but I do believe they can more reliably turn out 45-47% of the national electorate, despite disagreement on almost every issue beyond “limit abortion, low taxes and smaller government.” Getting a Democratic coalition together seems harder, and as Smerf said, gerrymandered districts tend to elect radical partisans.
  3. The win counts. The circumstances are no deal breaker.
  4. I like Reusse. I don’t think today’s newspapers will ever produce guys like him (and Sid) any time in the future.
  5. I think they need another big to be a true contender for hardware. Especially true given Lynch’s foul-trouble history. I think they can play with anyone, but will lose a few games from outside shooting issues and the aforementioned depth problems in the #4 and #5 positions.
  6. I hope the Senate can stop this monstrosity. I don’t know if the country’s luck can hold up much longer. The GOP’s ability to “screw up a two-car funeral” can’t continue, amiright?
  7. And the party of Bush wasn't so great.
  8. Gerrymandering is a dam and a wave goes over the dam. It is totally possible that a wave can breach the dam and give unprepared incumbents their walking papers. It happened in the eighth district in MN (Oberstar) and could happen to anyone who has appeared safe for several elections. Republicans know they are in for a tough time, so they will try to protect themselves. They are saddled by Trump, an even more unpopular Congress, and the reality that they have advanced further than they have a right to expect. Democrats really need to sharpen their message if they want to retake Congress. I think vulnerable Republicans will be formidable unless there is a clear reason to vote for the opposition party. Down the ballot in the legislatures is where Democrats can steamroller Republicans and where it will really matter with redistricting coming up in four years. For example in Minnesota, we are almost guaranteed to lose a seat in Congress. If Republicans draw the lines, they will consolidate the core cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul into one super-blue Congressional District and make the other six lean more Republican. Granted, there are two general elections before lines are drawn, but if Democrats want some degree of equality, they need to make major gains a year from now. In addition, restricting voters in one fashion or another is a thing for Republicans and will only advance further unless Democrats take back legislatures and statehouses.
  9. Expanding on Don Walcott’s comments above. According to espn, all qualified second basemen were grouped between +1 and -1 wins IIRC. There weren’t any great or horrible defenders. Dozier won, good for him. Because of Altuve, he may never win a Silver Bat and in another era, he might already have won multiple Silver Sluggers.
  10. My faith in today's defensive metrics is equal to my belief that traditional defensive stats don't truly represent defensive efficiency. Dozier is an okay defender where there are a whole bunch of okay defenders IMHO. Dozier played more games than the other nominees so maybe that matters. Good for him!
  11. It's an uphill fight for a Democrat, but if the economy slips at all, I think Arizona is in play. Besides Trump's cluelessness, crassness, and narcissism, I can't think of one proposal he has made that is truly popular. Repealing Obamacare failed in part because the Republican proposals were far worse than the existing law. Now it is tax reform, and again Trump and the Republican's proposals are at about 30%. Finally, if anyone is paying attention, Republicans have failed to govern. Despite having a majority in both houses of Congress and the Presidency, they have passed little meaningful legislation. If an election in 2018 is a referendum on Republicans ability to govern, they should be tossed.
  12. It looks like the Twins MVP was awarded an additional hit after the season. I was checking BB Ref for Dozier's career bWAR and noticed they had him at .271 to finish the season. I was pretty sure he had exceeded his career high number by one point so I checked a couple other sites. Three of the five have him at .271 (.856 OPS) while two have him at .269 (.853). Somewhere someone must have changed an error to a hit.
  13. Probably both deserve the honor, but neither is a lock to leave Fort Myers next year with the major league club. The top prospects of past years are now in place in Minnesota--Berrios, Polanco, Kepler, Sanó, Rosario and Buxton. There aren't many future regulars in the high minors, particularly among the position players. If the regulars stay healthy, there really isn't a real need for help from the minors.
  14. While Garver may or may not have been the best hitter in the minors the last two years, I think it points out the lack of hitters that are in the Twins' organization, especially in the high minors. Garver is not young for the level he has played either. If he's serviceable behind the plate, I think he'll hit enough to be a major leaguer, but I haven't seen enough out of him to believe he'll develop into even a regular. I don't think they can consider Garver to get DH plate appearances.
  15. Here's a name from outside the organization: Nicholas Castellanos. The Tigers made him available in August and no one claimed him. The bat is solid 26 HR 101 RBI, .811 OPS. He hits righty and plays two positions (not well) OF and 3B. He'd be an alternative in RF if Kepler continued to flail against LH pitching and a backup option at third if Sano can't stay there and Escobar reverts to being a utility infielder.
  16. Correction. They won't redraw until after the 2020 elections. Basically, today's gerrymanders will be in place through 2020. There should be a lot more Democrats in office from state legislatures on up, but I've seen this picture before and Republicans and their voters have defied conventional wisdom.
  17. Dozier was a pretty good leadoff guy this year. Yes, he hit 34 homers, many of them solos, but he had his top OBP and he worked the count quite well.
  18. I agree with the selection. Twins broadcasters said that BD had a better year this year. I wouldn't go that far, but he was very good. I think his overall contribution puts him near elite, with only Altuve being clearly superior to him at his position. There is something to be said for his durability, as well. Since he became a regular st second base, he's logged far more games and plate appearances than anyone on the Twins and I don't know of anyone else in MLB that has over 2800 plate appearances in the last four years. Dozier's ability to adjust (use the whole field, chase fewer pitches) bodes well for the future.
  19. Complacency has a lot to do with not fighting hard to get Obama's nominee on the court. They thought Clinton would win and that Democrats would have a majority in the Senate, neither happened.
  20. The area where the team will likely be as good is avoiding injuries. Other than Sanó, no position player missed more than two weeks. There were injuries amongst the pitchers, notably starters May, Hughes and Santiago. The lineup projects pretty well IMHO, but I would think Rosario and Escobar can't be expected to provide the kind of power we saw in 2017.
  21. Well, segments of our population apparently believe the latest shooting is the fault of a) antafa CNN c) Sanctuary Cities d) lack of respect for the National Anthem e) George Soros f) Hillary Clinton and g) Obama. Of course, one nut case who says she not upset that so many died because they were probably Trump supporters evens the slate.
  22. My representative in the US House offered "thoughts and prayers" for the Las Vegas victims on Facebook. How hollow and empty. Republicans have sold their souls to the NRA, lock, stock and barrel. In order for any progress to be made in limiting guns, they must be removed from the majority in Congress.
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