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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. Yep. He's had 3 good games in a row, but that's not yet enough of a demonstration of consistency to indicate he's ready to be an asset at the major league level, and he's not yet 25 so I would not advocate rushing him based on a good two-week stretch. July's soon enough if he continues at a really good pace, August if he mixes only a few clunkers in with the good starts, and September to give him a taste if he's doing just-OK.
  2. Most of them probably think studies exist showing that avoiding outs is one of the most highly correlated stats to scoring runs.
  3. This makes it sound as though every prospect fails due to one cause or other. Agreed, that the pundits ought to be doing a more careful job of explaining what is meant by risk. But I don't want to have to read a treatise in every prospect evaluation. What better term would you advocate than "safe"? Would "relatively safe" do the job?
  4. ... at which point we label the guys at one end of the spectrum as "safe" and those at the other end "risky", simply for brevity.
  5. #firstworldproblems
  6. Felix is my Adopt-A-Prospect so I'm going to pick a nit. He kind of did the opposite of scattering 5 hits and a walk - instead Biloxi bunched their offense to close to maximal effect for their 3 runs, truly wasting only a double in the fifth. On a different day, those baserunners might actually have been scattered and he would have thrown a shutout for seven innings, and perhaps would have been given the opportunity to go a little longer since he was at only 88 pitches with a 3-0 lead (before the fourth run in the 8th). Hey, he's my guy, I'll stand up for him, when I see what I think to be a bit of bad luck there.
  7. I stopped reading the Bill of Rights when it began "Congrefs of the United States...". How did anyone back then take those people seriously? "Yo, Madison my man, are we not doing spellcheck anymore?"
  8. Giving up only 1 or two runs, if it happens, would probably count as a "reason".
  9. Except for the 6-inning no-hitter in his first 2017 outing. And his two most recent starts were 3 hits in 7.1 innings, and 5 hits in 8 innings.
  10. My explanation is that the front office has a self-imposed discipline, and they stuck to it. Had Berrios not thrown a relative clunker on April 19 in suburban Atlanta, he might have been up sooner. Two straight high-quality AAA starts afterward must not have been their metric, but the next one was. Management always preaches "consistency", and two in a row doesn't cut it. That's my reverse-engineering solution to the puzzle. I always prefer to try that, than to conclude "their idots".
  11. “We're on a first-number basis with each other. He calls me 3 and I call him 2.” -- Bill Lee, the Spaceman
  12. I just looked up that quote. What he actually said was: "No man is an Iland, intire of itselfe; every man is a peece of the Continent, a part of the maine." That man makes some of us look like spelling bee champions.
  13. That Gonsalves video needs to receive endless airplay. My Adopt-A-Prospect Ben Rortvedt got one of his base hits on a bunt single. There was already a man aboard at first base, so does someone local know whether this looked like a bunt for a base hit, or if he squared up for a routine sacrifice attempt that somehow went better than expected and yet involved no misplay? It was a road game, so probably no one here will know, but I'm curious. I wouldn't expect a gift from the Wisconsin scorer.
  14. Moderator's note: This is not directed solely toward you, but also to several others participating in this thread. The inclination to imply opposing viewpoints must be idiocy, or to express your ideas in the strongest possible terms, has the opposite effect on your readers, who then discount what you say to compensate. Please tone down the heated rhetoric, everyone. (And please don't compound the problem by responding to this post in-thread.)
  15. He's my Adopt-A-Prospect, and to summarize what I wrote up there, I'm no pro scout but when I watched him this past March he was throwing 94, and more importantly the hitters didn't seem to be getting a good read on him. Bottom line, he's got a chance.
  16. Not unless I ask them to. "Enjoy your new coffee table, sir." "Yes, thanks, but what happened to our sofa, and china hutch... and the bed?"
  17. That's a useful page, but defaults to players with "qualified" numbers of plate appearances. That might be somewhat appropriate for discussion of every other fielding position, but catchers should be held to a looser standard because of the more-frequent days off built into their careers. You have to drop the number of 2017 plate appearances to 75 to get 31 players, i.e. approximately one for every team. Fourteen of these guys are batting .270 or higher. (Jason Castro appears in the list of 31, but not in the top 14. ) That's not perfect either, because some of those guys are DHing or playing other positions at times. but ranked lists are just a first cut at understanding anyway.
  18. I have been told that over-analysis has been a chronic problem at Twins Daily, but honestly I'm not seeing it.
  19. "I'm a psychic amnesiac. I know in advance what I'll forget." - ibid. "I'm a psychic amnesiac. I know in advance what I'll forget." - ibid.
  20. Not the first, sorry. http://tompettybook.com/images/tom-petty-sidebar.png
  21. There are other gifted proofreaders at this site too, you know.
  22. Unless there is more to this, won't a ranked list of pitchers be in the same order under either metric, except reversed? Isn't every start either quality or meltdown? Ted Williams led the league in outs-not-made with a .594 average in 1941.
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