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ashbury

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Everything posted by ashbury

  1. ashbury
    Polanco was added to the 40-man at a very young age because the Twins felt there was too high a risk of losing him. Blame the MLB roster rules concerning international free agents, not Twins mismanagement of minor-league options. Bringing Polanco up and down had no bearing on those options once he was on the 40-man and they had to be exercised.
  2. ashbury
    Royce Lewis's big leg kick seems like something a crafty pitcher could exploit to mess up his timing. Not so?
  3. ashbury
    MLB average so far this year is 32% of inherited runners score (last year 30%). The Twins team-wide are at 42% (last year 28%) - down at the bottom of the majors but tied with a few others. Hildenberger at 65% and Pressly at 42% are the main culprits. Reed's at 25% for the season. It's kind of a crude stat, combining runners' locations and numbers of outs, but still indicates where some of our pain is coming from. A league-average rate would account for about 10 fewer runs, or pro-rated to a full season around 25 if we continued like this. By a common rule of thumb, that would be 2.5 losses - but given all the close games we've had, the leverage is for more than that. Maybe it's just Small Sample Size at this point in the season, but the trend needs to stop.
  4. ashbury
    Does he answer to Jeffersie?
  5. ashbury
    I don't see that humorously rebutting a poster's assertion reflects on the player himself. He is what he is, a solidly built corner defender at most.
  6. ashbury
    Wait, you're saying this isn't our shortstop of the future? http://www.philliesnation.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/04/WilliansAstudillo2.jpg (From 4 years and, I'm betting, 20 pounds ago.)
  7. ashbury
    "Looks like I picked the wrong year to give up on pennant contention."
  8. ashbury
    Contention for the post-season was already becoming a faint hope. Contention is not possible without the key members of the core starting to contribute. Sano is off the table for that, now. Therefore, we're in Sell mode whenever the contenders come to the market - not quite yet but sometime in the next several weeks. Strap in, it's going to be a bumpy ride from here on.
  9. ashbury
  10. ashbury
    Robbie Grossman's arm. You can't stop it. You can only hope to contain it.
  11. ashbury
    Fair enough, but putting my moderator's hat on for a moment, let's go easy on this angle. Everyone here is entitled to a view - if posting were limited to baseball insiders it would be a quiet forum. Discuss topics, but not other posters.
  12. ashbury
    Ha ha, those fools! Cleveland fell victim to one of the classic blunders! The most famous of which is "never get involved in a land war in Asia," but only slightly less well-known is this: "Never go into the second half of the season without Matt Belisle when post-season contention is on the line!"
  13. ashbury
    TD's minor league report of that day also conveyed the news, for those who read that site: http://twinsdaily.com/topic/30214-article-twins-minor-league-report-67-rooker-and-kirilloff-tee-off-on-opponents/
  14. ashbury
    ... for that most-versatile of players, Cash.
  15. ashbury
    Must have been an unseasonably warm April in Cedar Rapids in 2013. Buxton started out hot as a firecracker. He had hits in his first 6 games, and in 12 out of his first 13. At his 12th game, his BA was .476, and his peripherals contributed to a 1.274 OPS. (For fans of BABIP, you could see the good times wouldn't last, as this was built on a .581 average. ) https://www.baseball-reference.com/register/player.fcgi?id=buxton000byr&type=bgl&year=2013
  16. ashbury
    Yes, and maybe, respectively. He's not yet 20, and his April was markedly worse than his May and (so far) June. He has a chance. In addition, the article lets you get to know a little about the player behind the stats. If that's not your cup of tea, so be it.
  17. ashbury
    If you're a jerk then so am I for thinking it.
  18. ashbury
    Whoever works in a plausible reference to spelunking in a baseball headline will win teh internets.
  19. ashbury
    Consider this one stolen for my one-liners file.
  20. ashbury
    Time flies when you're doing great work, huh?
  21. ashbury
    Perhaps true, but this is a site focused on the Minnesota Twins, not on other posters. (Moderator's note: Hint hint.)
  22. ashbury
    I'm not in favor of ever again spending a high first-round draft pick on a stud catcher. I've laid out my reasons before, and won't belabor them now. The same logic somewhat guides my feelings about trading for a top-end talent like Realmuto. I would not include Royce Lewis in a deal to get him, even taking into account the uncertainty of a prospect versus an established veteran. It would be too much like drafting Realmuto 1-1. Allowing 20/20 hindsight adds a guy like Berrios to that rank - not drafted as high, but if GMs were given a do-over in the 2012 draft JO would have gone much much higher, I would imagine. OTOH, I doubt there is very much disagreement that a do-over would have us pick someone else than Nick Gordon. His lofty draft status wouldn't prevent me from considering including him in a package to get Realmuto. So I don't mean literally that I would not trade first rounders. It's basically just my way of justifying to myself not to trade Lewis or someone at his level for a catcher, no matter how good. Stud catchers are generally the domain for very rich teams, or teams for which all other holes have been filled. I'd love to get Realmuto, I'm just not willing to pay the price that he probably has attached to him. I'd be fine with a far lower price in prospects for one of the other catching upgrades mentioned in this thread, as part-year rentals, if we continue to hang around the periphery of the AL Central lead. We lack anything resembling a complete player at that position.
  23. ashbury
    Probably a good question, but for a different thread.
  24. ashbury
    This past off-season it was $17.4M. That's a lot to pay for one year of a player's services. I don't think I want to make a QO to Dozier; he saw the soft market this past off-season, same as we did, and could decide the smart way would be to take the $17M and play it year to year from there on. Such a payday would put him halfway toward what he might receive for a 3-year deal on the open market. Maybe he sees it differently and would turn down the QO, thus rolling the dice. I wouldn't take that chance, as a GM. No way would I pay Escobar $17M for a season. Hopefully his agent will reach a good extension agreement with the team, something under $10M a year I suppose. Seems like the $17M could be put to better use. I'm of two minds about Berrios. Lock up young talent, yeah. But I saw him rubbing his upper arm between innings a game or two ago - it reminds me that pitching goes bad in the blink of an eye. I don't know how to balance the risk. It depends a lot on what he would sign for.
  25. ashbury
    Wait, the rules allow that?
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