Generally yes, but the stats you cited, ordered the way you did, exclude any chance for evidence to the contrary. For a fuller picture, here are some other guys with 20+ HR: Pedro Alvarez (36 HR. 48 BB), Alphonso Soriano (34 HR, 36 BB), Adam Jones (33 HR, 25 BB), Raul Ibanez (29 HR, 42 BB), Domonic Brown (27 HR, 39 BB), Nelson Cruz (27 HR, 35 BB). Of course he won't continue this current abnormally low walk rate. But he can walk at the rate he did last season, and be in some pretty good company. I don't take issue with the idea that Arcia will have to adjust when the pitchers do. I just take issue with the use of stats this way. Said another way, the evidence you gave would be consistent with "pitchers don't give tons of walks to slap hitters", but does not support "if Arcia doesn't walk more, he'll become a slap hitter".