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ThejacKmp

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Everything posted by ThejacKmp

  1. ThejacKmp
    I trust that those choices are close enough and I don't know well enough to say that Lewis+Rooker+Enlow is wrong. And likely none of us do. I think a lot of the criticism here is pretty shortsighted. We're arguing that we know how to drill for undersea oil because we read the Wikipedia page.
  2. ThejacKmp
    Sammons
  3. ThejacKmp
    They may have gone to him first but that doesn't mean that they liked him better. That just means they thought he was the guy most likely to cut a deal. He was a guy who many saw a big drop for (if he doesn't go the Rays at 4 he may have dropped even further) so he might be willing to deal. Going to Lewis next doesn't mean they didn't like Lewis more, it might just mean they had a concept how low Lewis would go but wanted to see other options. That's the reality - they liked all 5 of the top guys. They'd take any of them if they had the 7th pick. The decision at #1 just doesn't take place in a vacuum. The Twins had to consider the ramification of each pick down the line. Lewis = Enlow. With McKay, you don't get Enlow. That's opportunity cost at it's finest.
  4. ThejacKmp
    I agree. Find the shin-less QB. Hard to blow out the knee if is connected directly to the ankle.
  5. ThejacKmp
    It's not a personal shot. Just saying, understand the rules. You can't say cheap after one day of the draft. It's just not possible. That's like calling the Twins the AL Central champs because they're up right now. This thing has to play itself out. The word cheap cannot be used except in the highly unlikely case the Twins don't use their full allotment of draft money. Let's hold off on calling people cheap until them. Note: I hate the Pohldads. I booed when they honored Carl. I didn't feel great about booing the dead but that man was terrible. Made his fortune foreclosing on farmers in the Depression, tried to move and contract the Twins. Why we honored him, I don't know.
  6. ThejacKmp
    Perhaps more arguments on TD should be solved with a Monopoly game. I'm sure there's some way to play online. Maybe they could be a sponsor of TD?
  7. ThejacKmp
    Hey, I love building Hotels on Baltic and Mediterranean. Nothing more deflating than passing go, getting your $200 and then giving me $450 because you landed on my hotel that cost me only $250. I think people are freaking out about "We didn't get Greene, Lewis sucks. Pohldad is cheap" halfway through. I'm surprised you don't feel similarly actually, you're usually pretty cognizant of the bigger picture. The Twins haven't picked Day 2, we haven't seen what they plan to do with the considerable savings they have from Lewis and Rooker. P.S. Also, I'm not saying that they may not have outsmarted themselves. Just that to call them cheap is to ignore that the MLB draft (like Monopoly) is a game with rules and fixed amounts of money and thus is subject to game theory. Sometimes you don't get Pacific and Marvin Gardens but that doesn't mean you were "cheap" when you passed on Park Place.
  8. ThejacKmp
    Lewis might be better than Buxton. He might be the next Mike Trout. He might cure cancer. See, I can do it too! Not a single player the Twins took this year would have any effect on the team this year. It is very unlikely that a player the Twins took this year would have an effect on the MLB team next year. This isn't basketball or football. The Twins pitching for the next 2 years will either be fine because two of Gonsalves, Romero, Thorpe and Jorge are ready for MLB or it won't. This draft is about 3-6 years from now, not today. Finally, you take the best player available. Not drafting a QB in the first because you have Cam Newton is smart in football. Not drafting a SS because you already have a SS is dumb in baseball. Who knows where you will be in 3-5 years? Who knows if there'll be a trade you can fit a prospect into? Take the players you think are the best and worry about the rest later. If Lewis is a CF who plays LF because of Buxton that will be just fine.
  9. ThejacKmp
    Lewis has been extensively talked about as a CF. While the Twins have some depth in the OF, Lewis could fit very nicely as a CF-in-a-corner in four or five years. Can't pay so much attention to the position drafted at.
  10. ThejacKmp
    Everybody cool out. This is the end of day 1. Maybe you'll feel the same way after tomorrow, maybe you'll see a larger plan. That old cliche about open heart surgery applies.
  11. ThejacKmp
    That's not being cheap, that's using a common strategy. It's saying that you see little difference between two guys at the top and one saves you the money to get something better down the line. It's not cheap, it's strategy. The only way you could accuse the Twins of being cheap is if at the end of the day they don't spend their draft money. That seems unlikely. You can disagree with the choices they make but calling them cheap shows an ignorance of how the MLB draft works.
  12. ThejacKmp
    I mean, you realize that's not the same thing right? If I'm missing sarcasm apologies but this isn't "the team is too miserly to buy a Ferrari and is going to get a VW Beetle instead". It's more "I'm passing on Park Place because that way I can buy Pacific and Marvin Gardens." It's about budgeting how you use the limited amount of money available, not being cheap.
  13. ThejacKmp
    This is an entirely different thing but I've always thought that it's nuts that a run is unearned if the pitcher makes an error. A run on a wild pitch is earned but if the pitcher throws the ball into the seats fielding his position leading to runs, it's unearned. Makes no sense - and maybe it would be an encouragement for pitchers to field their position well.
  14. ThejacKmp
    September? Let's think July if Hughes or Gibson doesn't become playable.
  15. ThejacKmp
    The only sad thing about Vielma is that it likely means this is the last year of Escobar. Vielma seems likely to take his place next year. It'll be interesting to see what happens to Eduardo. He's clearly a competent utility guy but that's the kind of guy who can be replaced on the cheap. A lot of guys hit where he is (one year from free agency) and start to get a little more expensive and find themselves with no job. Love the Thorpedo. Surprised he didn't move up the list at all.
  16. ThejacKmp
    I think the Twins need to swing a minor trade that brings back a 4th or 5th starter type on the last year of his deal - someone like R.A. Dickey or Bartolo Colon (thought they don't have to be super old). I don't want to give up valuable assets too early but to get a competent back-end starter, the Twins should be willing to give up a very minor piece and willing to pick up the salary of an expiring contract. We've been under budget for years, it's time to use that to not start Kyle Gibson.
  17. ThejacKmp
    Over the past four years Vargas has had the equivalent of one full season. Not a tiny sample but it's pretty misleading to say "over the past four seasons." I think it's rather telling that on a team with a need for power, a switch hitting power hitter has had a hard time sniffing the field. He has some hot streaks that buoy his stats but he's pretty streaky and undependable. And it's not like it was hard to get PT - the Twins have had an open spot at DH (last year 13 guys were DH for a game and no one had more than 36 games) that Vargas has never seized and made his own. Mauer has had 1100 more at bats. Mauer has also been recovering from concussions throughout the first part of that period and is now being used more appropriately as a 120 games, mostly against RHP guy. I'd still take Mauer over Vargas this year. I hope I'm wrong, it will likely mean Vargas is having an explosive year. And again, this thing started with a discussion of Mauer's place among best Twins hitters of all time. You ignored my response to that and turned it into a discussion of RBI. When I explained why RBIs were useless you ignored that and moved it to Vargas being better than Mauer right now. I think you're more interested in moving the goal line when it behooves you than in having a real discussion about anything. Unless you want to actually talk about some of the things I've mentioned previously, I'm likely respectfully done responding because this discussion isn't really very fun and you're more of a fencer ("scoring" points) than a debator (cohesive presenter of a reasoned argument). One tip would be to not just bold one phrase in a lengthy response and jump on that - deal with the whole concept or at least acknowledge the parts you agree with before zooming in on something you wish to discuss further. I wish you a pleasant Wednesday.
  18. ThejacKmp
    Vargas has hit better against lefties that righties in his career. This year is the definition of a small sample size. Monitor has also shown no desire to move Sano from 3B and play him extensively at 1B. The last time Sano played 1B was on April 22nd. We are much more likely to see Sano playing 3B with some DH on days off and see Mauer, Vargas and Grossman playing the vast majority of the time at 1B/DH.
  19. ThejacKmp
    Hate has multiple meanings. I don't mean hate like you would spit on him if you saw him in the streets. I meant that you hate on his game. I think that's pretty obvious from the context if you actually read the whole thing. You are, you found an essentially meaningless stat to use as an argument rather than examining the full picture. I can tell you haven't really looked at the numbers by you last sentence. If you looked at Vargas's numbers you'd see that his MLB OBP+ is 105, decidedly average. Take a look at his minor league numbers: .809 OPS in AAA, .849 in AA. This isn't to say that Kennys Vargas is a bad player, just that you're hyping him a little aggressively. I think you'd also benefit from going back through this forum. You keep switching the argument and ignoring the vast majority of what people say to focus on some small detail you can nitpick.
  20. ThejacKmp
    Yeah but he's tailed off playing against lefties since Vargas has come up. Before that the Twins right handed 1B option (assuming they wanted Sano to play mostly at 3B for continuity) was Gimenez. Now the Twins have a real option and they have been sitting him against lefties the past ten days or so. I imagine that will continue now that the Twins have Vargas.
  21. ThejacKmp
    But this year he'll be getting time off as he is rested against lefty starters. That's 30% more rest (and the loss of at bats with the least likelihood of success). He should be able to stay healthier. The Twins also have options should he need a few days off - he won't have to play through things and watch his numbers drop.
  22. ThejacKmp
    Who are these great table setters? The best was Span and after that it's a bunch of weak hitting middle infielders. His approach likely has something to do with it and shows why RBI is a dumb way to look at it. Mauer's OBP has been insanely valuable and shouldn't be dismissed because he doesn't fit the 1986 version of valuable. RBIs aren't "not the best number"- they are literally useless. Meaningless. Crap. They mean nothing. If you want RBIs to matter in judging an individual player (that is what we're doing, we're not saying "what helps a team win"), you need to find some other variable: number of attempts, OBP with guys in scoring position etc. Never use RBI in an argument, it will never ever help. Finally, that doesn't help. Kennys Vargas has 66 at bats and is the definition of short sample. Same with last year's 152 at bats that were buoyed by a hot streak against September pitching on the worst team in the majors. You're cherrypicking. Mauer had a slow start to this year but as the article shows, his peripheral stats are very good and he has bounced back considerably over the past three weeks. It's early. He may be down but he's had a great BB to K rate, has hit the ball hard and has a low BABIP. He'll trend up. The Mauer hate is so overblown.
  23. ThejacKmp
    Target Field is the house that Mauer Built. They built that stadium so they could afford to keep him.
  24. ThejacKmp
    Who is he blocking? Sano is fine at 3B and Vargas has not seized the DH job so it's not like there is no spot for him. There's no one in the high minors being blocked at 1B (or 3B if you want Sano at 1B). Not Park. Maybe Palka but he isn't doing anything in AAA that makes you want him up. That could change in a year or two with Lewin Diaz or however the Gordon/Vielma/Dozier/Polanco pileup shakes out but for now, he blocks no one. The Twins are in first place. They are better with Mauer playing against righties. He absolutely deserves his roster spot.
  25. ThejacKmp
    Agreed. Unless Sano needs to play 1B and the Twins already have someone at DH, if Mauer puts up an 800-820 OPS playing mostly against righties, he's worth well more than that. I'd feel comfortable going $8 mill a year on a series of 1 year deals. Maybe his brother will be manager by then?
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