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Dantes929

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Everything posted by Dantes929

  1. Dantes929
    While I agree with this I do prefer to give the enormous contracts to guys that have performed for the Twins. I hate giving the big money for big years players have had somewhere else. The thing is, H20face probably wasn't even very far off the market value with his extension numbers if you add the bonus to the salary. In fact probably a little bit low since fan graphs has his annual value at near 30mil. I would consider a 45 mil two year extension and for all the reasons you stated Dozier would probably consider it also. I am also ok with just letting it play out. We have no idea what his shelf life is or how much he likes it here. According to this article his current contract actually appeared to be one sided in Dozier's favor. https://www.minnpost.com/sports/2015/03/brian-doziers-oddly-one-sided-20-million-contract I think he is a great player but he always seems to take a half a year figuring out that by going with the pitch instead of trying to pull everything into the left field line bleachers makes a huge difference in results.
  2. Dantes929
    "Nathan doesn't blow save. Twins go up 2-0" This is where you lost me. Nathan was great and much of the time it was to the Yankees credit that they came back in the 9th innings but I can create an alternative outcome on series if Nathan simply closes out all the games against the Yankees. If he closes out all his chances against New York everything is different including the monkey on the Twins back about losing to New York.
  3. Dantes929
    I've though all along that Cobb should have been plan A. I would have offered him 48 mil for 3 years the day they were able to. Look at their (Cobb and Darvish) careers and most recent year and the fact that Cobb was very effective in his first full year after surgery and only looks to get better. I am not one of those that favors strikeout rates over run prevention. Cobb would look great in the rotation and if they got him I would be fine if they were done for the off season. Of course Darvish would be great but you know how many other team's fan posting sites are talking about getting him the same way we have been? No offense Tom, but I still laugh every time I see how all our competitors have gotten so much better and how the Twins remain stagnant. I've been seeing that same sentiment every year for at least 16 years and in that time we have 6 division titles, a game 163 and a wild card. Instead of 4 last place finishes in that time, we would have at least a dozen judging by how our fans rate the off seasons. There was very little difference in the personnel between 2016 and 2017. The difference in how they played was night and day. I see plenty of room for improvement with batters developing and with Gonsalves, Mejia and May replacing Colon, Santiago and Hughes. I want Cobb or Darvish but the 91 Twins went into the season with Tapani, Erickson and Knoblach as question marks. I don't mind going in with a few question marks as long as there is potential there and I think there is. I guess if we don't get Darvish, Lynn or Cobb I pick option 3 and feel just fine about it.
  4. Dantes929
    Twins had 85 wins . Not a bad idea but probably more fair to take Division winners and then the top two teams period rather than the 2nd place team in each division. For example, this format in 1987 would have had the 85 win Twins and the 83 win Royals while excluding the 91 win Brewers and the 89 win Yankees. I would also be ok with the 3rd best record making it and 4th and 5th playing a play in game. All sorts of possibilities.
  5. Dantes929
    I think your memory is failing a little. Duffey's great debut was in 2015. He had such a great array of speeds, break and plane that I though adding a third pitch was unnecessary. He also had a fastball that he had very good command over. In 2016 he lost command of the fastball (possibly from working on the changeup) and his curve balls did not seem to have the same bite or variety. I didn't see him enough in 2017 to comment much. Seemed like he either had it or didn't. I wouldn't mind seeing him get another shot at the rotation but I don't think that is likely. Great curve balls are as effective as 98mph fast balls and Duffey has shown stretches of having a great one but I agree he has been on a flatter plane since 2015 which isn't good.
  6. Dantes929
    Maybe 32 year old Napoli. Definitely not 36 year old Napoli. Maybe Vargas is the answer. I also don't think Rodney is the answer but Burdi might have been.
  7. Dantes929
    I don't discount leadership but I know people talked more about Hunter's leadership when he was hitting 3 run homers to win games and not so much when he was taking collars and they were losing games. Confidence, swagger and fearlessness. That is leadership in baseball and while that doesn't usually manifest itself in rookies it doesn't need to be in a 12 year veteran either. Just from appearances it looked like Rosario, Santana, Escobar and Kintzler had it but I really don't know either.
  8. Dantes929
    Twins certainly tried for the home grown bullpen with drafts and acquisitions. Arms can blow out at any time and I think we have been a little unlucky with guys like Burdi Jay and Chargois. It could easily have gone the other way. If every team loses internal guys and acquires external guys all you really have is a game of musical chairs. I'm not sure why internal cannot work. Just lack of patience? Every team has Burdi's that they let go and then go on to thrive somewhere else.
  9. Dantes929
    Kinley for Baird and Burdi. Rodney instead of Kintzler. Not a good month in my book. Castro was ok but nothing spectacular. I kind of liked the Garcia transactions but the success of this season was mainly guys that we had last year that simply played a lot better this year. I am not disappointed. Maybe nonplussed. Go get Darvish, Lynn or Cobb and I will change my mind.
  10. Dantes929
    I'm not so convinced Darvish is a true ace either. I still don't get the love affair of strikeouts vs run prevention. Is Darvish better than Cobb and Santana because he strikes out more guys even though he allows more runs to score? Cobb and Santana both gave up fewer runs than Darvish in 2017 yet Darvish is considered significantly better. We are not even talking small sample size. Darvish over his career has allowed 1 earned run per 92 innings fewer than Cobb. I would rather have Darvish also but not by all that much and certainly not for double the cost. At the end of the day I would be thrilled to get Darvish, Cobb or Lynn because the true odds are that we get none of them. Any one of them makes us a better team and more likely to make the playoffs. I would be happy to take my chances on any of them along with Santana in a playoff game. The thing about #2's is that for any given game they are still pretty capable of pitching like aces. Same argument with Rodney and Kintzler. Kintzler has a lot fewer strikeouts per 9 than Rodney but his ERA the last two years is about half that of Rodney. Whenever Kintzler came in my level of nervousness wasn't much different than that of Nathan. Much of that had to do with Nathan's twitching vs Kintzler's grit but I still felt pretty good with Kintzler. On the other hand, whenever Rodney came in pitching against us I thought our odds of scoring on him were pretty good.
  11. Dantes929
    You've go me thinking we can get him for the minimum, but lets double it just in case.
  12. Dantes929
    Was just reading Tom's comment about Burdi being left off the roster for a reason and thought "someone left Santana off their roster for some reason also" Can someone explain the downside of keeping Burdi on the roster while we have 4 open spots? Why don't they always have 40 filled and then take guys off as needed rather than take 4 guys off in anticipation of acquiring 4 different guys. What is the value of having a spot available ahead of time?
  13. Dantes929
    Exactly what I was thinking. Pretty sweet deal for him. Has someone pay him 2mil just for working out and then giving him more than he has ever made for the following year with the risk of not coming back as strong and even if completely healthy will have missed over a year of baseball so still risky. Club option of 8 mil for the 3rd year seems more than fair.
  14. Dantes929
    2009 Yankees signed what I considered the top 3 free agents overall. Sabbathia, Burnett and Texeira which added to a team that won 89 games the prior year. That team won the WS but if I were a Yankee fan I would have lost a lot of interest at that point. "Super teams" just don't do much for me. If I want to watch sure wins I'll watch the Globetrotters. I'm ok with adding a piece that fits but have been following Gonsalves, Romero and May for several years. Those are the guys I want to see play for the Twins.
  15. Dantes929
    Still not sure why Cobb is not higher on everyone's list and Cole is so high. They have almost identical numbers career wise and Cobb's were better last year. Cobb also pitches in the AL East while Cole is a National Leaguer which just makes me discount him by 10%. I would be ok with the package mentioned for Cole though. I don''t know that I want to add more than one starter because I think at least two of Gonsalves, Romero, Mejia and May will be very good by mid season. Twins didn't get better in 2017 by adding a lot of guys. They did it by guys playing better and developing. I like to see that trend continue.
  16. Dantes929
    Six years ago we were promoting guys that were failing in the minors (Ok, failing might be strong but certainly not guys we were itching to see based on their performances). Guys like Seger may or may not thrive in the majors but at least we have several pitchers in the minors that have earned a shot rather than just get promoted because there is no one else.
  17. Dantes929
    "We were determined to make this a place where "Don't read the comments" did NOT apply, and would rather lose the ability for feedback than cave to constant trolls and bickering." Mission accomplished. Well done you all. I went all over the place before this and was mostly depressed by the comment sections. Here I look forward to it. Thank you!! Even in the midst of a bad run of baseball you have single handedly made this the Golden Age of being a Twins fan. Of course by single handedly I mean TD collectively.
  18. Dantes929
    Wouldn't trading 2 mil to just one team have a lot more value than adding 1 mil to two separate teams. Or even 3 mil. Anyone else feel like we might have been able to get just one player but much higher on the prospect list?
  19. Dantes929
    Funny. I was thinking of Liam as well. I know it happens but i disagree that there are 10 of Liam for every Kyle. If you dominate in the minors you still have a pretty good shot of doing ok in the majors. From my memory the scouting reports on stuff show Gonsalves to be much better than Liam's. Also, Liam is a pretty good poster boy for your point but he has still carved out some pretty good major league years since he has left Minnesota.
  20. Dantes929
    As far as I can see, the desirable free agents are Darvish, Arrieta, Lynn and Cobb. Sabbathia would be nice short term but I don't see it. What are our true odds of getting even one of these guys? What are the odds of getting one of these guys plus a trade where we get someone better than Mejia, keeping in mind that his 4.5 ERA is probably about league average and I assume we think he can do a little better. I think it way more likely that the rotation is filled by Mejia and Gonsalves than it is by two new guys and I am not saying that is a bad thing. Not having a lot of time in AAA shouldn't dim our view of how good a pitcher Gonsalves is right now. Admittedly, I have no idea having never seen him but his dominance of lower levels should translate at least somewhat. In essence I don't see us getting two new guys when there are a couple dozen other teams trying for a pretty small supply. I am hoping for one of the 4 listed above but even there I don't see any real evidence that we have a better chance of landing even one than the other couple dozen teams.
  21. Dantes929
    I can just picture Twins Daily before the 91 season. Erickson did well at the end of 90 but he is still unproven and could use more seasoning. Tapani is 27 years old and has only pitched a handful of games at the major league level. Morris is in the twilight of his career coming off two mediocre years. This is not exactly a rotation that thrusts a team forcefully into playoff contention. Don't even get me started on 87. Why not rely on guys to step up? I could easily see Gonsalves following the path of Kyle Hendricks. Why expect guys who have dominated at lower levels to fail in the Bigs? Twins won 85 games and much of the 2nd half had Colon, Segers, Gee and half a dozen others filling the role of 4th and 5th starters. No matter who we go with it will look better on paper than the start of 2017 and way better than the end .. Why not believe the results will be better also?
  22. Dantes929
    I've said this before but there are just too many teams that want pitching and too few top pitchers for me to think the Twins will land two of them. There is no history of them even landing one. New management gives me some hope that we will add one of the 5 guys you have listed. If you gave me one as a sure thing against the possibility of getting one or more I would bank the sure thing in a heart beat.
  23. Dantes929
    No doubt. I can see where the last half dozen years have jaded fans but I am not expecting Gonsalves or Mejia to fail. I am expecting Berrios to get better and May to be good. Doesn't mean I wouldn't like to see Darvish. I would also feel pretty good about Cobb. All seasons depend on guys developing and progressing or just playing well. We saw in 2016 what happens when no one plays well. We saw in 2017 what happens when many of the players do have good seasons. Most rotations have 3 good performers. I don't know which ones they will be but I expect that out of 7 decent options 3 of them will step up and 2 more will be adequate. I can see where the list doesn't comfort people though. I would like them to add one guy. It can make a huge difference.
  24. Dantes929
    Santana's ERA against Cleveland was 0.38 in 24 innings. 2.08 in 13 innings against the Astros. 3.18 against the Yankees in 6 innings. Small sample size? What are the playoffs if not that? Just because Santana did not beat the Yankees does not mean he was not capable of doing so. Aren't we expecting Berrios to get better? Getting to the playoffs is still the challenge. I am ok with Santana or Berrios in a short series. Often all it takes is good luck. Heck, against the Yankees it might have all hinged on a blown 3rd strike call before Gregorius' home run. All of this is debatable. The odds of us getting two top of the rotation guys is less debatable. If Santana is not top of the line then the only top of the line starter out there is Darvish with Arrietta being on the border. What are the odds of getting both of those guys?
  25. Dantes929
    Its not just this,which I agree with completely. His 2015 time with the Twins can be written off IMO. He was having a monster year as a starter in the minors until his calf injury. His bad start was probably due to nerves and maybe a little rust since he was brought up pretty quickly after his injury. To me, that 7 game stretch matches with his stuff and command when healthy. Those starts were against, the Cards, the Cubs, the Royals, the Red Sox, the White Sox the Rays and the Jays so not just bottom feeders.
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