Riverbrian

Easy Peasy John Bonnes alone could bring us close to home... That's what I'm thinking... he could afford some if he did just a little less drinking.

I couldn't name any of her songs... But Damn It... I'm a Swiftie. More power to her. She wrote the songs... they belong to her and she got them back. I couldn't name any of those songs... but... More Power to her. I'm a Swiftie. Go Chiefs!!! Ok Not that Far... But I'm a Swiftie.

I agree with Nick... Baseball isn't the greatest sports investment at the moment. The cable deals are struggling because the demo's are struggling. I'm investing in the Loons if it was my call. I also agree with you Mike... It's a pretty safe investment especially in 1984. I'd imagine that if there is no future value... nobody is buying at 1.5 million or whatever price is agreed upon. I'd imagine that someone is going to buy so things are fine on that end. However... the point remains the same. Unless they are incredibly bad at it and invest in apartment complexes for Camels in Vermont. These folks with money are going to turn 44 million into a lot more money over 4 decades. 1.5 Billion shouldn't shock anyone. Money makes more money. In 1984 coming out of high school... I invested 44 dollars in Eggs. Those Eggs are worth 8,000 dollars now. Turned them into Chickens and Buffalo Wild Wings is charging me 28 Dollars for a dozen wings in 2024. The Eggs were a good investment... Spending the profit on Buffalo Wings was not.

I'm with ya. Lots of people point out the valuation change over decades. They may be missing a few considerations. Lesson #1: Money tends to make Money. They could have dropped 44 Million into Home Depot in 1984 and done much better. They could have taken that 44 Million and built a company that produces rabbits out of hats and be valued at much more. Lesson #2: Money tends to make more money.

Great Post The Orioles were purchased by a group of 9 people. Rubenstein is the principle owner but there are at least 8 others involved in the purchase... including a very wealthy Michael Bloomberg along with Cal Ripken and Grant Hill. The Orioles obviously had a plan to tear it down and build it back up... however... with many young talented pieces in place... they are currently 20 million behind the Twins in payroll for 2024. The only reason I bring this up. Those expecting a major change... might be in for a surprise. The surprise would actually be major change. Just a new principle owner that the fans will be upset with in the future.

I promise you that I'm not going to live in fear. Not going to celebrate... not going to cry. "Meet the new Boss... Same as the old boss". I'm going to pick up my guitar and play just like yesterday and I'll get on my knees and pray... We don't get fooled again.

That's what I love about you Mr. Arko. You always see it.

I've got around $100,000 that I can part with... Give a take a grand or two. Maybe we can pool our money on Twinsdaily and raise the other 1.5 Billion. Anybody In?

I don't care is my opinion. I honestly don't. Anyone thinking a new owner is riding in on a white horse needs to be careful. The new owner could also arrive on a dragon. If we get new owners... we will find out if it was good bad or the same.

You better hurry. You never when the other teams are going to call me. I had a missed call from the Rays last night. Turned out it was two guys named Ray who share a phone.

That's why Derek hasn't called me to gauge interest. I've been waiting for the phone call. Well... if they don't hire a GM... That's a million bucks to throw into the player pool.

Left Handed Reliver... A GOOD ONE... top of the pile. Tanner Scott free agent or trading for Puk or Strahm. If the team is going to do any retooling of offense. Speed: I'd like some Speed added to the team for better balance. Baserunning/Stolen Bases are a part of the game now. Left Handed Hitters... More left handers than they can platoon. Forcing organizational change and improving our odds against the 75% in regards to left handed hitters facing left handed pitchers. I'd love to see 7 left handers in a lineup against a right handed pitcher.

The Twins are capable of anything in the off-season. Depending on how they feel about the team going forward and what input the the new GM has. Lots of wildcards to get sorted here. With that said. I'd be shocked if they moved Correa. They would have to include cash or a decent prospect to make the deal. Always remember... The reason we got Correa in the first place was because we were the team willing to pay more than others were willing to pay. This means most likely that no team is willing to take on his contract as it stands and I'm not sure that two seasons with significant injury down time is going to make the contract more palatable to other teams... although it does lessen the year commitment. This all means... that the return in a trade is minimal. In other words... Find other sources of raising cash if you must raise cash.

Jair Camargo was up for 21 games. He was given 7 plate appearances. Now I understand that Christian Vazquez is the greatest defensive catcher on the planet. However it should be noted that his offensive production was to the tune of .575 OPS over 315 Plate Appearances. It cost us 30 million to bring that offensive production to town. Yet... Camargo got 7 trips to the plate. He wasn't allowed to try and OPS. 576. Spent 21 games on the MLB roster. Why do I bring this up. We have done a horrible job developing Catching when Vazquez has become irreplicable. Acquiring Catching is expensive. 30 million will get you 315 plate appearances.

If that is what Reusse is saying... Yeah... I agree. If they want to bring in players... Go bigger or go home. Margot Types... Not necessary.

I'm with ya. We are not going to sign a top end starter so the youngsters are key and I am really excited about the bullpen as it stands. Just want that left handed dude to bring it home. If they can't land the top left handed dude... just don't Okert into that hole. Stay with the right handers. Yep... offense is what we need and I'm just praying that they stop trying to fill the offensive spaces with specialists so we got a chance to improve the offense.

I'm with ya all the way... with one rather large exception. I haven't given up on Paddack as a starter yet. Yeah I know... that's my opinion and therefore cross to bear. I hadn't given up on Varland as a starter either but now I'm ready to put Varland in the pen. I think the Twins on paper have the makings of a top of the league bullpen without Paddack. A top of the pile left hander with Gas like Tanner Scott or Chapman would be the perfect addition in my opinion. Sign someone like that... The Bullpen is good to go. They can always throw Paddack into the pen later in the year if a hole develops and the starter thing isn't working out. With Paddack... I just think the guy has stuff and I'm not ready to give up on that stuff as a starter. We will need the depth.

I'm not paying for Star Tribune access so I can't read the article. But I can see the headline and read Nick's synopsis of it and Nick's additional thoughts on it. I'm really not sure why lofty language like "Rebuild" is being used at all. 1. If I'm allowed one request. I'd probably ask for what you are saying. Please.... please... please... no innings eaters, please no specialists who possess one skill. Take the money you are spending on multiple players of this ilk, combine that money and get one player above this level of player. If this is the point of Patrick Ruesse... sign me up. Nick is stating that the Twins can't rebuild. I agree it's a bad idea but can't... is false... they could... they could activate a massive rebuild very quickly. Trade Lopez, Ober and Ryan. Trade Duran and Jax. The prospect haul would be substantial. We would be in full rebuild mode with Buxton and Correa hanging around. I wouldn't do that. My request is yours... not spending money on innings eaters or specialists is all I ask.

I have been wrong before. I will be wrong again. I am under the impression that those on the extreme edges are wrong more often but will not admit or recognize being wrong. But who knows… I could be wrong about that.

I’m a centrist in most everything. I’m such a centrist that my first thought is… Who is Richard Y. Chappell? He writes logically but I don’t know who he is? It’s hard to pull me a direction. I’m a centrist. Politically… I have no yard signs. I prefer to stay out of manipulation because manipulation is all it is because manipulation is what moves the needle. I’ve had many conversations (not willingly) with passionate participants on both sides and both sides scare the pants off me. It’s black and white to both sides. It’s almost life and death… they speak in absolutes. These people are going to vote… they are going to decide. The people who act like a grand canyon of real estate exists between 83 Wins and 87 wins scare the pants off of me. They will also vote and I have no pants. Like Mike Sixel has been saying lately… It’s a dial… not an on/off switch. Like I’ve been saying for a long time. The Margins are THIN… Paper thin.

I can’t speak on the resumes of the Twins staff… but that entry level compensation for these positions is going to bring in entry level. In consideration of the important work being done in finding and developing a better baseball player. I have often wondered if baseball franchises have it backwards by pursuing expensive free agents and relying on interns in the front office. Maybe they would get more bang for their buck to change the pay scale for front office personnel to bring in the best and the brightest analysts, scouts, coaches. By doubling their salary to entice the best and the brightest… they might produce an extra one, two or three better baseball player and that just might pay for itself. Just a wonder in my head. To take a left turn from that… When I think of “starting with reasonable numbers and the wrong things being done with them”. I think about that focus on the left handed batter vs the left handed pitcher. Too much focus on the 25% of left handers who throw pitches. They should be focusing on the 75%. To me... that's taking accurate measurable data and getting the application completely backwards.

Playing Devils Advocate. Very rarely do I see a new plan work right out of the box. Typically… It makes its debut… followed by the originally unplanned necessary corrections to the plan. Granted… I’m not talking about space travel with highly combustible stuff around human beings in space suits. They should probably test that kind of thing over and over and over again.

As Mike Sixel has been saying recently… It’s a dial… not an on/off switch. I don’t ask for absolutes because they can’t be given… especially in baseball. You have a 36% chance of this guy reaching base compared to a 34% chance of this guy reaching base. If the 66% happens to rear its ugly head. People tend to act like that 36% guy was 100%. I find it odd that so many can expect the level of perfection that they do. I’m sure that auto-mechanic who is pissed off because Jeffers struck out with one out and the bases loaded has never made a mistake in his own life… but in his quest for perfection from others… I’d ask him to at least consider if he would be so mistake free in the garage if other auto-mechanics were trying to knock the wrench out of his hands while he is trying to get his job done. If I was looking for a General Manager replacement. One of the first things that I would look for is the humility to know without a doubt… that it is an inexact science. I want the candidate to know that they are going to be wrong often… I want them to know that it’s not what they do but what they do after. If a GM candidate is giving me absolutes. I’d tell him to run for political office… because the voters eat that absolute crap in big spoonful’s even though it’s nowhere near reality.

I'm glad we agree on Bullet Point 1 and on bullet point 3... I also don't like the use of spreadsheet because it is used disdainfully around these parts. I'm a little surprised that you have a dispute with bullet point 2. It's really not a strawman at least not intended to be. I was very careful to use "predictive" "previous data" in my post. Of course your team of analysts are still working. I would never suggest such things. But... let me list two thoughts for your consideration so we can try to remove some straw. 1. Small Sample Sizes and the Long Game. 2. Roster Adjustment difficulty. That predictive data is used to compile your roster. Rosters are set in the spring. Once set... adjustments are hard to make because the decent replacements are on other rosters and those not on rosters are most likely not on a roster for a reason and you are not going to be in a hurry to make those adjustments even if you could... because you shouldn't adjust on small samples. Of course, the analytic staff is still working. The information that they compile is important because it can be passed on to hitting and pitching coaches in the moment . The slider is eating you up... Let's try this. Your changeup isn't moving and has lost it's effectiveness. Let's try this. If the player is capable of adjustment... he just might confound previous data. However, you can't make that predictive data (that built your roster) work for you in a small sample. You have to play the long game. Margot isn't going to be released after producing a .508 OPS in April. It was the data that brought him here. It's the increasing of that sample... the long game... that keeps him here still pinch hitting in September despite 0-30. Meanwhile... someone somewhere... don't ask me who because I don't know... but someone... somewhere... there is a player in AAA who is cranking out 4 digit OPS because he fixed a hole in his swing... because he is listening to his coaches who are still coaching him... yet he remains frozen for lack of opportunity while the organization waits for the Margot numbers to arrive... and often times... they just don't arrive. All teams have this quandary to reckon with... although... some are more stubborn than others. This is where I usually come in conflict with whatever is guiding the decision making. I admit that I get a little impatient here but... I come by it honestly because I never want to see another Logan Morrison again. In the lineup every damn day.

I Appreciate the research on this post. It gives the post cred in my opinion. Lots of people want a set lineup. My question is... How exactly do you do that? The numbers you list in your research. How much of that was scheduled days off? How much was injury? If injury is prevalent and it sure seems to be every year. How do you keep a static lineup knowing a cannonball will roll through it at any moment? How do you staff a 26 man roster in preparation for that cannonball of injury or unexpected Julien like poor performance. I agree with you that scheduled days off are questionable. The players they tried to load manage ended up getting hurt anyway but how can a team use a set lineup in the face of everything that punches a team in the head. You list 8 players from other teams. Do the Twins have anybody like that who remained healthy? Santana and Castro led the team in AB's because they stayed healthy and were switch hitters. Our version of Bobby Witt didn't.