One of the precious few advantages of being regarded as sort of a dink is that it allows you to disagree with one of the most virally popular posts in recent memory without really losing any standing. So here goes. Maybe you don't need an ace to reach the postseason, but it must be an awfully big help. Pretty much every team in the playoffs either has at least one pitcher that fits what most people would loosely define as an ace, or one who pitched like one (Bartolo Colon). Liriano was one of the 10 best starters in all of MLB by virtually any measure other than wins, btw. And I will eat a whole theater-sized box of Black Crows, my least favorite candy in the world, if the Twins make the playoffs with even two of those four names in the rotation. Ignoring strikeouts and worshipping the lack of walks is exactly how the Twins ended up wasting time and money on Mays, Blackburn, Silva, Marquis, Ramon Ortiz, Sidney Ponson, and a bunch of other names that nobody wants to hear any more. Totally agree, and a really good history you put together. It certainly can't hurt, and the Twins could definitely stand to improve theirs, but it really doesn't correlate to winning very strongly. Defensive metrics are certainly not as accurate as the offensive and pitching kind, but they're good enough that they give at least some idea of a team's overall defensive abilty. And at least for this year, they show that a few good defensive teams, a few average ones, and a few bad ones made the playoffs. We hear that alot, but there's not much evidence to support it. Much, much more important to the Twins is the incredibly expensive non-secret of Joe Mauer getting on base. The Twins' ability to score runs in the future will be mostly based on how successful they are at building an affordable supporting cast around him that can do likewise. Also, the run expectancy tables you refer to, along with other stuff, shows that bunting doesn't do much to help runs score. Smart baserunning in general is good, but again, there doesn't seem to be much correlation between good baserunning and winning. This part surprised me. It seemed to me that most postseason teams tend to have at least one 30 HR guy, but at least at a glance, that's not the case. It's pretty routine for a team to make the playoffs without one. With any luck Sano will make it a non-issue anyway. As for the piranhas, they can soil their uniforms (from the outside, hopefully), dive for grounders hit right at them, slide head first into the dugout after scoring a run, and get into lots of battles where their tails come off, just as long as, like you said, they get on base. So from my minority perspective, you have some good thoughts there, mixed in with some stuff that not only doesn't seem innovative, it seems kind of like telling Ryan that if he runs harder and keeps his head lower, he'll crash through the brick wall eventually.