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amjgt

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Everything posted by amjgt

  1. amjgt
    With the release of ESPN's top 100 prospect list today, we have at least 4 players eligible for PPI (Player Promotion Incentive) this season because they appear on at least 2 of the 3 "major" top 100 ranking lists (ESPN, BA, MLB.com) Jenkins Rodriguez Culpepper Prielipp Two players could become eligible if they appear on MLB.com's not-yet-published top 100. Tait Soto
  2. amjgt
    I'm trying to squint hard and find a way that a potential lockout could affect this option/buyout and I just can't see it. So, I'm officially with everyone else in that this is a complete and total 100% chance that the option is not picked up and it's pure silliness related to MLB's "file and trial" preference. They can be like "no. no. no. we worked out a multi-year deal. This is totally different that just coming to a one year agreement," and anyone with half a brain can see exactly what happened. And also, who cares? "Yeah, it's a 1-year deal. It's what we wanted to do. If you've got a problem with it you can pound sand, MLB."
  3. amjgt
    I usually expect one unexpected inclusion per year from Law. Didn't get one this year. His Twins rankings seem pretty in line with other outlets, but maybe just a touch lower on average.
  4. amjgt
    I could see a scenario where and guy of Joe Ryan's ability, paired with his injury history would be open to a huge payday that buys out a few years of free agency. I can also see, from the Twins perspective, not really wanting to be tied in to a big contract beyond 2029. I like the idea of 4 years, but as has been stated, the original post numbers are woefully small. Could Joe get 30M per year over like 6 years if he keeps doing what he's doing and stays healthy? Absolutely. But those are both unknowns. 2 years is a long time to avoid injuries as a pitcher. So, what would Joe accept? Would 4/80 get it done? Maybe not quite, but at 4/90 you might be offering him more than he's willing to refuse. Smooth out those numbers however you like, but that's essentially 10/20/30/30. Now, would the Twins do that? I suspect not. But that's probably in the ballpark of what it would take.
  5. amjgt
    I look forward to every new signing article, so the same 5 users can reiterate to all of us how certain they are that the Twins are going to suck in 2026.
  6. amjgt
    In general I agree with the idea that one more year of service time for most prospects is worth more than the long shot at the draft pick, but in this specific case, given Prielipp's age and injury history, I think it might be worth a shot.
  7. amjgt
    Trade Lopez and Jeffers to Boston for Duran and Justin Slaten (net minus 14M) Trade Larnach for whatever relief help you can get for him (net minus 4M) Sign Coulombe (1/4M) and Seranthony Dominguez (1/9M) (net plus 13M) Move Prielipp to the bullpen. Sign Nathaniel Lowe (1/11M) (net plus 11M) Overall payroll up ~$6M from where it’s at right now. C – Caratini 1B – Lowe 2B – Keaschall SS – Lee 3B – Lewis LF – Duran CF – Buxton RF – Wallner DH – Bell Bench – Martin, Clemens, Gray, Jackson Rotation – Ryan, Ober, SWR, Zebby, Bradley (Abel, Festa, Morris, Rojas as next men up) Bullpen – Dominguez, Sands, Topa, Prielipp, Orze, Coulombe, Funderburk, Guy from Larnach trade (Ohl, Adams, Raya, Klein as next men up)
  8. amjgt
    I think many of us consider the bullpen to be Prielipp's most likely long term landing spot, and given the lack of movement by the FO to retool the bullpen this offseason from outside the organization, it seems like the FO is assuming several open spots will be filled by players who have been starters. Prielipp seems like an obvious prime candidate for that and, hot off the presses, he is now a Baseball America top 100 prospect. That got me thinking about PPI (Prospect Promotion Incentive). He would need to also appear on ESPN or MLB's top 100 preseason list to become eligible, but given the visibility of the closer role, if Prielipp has a successful season as the Twins closer he would certainly garner some ROY consideration, whereas if he was "just" a setup man, that seems less likely. Do you think Front Offices take this sort of thing into consideration?
  9. amjgt
    Don't get me wrong, I think Culpepper will contribute to the Twins by mid season, but the orginaization can't assume that and I think we all just have forgotten that he's only played 59 games at AA. I think it might be more likely he starts the year at AA than AAA.
  10. amjgt
    And also to clarify.... Culpepper hasn't ever played at AAA
  11. amjgt
    Would you prefer they NOT address the backup SS role?
  12. amjgt
    Based on what? His limited time in the majors is roughly split between all 4 infield positions and his time in the minors he was predominantly a SS.
  13. amjgt
    I feel like people forgot that Keachall had TJ Surgery 18 months ago and before that he was playing CF regularly. Gabriel Gonzalez as a better overall defensive OF? Get real.
  14. amjgt
    I like Jeffers, but what teams are looking at their 2026 catching options and thinking “Jeffers would be a big upgrade over this” To someone’s earlier point, if a team who was looking at 2026 as a contending year felt they needed a better catcher they could’ve accomplished that by signing Caratini. Sure Jeffers is a bit better and only a one year commitment, but a) the difference between them in not THAT vast, and b) for most teams looking to compete in 2026, the extra year commitment at $7m is a big whatever, especially compared to the asset(s) that might be needed to acquire Jeffers from the Twins. So you need to find a team that wants to really compete in 2026, lacks good catching, is kind of pinching pennies, and has some trade assets they are willing to give up.
  15. amjgt
    Really interesting how many people in this thread feel like they know what the Twins 2026 payroll is going to be. a) the Twins haven’t said anything about it with any detail b) what possible incentive would they have to give payroll details? ”Yep. We’re going to be at $110M on the button.” They would lose what little amount of leverage they might feel like they have.
  16. amjgt
    This could also be concussion insurance for Jeffers.
  17. amjgt
    ... and grandfather themselves in as much as possible. Can't really force the Dodgers to immediately get cap compliant if the contracts are already signed. I mean you COULD, but that seems unlikely
  18. amjgt
    I agree that they have a strategy of trying to find value to fill out their roster, which is why it's so confusing every year when there's the "I'm not sure offering that guy arbitration was the best decision" moment. It's a corollary to the "value" strategy which involves being terrified of letting an experienced MLB player go for nothing in return. The Rays love value, and much of their success is built off of it, but have absolutely NO problem cutting bait on a player or trading them what is seemingly a year or two "too early." The value strategy doesn't work if you don't apply it equally to your existing roster.
  19. amjgt
    By May, Keaschall is going to be a RH hitting corner guy.
  20. amjgt
    No, silly. Kody Clemens is the new Logan Morrison
  21. amjgt
    Is Wagaman good when measured against Garlick? The vampires hope so
  22. amjgt
    I’ve been compiling this list over the last half year or so, for creating GatG bingo. Any obvious ones that I’m missing? “5ft nothin” THE Bonnes laugh The “completely sober” crazy guy example “I’m not sayin he’s a gold glove or anything” Angry Text/Call from Twins Gleeman talks about desire to smell good JCC story Covid/Zoom story Mention of someone’s awesome hair John forgets pitchers handedness John forgets hitters handedness John uses the wrong last name but correct first name John uses the wrong first name and correct last name “Is he just cooked?” Jason Kubel mention John misses the year something happened > 5yr “Former Meltdown Guest” “Everyone gets obsessed with ____” Scratch and Dent Aisle Reference to Jacque Jones’s LHP splits Gleeman does the voice of a dumb person asking a dumb question.
  23. amjgt
    re: Phillies And a GM that has no issue trading good prospects for elite MLB players. Dombrowski, perhaps more than any other PoBO/GM sees prospects as trade chips over an MLB pipeline of talent.
  24. amjgt
    The only thing I really take issue with here is Bradley at 10. If he still had all 6 years of team control, maybe, but he only has 4 years left. Having Abel only 1 spot better than him with his 6+ years of control, and in my opinion a more likely path the SP success, seems out of balance. Also, was Buxton really NR on your 2025 list, or is that a typo?
  25. amjgt
    Seems to me that it's basically a trade value rankings. Within that, depending on where a given team is at, the might prefer the value of 6+ years on Prielipp control over 2 years of Ober control. If you were a contenting team, you might prefer the Ober side of a theoretical Ober/Prielipp swap, but if you were a rebuilding team you might prefer the Prielipp side (if I type his name enough times I might remember how to spell it) Based on Nick's response it seems like he's baked that in a little bit, by acknowledging where the Twins are at right now in the competitive cycle. If, say, the Twins were coming off of a Wild Card birth and hadn't gutted their bullpen, this Twins-specific list might have Ober a few spots higher and Prielipp a few spots lower.
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