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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, yes, because SS is a tougher position. If Dozier was putting up those numbers with good defense at short, he'd be a top ten position player in baseball. There are two qualifying SS in baseball with a higher OPS than Dozier. There are four second baseman... And honestly, I was surprised that there were two SS in front of him. There's a reason why almost every quality pitching prospect sticks at starter as long as possible; it's a more valuable position and quality starters are harder to find. The problem with your argument is if that was true, those pitchers would already be starting MLB games. You're asking a reliever to do a starter's job after a good portion of them already failed in that role. In 2014, 13 pitchers had a fastball velocity of >96mph. Ten of them were relievers. What happens when you take that away from those ten guys and drop most of them to 93-94?
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    You're right that $60m is on the low side but the Twins will almost surely control Sano for seven years, not six.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope. Guys who can throw 93 with three decent pitches are usually starters. You're asking that a team find nine starters, which is virtually impossible.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Who here would trade Trevor Plouffe or Brian Dozier for Ricky Nolasco and a C prospect? *crickets* Okay, I'm glad we can all agree on the Van Slyke thing.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    Then I'm not sure I'd agree to that deal.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Errors mean virtually nothing in minor league baseball, particularly for infielders. For all we know, he's playing on a dirt lot with used tires strewn around the mound. (an exaggeration but grounded in reality)
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Why? He only has a career OPS+ around 125 and is making the minimum. Seems entirely reasonable to me... but only if you throw in Duensing.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    If the guy has to throw 50-60 pitches every third day, he's not throwing as hard as he can. Guys can barely average throwing 20 pitches every second to third day and still throw as hard as they can (relievers usually top out around 70 appearances of one inning or less per season, most relievers sit in the 55-65 appearance range). And relievers very rarely have three plus pitches. If they do, we usually refer to them as "starters". The best reliever in history had, for all intents and purposes, one pitch. One pitch. And then you get the issue of repeating through lineups and not relying on your fastball as often as you would in a single inning. Relievers are successful because they get in and out of the game before hitters adjust to them. It's deception through change. By the time hitters get a good look, a new guy with a different look is in the game. If a pitcher gives up three hits over nine batters and walks another guy, that means he's facing close to half the lineup a second time just to get through three innings of work.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, they are inferior pitchers. The bullpens of MLB are littered with failed starters. The rotations of MLB are not littered with failed relievers. When you come in to get three outs, you're pitching a very different game than you are if you have to go through an entire lineup multiple times. Here are a few things relievers can do on a nightly basis that starters cannot: - Throw fastballs nearly as often as you want - Eliminate your weakest two pitches - Reach back and throw it as hard as you can every time - Never worry about altering your approach or batters adjusting as hitters get an up-close look at your stuff Change that role from three outs to nine and all of those benefits diminish or go away entirely. Since their resurgence in 2000, the Twins have a pretty rich history of successful closers. Guardado, Hawkins, Nathan, and Perkins. Guess how many of them were failed starters? The answer is easy: all of them.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Good for him. I always found his extreme MLB/AAA Jekyl & Hyde routine... interesting, for lack of a better word. The Twins had a slew of 40 man chaff last season (and to some extent, this season) and some of it had to go. I don't fault them for releasing Hendriks.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't buy it either but I understand some of the frustration. I wanted to see May and Meyer more last season. But on the other hand, the Twins were rocking some of the youngest MiLB pitchers in their respective leagues last season so it's not as if they're dragging their feet with every single pitcher in the system. Berrios, Thorpe, and Stewart were cruising through the minors in 2014.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    There was a study a few years ago that placed the Twins last in promotion speed, particularly with pitchers. Positional players were promoted more quickly. Of course, there's a good chance that data was inaccurate because it didn't adjust for quality of prospect and the Twins were seriously lacking in quality prospects during that time. Bad players don't get promoted as quickly as good players. With the influx of young guys coming to Minnesota over the past few years, I suspect that data looks somewhat different today. I understand some of the consternation over pitching promotion speed but ultimately, I think injury and performance has affected that more than anything else. Gibson received TJ surgery, May was injured right as it looked like he was going to get a promotion, Meyer has turned into a hot mess in multiple ways.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    They are when my statement was *technically* correct - Vargas was promoted on July 31st - and when they're pointing out minutia and missing the larger point.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    My mistake. Kennys was all of 24 years, 19 hours, and 10 minutes old when he made his MLB debut. *blank stare* If we're going to be so inanely technical about, I said "promoted before their 24th birthdays". That is a true statement. *blank stare*
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Congratulations on getting all those predictions right, I guess? And don't "oh come on" me when you're the one presenting conjecture as fact. You're taking a "not ready yet" mid-May comment about a player in AA to mean they won't be up before September, if at all. Maybe Ryan doesn't plan to call them up this season. Maybe he wants to make public statements to motivate the two players before a call-up. Maybe he doesn't want to put worrisome thoughts into Hicks and Rosario's heads and get them looking over their shoulders. Maybe he simply hasn't made a plan at all. Maybe his breakfast didn't set well with him that day. Me? I'll wait until something actually happens.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    In the past three years, we've seen Arcia, Vargas, Santana, Polanco, Hicks, and Rosario promoted to Minnesota before their 24th birthday. Pinto was promoted as a 24 year old. Three of those guys skipped AAA to earn their first promotion to Minnesota. The Twins have promoted a lot of guys to test their readiness level in recent years.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't recall hearing actual plans for Rosario other than "he was good in Spring Training, he impressed us". And Bernier is a 26th man and Terry Ryan knows that. What Ryan says about him is largely irrelevant.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not sure why you're trying to put so much stock in such a vague comment. We had no idea Polanco was going to get a call last season. I don't recall any of us thinking Santana was going to get a call, either. Vargas was called up directly from AA and I don't remember hearing much about that beforehand, either. Rosario was praised in ST but it was still somewhat surprising to see him up before Hicks, even though Aaron got the call shortly afterward.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Both. He's usually a straight shooter when he talks about past performance or weaknesses on the team. When it comes to upcoming moves, he almost never shows his hand. He'll lay praise on some players for performance but rarely reveals future plans for anyone.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Or he could have simply pointed out the 2014 Oakland Athletics.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I view it very differently. I think Ryan is the perfect guy at this stage of the rebuild. He has shown a steady hand with prospects (most of the time), doesn't jump the gun with trades, focuses on the draft, and plays the long game during a rebuild. He is, in a word, patient. More than anything else, I think that's the best trait a GM can have during the rebuilding process. I'm not sure he's the right guy when the team is a perennial 90+ game winner but on a rebuilding squad, I don't know if there's anyone else in baseball I'd rather see stewarding a franchise. He's risk-averse, possibly to a fault, but that's not a bad trait on a 70 win team. It can hurt a 90 win team trying to win the ring, though.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I'll take Sano and $30m, thanks.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Interesting. I've been meaning to look that up and never got around to it. The starters seem like they're missing a lot more bats in recent weeks, which is surely making their FIP and xFIP look better.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    If the Phillies wouldn't trade Hamels for Sano straight-up, Ryan should tell Amaro to go screw himself and the horse he rode in on. That's aside from the point whether I think the offer should be made in the first place (I don't think it's a good idea). Hamels is owed a lot of money and he's not particularly young anymore. Getting one of the best prospects in baseball for a guy owed close to $100m is a fair trade.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    They're actually middle of the pack - 15th in baseball - in scoring first inning runs this season. But they're first in second inning runs and second in third inning runs.
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