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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Heheheheh, Byron. You're an okay kid. That was a ballsy move.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I know it's obvious but man, the Twins really need to start scoring runs. It's like the moment we crossed into June, the Twins started pitching and hitting like it's June of 1968, not 2015.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know how much more you can ask for a player than a top 10 and a top 40 (maybe even top 30) prospect. That's an enormous haul. The Sox might be able to get a 100-150 prospect thrown in as well but Sano/Berrios should be able to pry away almost any player in baseball that isn't Mike Trout or Clayton Kershaw. With that said, I don't see why the White Sox would want to trade Chris Sale at all.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    My problem with trading him for Santana is that if you earnestly believe the Twins have a shot at the playoffs (personally, I believe the Twins have a shot but it's not a particularly good shot... I'll say 25% if you want a number), Santana cannot pitch in the playoffs while Pelfrey obviously can. Given the downside (or lack thereof) of not trading Pelfrey, that should be a consideration. It's not only about Pelfrey pitching well now, it's also about the diminished roster the Twins would field if they made the playoffs. Again, if the Twins really had something to gain by trading Mike, I may feel differently about it.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    To elaborate a bit further, look at the 2000s Twins and the 2000s Marlins. To some, the Marlins were more successful because they won it all in 2003. The Twins won consistently but never won it all. To some, that's a failure... but to the Twins, it was an extremely successful decade. In 2001, the Twins drew 1.78m fans. By 2010, the Twins had leveraged that decade of success into Target Field and 3.22m fans through the turnstyles (and that's not including increased merch sales, TV deals, etc.). Some of that is PR. Even with a new stadium, the Marlins struggle to retain fans (just 2.2m fans in Marlins Park inaugural season, already down to 1.7m fans last season). Sure, they won it all, but they also repeatedly kicked their fanbase in the shins by selling off the team en masse whenever ownership needed a buck. Even in their World Series season of 2003, the Marlins only drew 1.3m fans. In the decade, they never even drew 1.9m fans in a season. By comparison, the Twins had upward momentum almost every year from 2001-2010. They drew over 1.9m fans eight times and barely missed the number a ninth year. While there's more to the argument than that - the Twins and Marlins are in different situations - there is definitely a correlation between attendance (and therefore operating business revenue) and undermining your fanbase's perceptions of the team whenever it's convenient to the pocketbook. Part of that PR maintenance is dependent on how the GM does his job.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    When Bert isn't acting like a jackass by talking about nonsense or pitch counts or something of that ilk, he's a pretty good analyst. The dude knows a lot about pitching.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not true at all. At the end of the day, the Twins are a business. That business involves convincing people to buy into your product. Those people shouldn't be kicked in the shins and shouldn't have the perception that you're trying to kick them in the shins. And that's PR. It's absolutely something Ryan has to consider on some level. Most of the time, it shouldn't be the driving force behind a decision (PR has to be viewed both in the current day and potential future losses/gains) but it should be a consideration.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    May, possibly Gibson. I'd consider moving either for the right guy. The Twins have a lot of pitchers both on the 40-man and 1-2 years away from the 40-man. They have zero good catchers.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh, Byron. Someday you'll learn to stay the hell away from that pitch.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh man, that pitch was a gimme, Byron. Just foul.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    That was a pretty clear case of a hitter making good contact on a pitch he either should have missed or taken for a ball.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    That was a hell of a hit by Rizzo.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    It was pretty much a given.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    What has stuck out to me the most this season is that in almost every jumbotron clip, Eduardo Escobar is doing something clownish. It makes me like Eduardo Escobar all the more for it.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    That went nowhere in a hurry.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. It's not so much that I love Mike Pelfrey, it's that the return on him isn't going to have much of an impact and I'm not willing to risk the Twins going in the tank because they traded Mike Pelfrey and picked up a marginal prospect in the process. We're past the point of worrying about acquiring marginal prospects for rental players. If the Twins are blown away by an offer, yeah, you trade almost anybody on the team at that point. See? We can agree on something.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    You must enjoy watching bad baseball. I'm against trading Pelfrey unless another team loses their minds and offers something you can't pass up like a valuable young catcher, someone that can not only help the 2015 Twins but also the 2016-??? Twins. That's not going to happen so I'm just going to enjoy the 2015 wins and then move on. There is so little to be lost by keeping Pelfrey and letting him walk after the season. I don't understand why you're so adamantly in favor of squandering a chance to watch fun baseball in 2015 just so the Twins can bolster an already absurdly-talented farm system with either a marginal MLB player or a guy who won't impact the team until 2019 or later. Sometimes the most logical route is to not worry about what happens in 36 months and simply enjoy the present, particularly when the downside/upside of the move barely twitches the needle.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Dude is living a seriously charmed life right now. BABIP back up to .451 after another streak of hits.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    I also think this is likely. I believe Mike Pelfrey is a better pitcher this season than he has been in past seasons. Part of it is luck - which is why I don't believe he'll continue to be in the hunt for the ERA lead - but some of it appears to be skill-based as well. I believe a luck neutral Mike Pelfrey is a decent pitcher, which still makes him a valuable player on the 2015 Twins. Even if he falls back to earth, there's still a place for him in 2015. 2016? Eh, maybe not so much.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, all of this. There's still plenty of time before the deadline for the wheels to come off, making a trade more likely. I'm all in favor of two things for 2015: 1. Keep the best team on the field for as long as possible 2. Do not give up substantial items on the farm to make the team better There's a lot of winning in the Twins' future. I'm not ready to sacrifice that for a 2015 squad that seems fueled by a considerable amount of luck.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    How are things not peachy for Sano? On June 1st, his OPS was .834. Today, it is .842.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    I was pretty clear in my reasoning in the original post.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    It's a persistent quality in hindsight, yes. In no way have I implied otherwise. Have I predicted greatness for Pelfrey in the second half of the season? No, I absolutely have not done that (in fact, I've implied he will not keep it up at this level)... But I'm not going to remove a guy who is rolling simply because I'm skeptical he can keep it up. Keep throwing him out there until the results change (particularly when the downside of doing so is incredibly small). I said the same thing about Santana last season and Rosario this season. They're not displaying the skill to maintain greatness over a long period of time but as the old adage goes, "I'd rather be lucky than good". They keep playing until they are no longer lucky.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Uh, not what I was saying at all.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Luck can be a persistent quality over a short time frame. I don't even see how this is debatable. The longer you stretch the timeline, the less likely it is that a player will get lucky (ie. have a favorable outcome to events he did not control) but in the short or mid-term, it can very much be persistent. The same way you can flip a coin 20 times and get 19 heads, you can get a player who routinely "beats the odds" and remains lucky over a stretch of time. Danny Santana maintained a .405 BABIP over 101 games last season. He had a .408/.400 BABIP split in the first and second halves of the season. In no month did his BABIP drop below .342. Did those things not happen? Given that you think luck cannot persist, you seem to believe that they did not. I was one of the loudest people about Santana's possible regression but while he was out there performing, I certainly wasn't going to demote him just because I didn't agree with how he was achieving good results.
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