Brock Beauchamp
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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp
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I'm not going to debate this but you were directly replying to my post. The implication is that you are talking to me when you do that. I'm sorry I've participated in yet another thread derailment. I agree the lack of bullpen acquisitions are frustrating and worthy of discussion. I've complained about this offseason many, many times. But I'm not going to allow this to devolve into another "bash Ryan" thread. Everyone, bring this thread back on topic. If you want to discuss the bullpen, this is the place to do it. If you want to talk about how much you love/hate everything Ryan does, there are literally hundreds of other threads in which to discuss that topic. -
Don't assume anything about me. If people don't start arguing the merits of another poster's arguments and drop the assumptions, I will begin issuing warning points in this thread. If you can't avoid assumptions and framing arguments in points another poster did not make, think long and hard before you hit the "Post" button. It's lazy debate and not the kind of posting we tolerate at Twins Daily.
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Sigh. Strawman alert. Get back to me when you decide to argue my points honestly and without broadly categorizing me as something I obviously am not. Or maybe you conveniently forgot how downright furious I was in July of last season. I mean, that's easy to do, as it was all of seven months ago.
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Huh. Tell that to the Astros or Pirates, who were still in the high 60s, low 70s win range in their fourth seasons of rebuilding. Obviously, their rebuilds were colossal failures. I mean, their GMs were fired after those seasons, right? Listen, I'm not claiming Ryan is doing a fantastic job. There are loads of things that irritate the **** out of me but the fact remains his team won 83 games last season. If the team progresses this season, then the rebuild is still on track and this team has a bright future. If the team fades, it's time to take a good long look at how he's running the franchise. But I'm not going to resort to arguments based around 10+ year old decisions, "luck", and compare the Twins rebuild to the most well-run franchise in baseball to prove a point that Ryan is terrible. If you want me to say "I wish Epstein was the Twins GM/President", well yeah. Who wouldn't want that to happen?
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So we talk about the rebuild and you default right back to the "17 years, one playoff series" argument. That has nothing to do with the conversation, Dave. And yes, going from 63 wins to over .500 in four years is a success. It is. It may not fit your desired timeline but in pure baseball terms, that is a success. Is it a resounding success in the vein of Theo and the Cubs? No, of course not... But there's a huge middle ground between "incredible" and "terrible". Ryan rebuilt the team into a fringe contender in four seasons. That's a success. Now his team needs to take the next step and 2016 will be telling. And really, the luck argument is nonsense. Is it something we should keep an eye on and alter our projections for the team based on their run scoring in 2015? Sure, it's a useful tool to keep in mind and see how things shake out this season. But the Twins won 83 games. Period. It doesn't matter if they got there by going 20-0 against the National League or whether they got there by praying to the baseball god Jobu. They won 83 games and played exciting baseball deep into September.
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I don't like what he did with the pitching staff but he had to start somewhere. No arguments on the Hughes extension, as I was not a fan at the time. The Revere/May trade was good, though man, Vance Worley. He acquired Escobar for half a season of a very bad Liriano. The Span/Meyer trade hasn't worked out I can't bitch too much, as I liked the trade. However you slice the Buxton/Berrios/Duffey draft and where credit is placed, that was one hell of a draft. It could develop into the best draft in the history of the franchise. He acquired Milone by giving a part-time player back to his original team. Like I said, his approach has been flawed but it's starting to show results and isn't that what matters? The Twins were over .500 in his fourth season back with the team. We can deflect credit and talk about every move, both good and bad, but ultimately results are what matter.
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Agreed. One can appreciate Theo's excellent rebuild strategy without bashing Ryan's (IMO, somewhat flawed) attempt. Both are showing some success.
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I don't believe that at all. May's 2014 was awful but much of that "awful" came in his first few starts. When you get right down to it, May's 2014 wasn't significantly different than Gibson's 2013 and the Twins didn't hesitate to slot Kyle into the 2014 rotation from Opening Day forward. The Twins generally avoid knee-jerk reactions to prospect performance. It's one of their better traits. They're not going to throw away a potential starter because he pitched 45 bad innings as a 24 year old rookie.
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I agree but it's almost impossible to start anywhere else when the opposition is outside the stadium, locking the door. In some ways, the Dems' weak-kneed negotiating strategy has been a boon to the country, as it means we occasionally get something done. On the other hand, it has allowed the country to slowly drift right. In a perfect world, both parties start in their respective end zones and work to the 50 yard line but we haven't seen that in a long time.
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Yes, this. If anything, BABIP should be lower in Yankee Stadium, as it's a smaller park with an outfield that's easier to cover acceptably. We should all be concerned about Murphy's BABIP but the words "Yankee Stadium" should not enter the conversation because it's irrelevant. Now if we were talking Oakland and all that foul territory (or some other stadium with an odd outfield layout - Fenway, maybe), there might be a point to be made about the stadium and BABIP.
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If Murphy isn't playing often enough to properly gauge his abilities, then I'll probably lose my mind.
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I think that's an odd statement to make in February but it doesn't rile me up, either. I'm more interested in seeing what happens as the season progresses. If Murphy is hitting and doesn't have at least 50% of the catching duties by June...
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I'd call a league average Murphy a big win. Without him, catcher is a sinkhole for the foreseeable future. Getting league average numbers out of the position while the above average performances come out of Dozier, Sano, and maybe Buxton makes for a competent offense. In 2015, Twins catchers posted an OPS around .600. Bumping that over .650 is worth quite a bit over the course of a season.
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Is he? I know some people have gone a bit off the rails but mostly, I see Murphy "supporters" claim he has a ceiling of league average catcher. That's not terribly impressive, as catchers have an average OPS around .690, IIRC. I hope he turns league average - that'd be a big win for the Twins - but I suspect he'll settle somewhere just a tick south of that number. And I'm okay with that. I didn't love the trade but if Murphy pans out *at all*, the Twins are a better team with him on it.
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I didn't think Trump had a chance because I figured the GOP base would be smart enough to rally around one anti-Donald candidate. That... hasn't been the case. It's kind of amazing, actually. I figured either Rubio (yuck) or Cruz (double yuck) would start building momentum and knock Trump out of the picture in a relatively quick fashion. Then again, we're only a handful of states into the primary. That could still easily happen.
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You're assuming everyone makes it through ST healthy and ready to pitch. There's a lot that can happen between now and the beginning of April.
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Burdi is definitely an outsider but why would Meyer have zero chance to break with the team? He is a former top prospect with a few innings of MLB experience. If Meyer has no chance to break north with the team, who does?
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Yep, it's disorienting for awhile, as the show keeps throwing information at the audience but ultimately, the payoff is worth it. It's my preferred storytelling method in sci-fi and fantasy; drop the audience in the world and have faith they can keep up. Don't dawdle with excessive exposition of world elements and stay focused on the story. The audience will figure it out in time.
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If you like space-based sci-fi and/or Battlestar Galactica, this is must-see television. It's really freakin' good.
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If Alex Meyer or Nick Burdi breaks camp with the team, that makes the offseason's lack of bullpen acquisitions slightly more palatable.
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I'm ****ing dying over here.
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Easily my favorite thing this week. Yes, it's a real screenshot from my own computer.
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Indeed. Punto was the punching bag of BYTO but much of the animosity was indirectly aimed at Gardenhire, not really Punto. He was a very capable utility guy, the kind of player that steps in when needed to shore up a position mid-season and fill in when a starter needs a breather. He was valuable. But he started. so. many. games.
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Dreaming Of 200 Home Runs
Brock Beauchamp replied to Nick Nelson's topic in Twins Daily Front Page News
If anything, that would increase his BABIP, as groundballs have a higher chance of turning into a hit than a flyball (though obviously not a line drive). Dozier's soft-medium-hard hit balls moved around as the season progressed (not in a positive way) but not so much that he should suddenly see a BABIP rivaling the most plodding of MLB players. Dozier has a career BABIP of .269. His BABIP in Jul/Aug/Sep/Oct of 2016 was just under .230. Dozier's GB% did skyrocket in the second half, though. It's a weird situation... Logic would infer that his BABIP should also rise a bit, not plummet as it did. Maybe it's likely that pitchers adjusted and he hit a dose of bad luck at the same time. -
Ricky Nolasco?
