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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Beat me to it. Bonds can't be compared to another baseball player because he was the closest thing to an inhuman freak I've ever seen play the game.
  2. Eh, inherited runners isn't a great stat, either... A runner on third base with no outs is treated the same as a runner on first with two outs. The guy on third with no outs is almost a given to score... The runner on first with two outs should rarely, if ever, score. For relievers, FIP/xFIP and other advanced metrics are a much better indicator of skill because, while they're still flawed, they try to remove things the pitcher cannot control.
  3. I'd argue that's the problem with Ruesse's article as well. It seemed he reached a conclusion and then sought out "facts" to confirm this conclusion instead of doing the exact opposite.
  4. Hehehe, I edited my post to include Rosario. Must have got it in right before you hit Reply.
  5. Yeah, if you have a young team, you probably want your intra-divisional games to come later in the season. It's hard to imagine the Twins being a worse team in August than they were in April.
  6. I agree the lineup is too right-handed but as I mentioned in the previous post, all it takes is one injury and/or struggles from: Mauer Park Sano Plouffe And Kepler is in the lineup every day. I think that's the correct course of action and it gives the team depth through a 162 game schedule. If you start with Kepler and a guy gets injured or struggles, you fall back to... Junk, probably. A Mastroianni-type player. One of those guys will get injured or struggle at some point in the season. Max will get his shot. And this isn't even mentioning what happens if Rosario falls on his face, which I think has a high probability of happening.
  7. I understand both sides as well, I just think people are getting a little too prospect-happy at the expense of an experienced vet who produces at an acceptable level. I hope the Twins can trade Plouffe and everyone shifts around the diamond to their natural positions... But I'm not going to give away Plouffe just to make that happen. Trevor is worth MLB wins and I'm not giving away MLB wins just because the defensive alignment isn't optimal in the short-term. On top of all of this Plouffe/Sano/Kepler argument, all it takes is one injury to Mauer, Park, Plouffe, or Sano and this goes away. Depth is good. One of those guys will get injured and/or struggle this season. Instead of scrambling and having the privilege of watching a Beresford-type player spot-start, we'll get to see Kepler.
  8. I think Kepler might be able to do that as well... But that's not a risk I'm going to take until I see him take some hacks at AAA pitching to see if his dominant 2015 carries over to a new league with craftier, experienced pitchers. If Kepler had more than one season where he showed the kind of contact, patience, and power he put on display in 2015, it'd be a different situation... But as of right now, he's a one-year breakout player. He needs to show more before he gets a starting position in Minnesota.
  9. Relying on a guy who had one breakout season in AA as your Opening Day starter is a good way to cripple a team for the first half of the season. I'm a huge Kepler fan but he shouldn't be Plan A at any position on Opening Day of 2016. Yes, he dominated the Southern League and I'm extremely bullish on him but the fact of the matter is that he dominated exactly zero levels of minor league baseball before that point.
  10. I get the thinking but I just can't see how Sano at third and Player X in right is going to be appreciably different, much less better, than Plouffe at third and Sano in right. Plouffe is a pretty valuable player. He had a 3.9 WAR in 2014 and a 2.5 WAR in 2015. While that's not spectacular, it's not easy to replace, either. Those aren't plug and play numbers where you just plop a guy in and achieve net zero gains/losses. I don't like Sano in right and I was hoping Plouffe would be traded but once the market bombed out on third basemen, this move seemed the most logical. Giving away a player who averaged 3-something WAR over the past two seasons just for the hell of it seems like terrible asset management to me. I would have been really irritated had the Twins given away Plouffe for a C level relief prospect in A ball. In a perfect world, the Twins get value from Plouffe and Sano takes the hot corner. It didn't happen. I think it's time to move on and accept they made the best out of an awkward situation (one they helped put themselves into but an awkward situation none-the-less).
  11. In theory, prospect trades are a great idea to shuffle around players based on team need. In reality, they're hard to pull off for some reason. GMs simply don't do prospect swaps. Dunno why, exactly.
  12. If they roll out Morbius and Blade for the next season, I may lose my **** right then and there. Seeing Morbius on-screen would be so flippin' cool.
  13. That scene at the end is classic DD and they really did a good job with it, IMO. Matt Murdock fights inner demons that make Batman look sane. He sometimes breaks his own moral code when he tips over the edge. This was one of those moments. I expect the show to go to some pretty dark places as a result of the finale.
  14. A fair prediction, Seth. I have no idea what number to put on this guy. I think he could easily hit .700 or .850. He's a complete unknown.
  15. Are you asking when the Twins will bench Joe Mauer? That's unlikely to happen this season.
  16. Yep, it's a variation of the futility infielder. If the player was better, he wouldn't be a long reliever... Which means he's bringing something approximating replacement level value. Which means the position is mostly plug and play. Not a lot of "value" if any player can do it.
  17. She was *much* better in the role than I expected. Too skinny to be WW but after hearing her speak, I got over it. She looked the part and yeah, she's really easy on the eyes.
  18. I didn't like the Tigers last season and I certainly don't like them this season. Under.
  19. Lex Luthor's "plan" in this film is akin to Luke Skywalker's "plan" in Jabba's Palace in RotJ. A good "plan" does not consist of five failure points before you can execute the end game. If you turn your brain off, it works. If you think about for even a moment, you want to scream "WHAT THE **** IS HAPPENING ON SCREEN".
  20. There's a key moment in the film where Superman *finally* realizes he has absolutely no reason to fight Batman. He starts to talk and... ...instead punches Batman in the face. That was my biggest "**** YOU ZACK SNYDER" moment of the movie because, after being beaten down for a full two hours, he dangled a carrot in front of me and then punched me in the nuts when I reached for it. And that's really the best way to describe the film. You *want* to like it. There are some bloody amazing scenes (Luthor and Supes on the roof of a skyscraper, the Wonder Woman intro) but every time you get into that groove, Synder rips you out of it and slows down the movie by offering up truly bizarre scenes that make no sense in the context of anything. Every. Single. Time. He does it over and over again. It's infuriating. Never mind that there is basically zero "superheroing" for the first one and a half hours of the film. God, this movie pissed me off.
  21. On a final note, a good 50% of this film, maybe even more than that, doesn't make a lick of sense. It's hard to explain to someone who hasn't seen the movie. There are literally dozens of chances from every character in the film to use some common sense, speak at the right time, and avoid catastrophe. Yet they march forward and do whatever it takes to ensure carnage because character motivations and solid, consistent storytelling should never get in the way of seeing hundreds of people die a horrible, violent death. I can't get over just how bizarre the flashbacks became as the movie progressed. There's an appearance by The Flash - who apparently travels back in time to tell Bruce "don't trust anyone" - but can't be bothered to stick around long enough to explain anything more than that. Instead, to move the carnage forward, he repeats how Bruce shouldn't trust anyone multiple times without actually telling him anything useful. I hope his time travel machine was free because that is some seriously ****ty use of amazing technology. It's just ****ing weird, man. Every time you start enjoying the film, there's a huge WTF moment that just leaves you baffled at what you're watching on-screen.
  22. But seeing Wonder Woman draw a sword and fly into battle was ****ing awesome. It was the one part of the movie I genuinely enjoyed without a lick of hesitation. Gal Gadot was a much better casting choice than I expected. She's still too damned skinny but, eh, it's Hollywood.
  23. Saw BvS last night. It's the most frustrating movie I've seen in a long, long time. Some parts are *great* and suck you into the world... Then Batman has a flashback. Or Wonder Woman looks at a computer screen for five minutes. Or Lois and Clark have an awkward encounter. Or Lex Luthor does... something truly inexplicable. It's the most badly-paced movie I've seen in years. Every time it builds even a tiny bit of momentum, Snyder changes gears and tears you out of the movie. He's not good enough at storytelling to juggle this many pieces at once. The movie is too busy. And over half the characters are just wrong. Lex Luthor's approach is nonsensical. Superman literally has *zero* motivation to fight Batman. Wonder Woman is just hanging around because apparently that's what really old people do in a crisis. The characters don't have believable motivations, which leads to a bunch of "this happened, then that happened, now this happens" scenes. But the movie does *just enough* right to make you want to like it. Then it pulls the rug out from under you. Over and over and over again.
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