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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    First paragraph: it seems they may have screwed up with Cherington and that's disturbing. They had plenty of time to contact him and get him into the interview process and if it's true that he declined because he was already in the process of negotiating with Toronto, that's the kind of easily preventable mistake that shouldn't be happening in September of 2016. Second paragraph: huge (and I mean huge) red flags should go up around Twins Territory if McLeod interviews and declines the position. That means ownership is probably broken and non-baseball people are making unreasonable baseball demands upon the future head of their baseball operations.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, the Twins are a bit more of a known commodity but unless those guys know something really damning about Twins ownership, don't you think they'd at least take an interview if they were interested in a POBO position right now? All it requires is one day of their time and zero dollars spent on their part, after which they'd walk away fully comfortable in whatever decision they decide to make. It seems really weird to refuse meeting with someone for a highly sought after position if you're interested in filling that role with one of just 30 teams in the league. The risk is virtually zero to sit down and hear out the other party.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I view this as a positive, relatively speaking. If you decline an interview, it's likely you have personal reasons to decline even considering the position. You haven't met with ownership, you don't have a real idea of the inner workings of the company, and you're declining to even learn and consider if the position is right for you. There's something outside the company that is preventing you from meeting with them at all. The reasons for this happening are as long as my arm: family, current positional happiness, general quality of life, etc. If you decline after an interview, that generally means there's something about the company that's wrong and you want no part of it. Who here hasn't taken an interview mostly out of curiosity, only to walk away and say "nopenopenope"? I've done it several times.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep, I agree with everything in this post. We can speculate all day and choose whichever narrative best fits our viewpoint but at the end of the day, there are so many variables and so little public information available that we don't have the slightest idea what we're talking about.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    It was the certainty with which he predicted events yet to come.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Huh. Trump seemed pretty lucid in that transcript. Horribly wrong and just flat-out, well, wrong... But still pretty lucid. Just one point of many: he talks about an amnesty program for overseas corporate money yet fails to address the key point: why would companies return money to the US for products/services that had nothing to do with the US in the first place? If Apple builds a phone in China, uses a Korean service to ship it to England, sells it and a service plan in Scotland, what does Apple gain by bringing that money to the US at even a 1% tax rate? What's the point? The money is just fine over there in Ireland. It can be spent to market and sell more phones in the UK or maybe buy an Israeli tech company.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see a megalomaniac such as Trump handing power to Pence. I'm sure Trump promised Pence the moon and 72 virgins but I don't see how he'd follow through fulfilling that promise. Trump's ego won't allow it. If Trump somehow manages to win, I ultimately see all-out war being declared between factions within the Republican Party and their own President. Most will fall in line but there will be a vocal contingent - led by people like Lindsey Graham - who won't follow Trump because it'll be disastrous to their own reelection chances.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I buy the latest and greatest iPhone but it's because it allows me to keep my phone for a minimum of three years without getting frustrated that it's too slow for my needs by the end of the lifecycle. But I generally agree. I don't understand why people spend that much, especially people who buy into programs like the "12 month trade-in" system that has swept through carriers over the past couple of years. Actually, I do understand it. People like to show off shiny new toys but can't afford to buy into the steep price every 12 months to own said device. It's like a car lease on a much smaller scale. It's dumb, wasteful, and unnecessarily expensive.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    It's a good phone getting loads of good reviews. Too much is being made of the headphone jack thing and it's easy to get sucked into the noise of internet bleating over inconsequential details. Simply put, most people don't give a ****. Technology changes, new features added, old ones dropped. In six months, few will remember the headphone jack debacle. In a year, no one will care. In two years, over half the phones shipped will come without a headphone jack, including Android. And the world will keep spinning. As for overall sales of the iPhone 7, I think we've seen analysts drastically underestimate the cyclical nature of phone upgrades. Two year contracts/payments have created a tick-tock upgrade and it appears the 7 is going to be the recipient of tons of sales due to this cycle.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but sticking within an hour flight (and hell, even driving distance) of your kids for large chunks of the year could have played a role in the decision. But really, it's all speculation. I'm mildly concerned that "people" have reportedly declined interviews but I need a few more actual names before I consider it a real problem. I really hope this is just a lot of noise surrounding two legitimate candidates who liked their current (or coming) deals and not an ownership meddling problem.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    New phone, higher than anticipated sales, special carrier trade-in deals. Several things, really. At least that's all I've heard about it thus far.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, moving in high school is rough. I moved after my freshman year, lost all my friends, had to start anew, and was derailed off an AP track (ie. college credits in high school) through laziness/inattentiveness from my CA high school counselor (who was a moron). I was 15 and had no idea the long-term effects that would have on college. In short, moving your high school kids halfway across the country can and should have a big impact on parents' job choices. (not that I resent any of that happening, but it did happen and should be acknowledged)
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Speaking of email, NPR posted a great article about Colin Powell ripping into both candidates after his email was hacked. It's almost impossible to read that article and not think "Why isn't Powell leading the modern GOP again? He's what the party should be in 2016, not the garbage we've been subjected to in recent years." http://www.npr.org/2016/09/14/493927155/powell-trump-a-national-disgrace-clinton-screws-up-everything-with-hubris
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Holy crap, I just looked at Yelp stock. At one point it had dropped to $15. I wish I had known that when it was $15. I'm not a big fan of Yelp in general but at $15, that was a steal. They have a secure market thanks to iOS and that stock was going to rebound at some point. It now sits at $37.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, Apple is back on the offensive. Roughly a 9% gain in the past 3-4 days. We'll see if it lasts, though I suspect it will for awhile. Bought about $700 more Disney stock when it dropped to $92. It jumped back to $93-94 and then dropped back down to $91.50 today. Sigh. A lot of fluctuation in the market over the past week, at least for my stocks.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd give to Altuve, twice if it was allowed. I love what Dozier has done but Altuve is the complete package.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    That's... Not... What... He... Said... "could develop into a number two starter if he maintains the greater mechanical consistency he showed in 2012"
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm wondering that as well. If Cherington was already in negotiations with Toronto, he may have declined the interview out of courtesy to the Blue Jays. There are several ways this could have gone and it's disappointing to see a guy like that go off the board when it may have been avoidable.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    And if you don't like Sickels' 2014 report, here's his October 2012 report, which is pretty much identical. 6) Alex Meyer, RHP, Grade B+: Acquired from the Nationals for Denard Span. Impressive high-ceiling arm is something that the Twins need, could develop into a number two starter if he maintains the greater mechanical consistency he showed in 2012 compared to his college days at the University of Kentucky. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2012/10/29/3568278/minnesota-twins-top-20-prospects-for-2013 Again, lots of analysts were high on Meyer. You said outside analysts weren't high on him and that's flatly untrue.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    No, it's not. The first place I went to was John Sickels and I had no idea what his report was going to read. Because it's John Sickels. If you call John Sickels cherry picking, I don't really know what to say. He's my go-to source on most prospects, as he's been doing it forever, it's all easily searchable, and he might be the most respected analyst in the sport.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    But you did cherry pick by discarding all the analysts who were high on Meyer, of which there were dozens. And now you've discarded them again by saying they "bought into the hype". Meyer was a very highly regarded prospect by scores of analysts. Hell, on BP's own official list, he topped out as the #14 prospect in all of baseball in 2015. Does that scream "middle of the rotation guy or maybe a bullpen piece, tops" to you? In 2014, BP had him at #32. Sometimes prospects bust. It's a reality of baseball. It doesn't mean everyone who regarded that player highly was delusional. Sometimes, guys simply don't harness their stuff or they get injured. In Meyer's case, it was a bit of both.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Even BP wasn't consistent with Meyer. From 2014: Developmental Update: Meyer is a 6-foot-9 right-hander with a big arm who has had a lot of problems in the past repeating his delivery and commanding his fastball. While Meyer is very athletic for his size, he often couldn't time his lead shoulder and hip consistently, and that caused his release point to drift. His stuff and velo have always been premium. It's a common meme in baseball that it's dangerous to give up on big pitchers as they can put it together late and make you look foolish... and indeed, 2014 has seen the former Kentucky Wildcat turn a corner. Meyer is throwing more strikes this year—low strikes. He suddenly looks the part of a potential front-of-the-rotation piece, and we could see him turn up in the Twin Cities in the second half. - Al Skorupa http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=24076
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    What does that matter? It's John Sickels. He's quite possibly the most respected MiLB analyst in the sport.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Nope. To quote Sickels again: 12) Trevor May, RHP, Grade C+/B-: Hard-thrower acquired from Phillies for Ben Revere has had two erratic Double-A seasons, collecting plenty of strikeouts but with wobbly command. Could still develop into a rotation workhorse or perhaps a dominant reliever. ETA: late 2014. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/10/15/4838866/minnesota-twins-top-20-prospects-for-2014 That was pretty much my take on May since day one. He *might* have had the ability to top out as a middling #2 starter but his likely ceiling was always mid-rotation with a strong innings count. I never heard anyone seriously use the word "ace" in reference to May.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Several people were higher on Meyer than that. 4) Alex Meyer, RHP, Grade B+: Hard-thrower pitched effectively in Double-A, although a shoulder injury caused him to miss two months. Healthy now, should be ready for major league trial in 2014, projects as number two starter if everything works out with his arm. ETA: 2014. http://www.minorleagueball.com/2013/10/15/4838866/minnesota-twins-top-20-prospects-for-2014
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