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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. How is his arm shot? Since returning from Tommy John surgery, he posted the two highest fastball velocity seasons of his career.
  2. If all three pitchers go down with injuries that take them out of baseball for roughly the same amount of time, the timing of that injury should not be held against the pitchers whose "timing" was bad, nor should we reward pitchers whose "timing" was good. You don't choose when you get injured and if all three guys go down for roughly the same amount of time, it's just dumb luck if one of them misses one season while another misses almost two full seasons.
  3. Definitely Darvish. The Twins have enough competent arms coming through the system and one or two of them might be better than Cobb/Lynn. It's unlikely the same could be said for Darvish.
  4. Eleven months ago, Sickels said Gordon projects to be an MLB shortstop so I'm not sure anyone has jumped off the Gordon train quite yet.
  5. Especially when it's a pitcher who stumbles because of injury. There's a reason why teams are dedicating resources to predicting pitcher durability (it's important). And why teams haven't been terribly successful in predicting injury (it's hard).
  6. There's also the halo of "top overall pick" in play with Lewis. He looked pretty damned good by most accounts in his debut but top overall picks tend to be given the benefit of the doubt for at least one season. As I said, I think Lewis is the better prospect but I don't see how it's a huge gap right now. Gordon has chugged along through every level, improving slightly the entire way. The reason I say he's more likely to stick at short is because he played short in AA already and other than the errors, most people regard his defense as MLB shortstop calibre. Lewis still has a ton of question marks in that department, even though he looked good in his debut... but rookie ball is a looooooong way from Minnesota. With that said, I tend to try to weight performance over ceiling a bit more than many prospect lists so it shouldn't be surprising I'm higher on Gordon than some. I think people tend to overlook Gordon (unfairly) because he's not flashy at a single skill; he's "pretty good" across the board. And "pretty good" players who stick at shortstop turn into sneaky-valuable MLB players, the kind of guy who occasionally peaks with a 4-5 WAR season and you're unsure exactly how he got there.
  7. Interesting, but isn't BA known for prioritizing ceiling over performance? Or am I confusing them with BP again?
  8. Whoa, I think that's an exaggeration. Gordon had an outstanding first half of the season. He's coming off an age 21 season in AA. Despite his second half collapse, he improved pretty much across the board over his A+ season, where he landed on every major top 100 list, settling around #50 on most of them. I doubt Gordon regresses much on lists. He may drift down into the 70s on a few of them but there's no reason to punish the guy to the point where he's off the top 100 list entirely. That doesn't make sense. Gordon's stock didn't change much from 2016 to 2017; if anything, he showed a level of potential that we hadn't seen for more than a month or two in previous seasons and he did it at a young age in the upper minors. The only reason to knock Gordon down the list is his struggles against LHP and it's not as if that's uncommon in lefty batters, even the good ones. Everything else about the kid looks pretty much as it did 12 months ago, he simply did it all at a higher level this season (which is a good thing, not a bad thing).
  9. Lewis is the better prospect but it's not an enormous gulf. Just the fact that Gordon is more likely to actually stick at short keeps them relatively close in value. Lewis could be a great player if he sticks at shortstop but his value takes a serious hit if he has to move to second base or the outfield.
  10. I knew it was the case but seeing how little lineup turnover there will be season over season is kinda amazing.
  11. It should be announced soon. We have a few names in the mix but are working out the details.
  12. So you’re judging a 5+ year plan on two months of little action in an offseason where there has been shockingly little action from MLB at large. And to do so, you need to ignore the Twins’ 2017 draft, which employed a vastly different strategy than any draft under Ryan or Smith. Hell, earlier in this very thread you said you’d never heard of Adler until now. Maybe it’s possible you’re not exactly an authority on the Twins’ current use of analytics.
  13. But when it works, you get the Rangers bidding against themselves multiple times for the same player! (still one of my favorite baseball free agency moments)
  14. So you start the conversation by saying the Twins have always been bad at analytics and follow it up by saying they haven’t “done anything”, which extends far beyond analytics. We know they’ve done a lot in analytics based only on their hires and shuffling of the organizational hierarchy. Naturally, we don’t know the details of what they’ve done or what they’re doing because teams don’t reveal much about the inner workings of their analytics departments. Also, why’d you ignore my request for a link about the Astros’ web interface? I’ve scanned a dozen articles now and not a single mention of how the data was accessed with specifics about the interface.
  15. 1. Do you have a link stating the Cardinals gained access to a web interface? I remember reading they accessed a database (databases?) and email but never recall seeing how that information was accessed, whether via web or a direct connection to the database. 2. The Twins have overhauled their analytics department, even going so far as to let go of the guy previously in charge. Both Levine and Falvey come from more technically-adept organizations, as do most of their recent hires. What the Twins did or did not do in the past is becoming less relevant by the day.
  16. Bolded: well, sure, of course. What you do with information is always more important than how you store said information. The rest: Is it a "great accomplishment" or "a modern system of data storage and distribution"? You're not only reading between the lines, you're adding a hell of a lot of speculation to what was a pretty simple statement. There's absolutely nothing to indicate that "cloud storage" equals "a limited web interface that requires programmer input to alter". In fact, as an actual web developer, I know there are ways to create a web interface that basically changes itself as more data is entered into the system. If there's a web interface at all, which I doubt there is as web interfaces don't make much sense for this kind of work (at least the way I imagine the system working based on previous experience). There are loads of tools that can be installed locally to pull data directly from a remote source.
  17. Yeah, you can buy a lot of server if you don’t have to pay a sysadmin $75k a year.
  18. I don't think that's the case at all. To the layman, the "cloud" is a myriad of things and often used colloquially as "data stored outside our internal network" because they heard a tech guy use the word once and it stuck. There are loads of reasons to use cloud servers in a large organization. It's easily accessible, it's fast *everywhere* (no need for a single gateway or bottleneck, you pull from the closest server), a lot of the security is managed by an outside vendor, and you can get massive numbers-crunching horsepower without the overhead of server hardware, connection speed, and maintenance. A cloud is simply a network of servers that mirror data. You can set up those servers to have as much brute force power or to do anything a normal server would do in your local office. To the end user, a properly set up cloud server(s) will look and feel identical to a local network server, except it works better outside the network.
  19. I think you're misunderstanding what cloud computing is. It's simply a remote server (or more accurately, a series of remote servers). A user can have as much or as little access as an administrator grants them. A properly set up cloud computing setup used for data crunching is negligibly different from a local network setup, the only difference is where the server is hosted. But in a cloud setup, it's a lot easier to set it up to work anywhere, not only a local office. They're made to be accessed from anywhere and there's less hassle with opening ports, securing the system, and granting outside user access.
  20. A fair assessment, I think.
  21. I've heard that this movie is really good, even more so by the last minute replacement. Ridley Scott and Martin Scorsese are basically my gods. Not only because they make good films but that they have the ability to keep their finger on what makes good entertainment well into their 70s. Ridley Scott just turned 80 years old, for ****'s sake. And Martin Scorsese made his first "kid's film" in his late 60s. It's amazing.
  22. Yes, because they were worse people (by modern standards) without photographic or video evidence of their horribleness. The problem with sports is that you can't separate the art the from the artist. Say Steven Spielberg was a horrible serial rapist (knock on wood PLEASE STEVEN DON'T BE THAT PERSON), that doesn't mean you love the characters of ET or Indiana Jones any less. There's a disconnect with art and the artist that does not exist in sports. Puckett hits that home run in game six of the series and there's no filter of Luke Skywalker to separate the artist from his "art". And kids are going to worship at the alter of what they enjoy. When they watch a Pixar film, they won't give a rat's ass whether the creator of Wall-E is a double murderer. They only know Wall-E and he's great! But an athlete? There's no separation.
  23. I'll throw a broader, but similar, net and just say "any news that is factual, researched, and objective being labeled 'fake news' because it doesn't fit the recipient's worldview". About a decade ago, I had several long conversations with my friends about where the world was going and I boiled it down to "there is going to be a rift in this society: those those can parse information and those who cannot". In the mid-2000s, we were becoming inundated with information. Most of it was crap, some of it was interesting, less of it was true. Unfortunately, this has become more real and damaging than I ever imagined it could be. We've gone past the point of disseminating information and arguing its merits, we're now at the point where people believe literally the most absurd things imaginable. It's true on both sides, yes, but one side is obviously more prone to this affliction.
  24. I’d rather see photos of someone’s baby than their ****ing food.
  25. Agreed that it’s a shame it still happens but some people in this thread are giving a lot of consideration to Sano and virtually none to Bissen. They should probably ask themselves why that’s the case. I believe Betsy but have somehow managed not to say an ill word about Sano in the process. I’ll let the investigators figure that part out. The only thing I can do right now is support a woman who had the gumption to talk about a very bad situation.
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