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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    In a world where guys like Morrison go for $6m, Vargas has no value. None.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, it’s probably the right decision, as much as I don’t want to see Hughes pitch again. Mejia needs the reps and the Twins barely need a fifth starter to start the season. But I hope Hughes has an extremely short leash once the team needs a fifth starter regularly.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    My opinions have shifted a bit to the left but not excessively so. Yet I used to vote primarily Republican and now vote almost entirely Democrat. Maybe the Dems have shifted a bit to the left on stuff like healthcare but I chalk that up more to the ever-shifting-leftward nature of western society that has been in play for three centuries or so. It's the Republican Party that has radically shifted to the right and out of my sphere of political beliefs. All one has to do is look at the GOP's gun control arguments from 30 years ago versus today to see that in play. They're much further to the right now than they were at any previous point in my life.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Which is improbable.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    What bothers me is when people speculate wildly without a speck of evidence to support their opinion. Doubly so when that speculation casts people in a negative light for no reason.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I’ve been in the middle for years. It’s the Republican Party that left me there, not the other way around.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    They wanted the new management team to experience the process. Falvey and Levine, who probably have plenty of experience in the process already, aren't the people who go into the arbitration hearing and argue how much Gibson is worth (actually, I don't believe anyone from the team does at all, it's an MLB thing and the experience gained was probably through working with MLB). You can choose not to believe that but when Gibson himself doesn't seem bothered by how it went down, getting upset about it seems a little ridiculous.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. Teams don't push for longer term contracts, players do.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    I think you missed my point. I'm not comparing the quality of players but I am comparing the number of acquisitions. You can imagine Ryan signing any one of the guys acquired this offseason but I can't envision a scenario where he goes full-bore Pokemon and catches them all. The scenarios are definitely different but Ryan was the GM for a mighty long time in different eras and playing in different ballparks. We never saw anything that even approaches this offseason... and that's me being pretty generous with Ryan's offseason moves. He was an extremely conservative GM, probably to a fault. That doesn't make him a bad GM per se but it means we watched too many uninspiring offseasons under his leadership.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    In that I agree, my argument is that if you can get a decent player in free agency, the shortest term contract possible is almost always the best route to take. But some offseasons, that option simply isn't available so you go ahead and offer longer term deals.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Rodney is not a scrapheap guy and Sanchez wasn’t guaranteed an MLB contract.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm not bashing Ryan here, as I think the fanbase somewhat unfairly tried to run the guy out on rails. But can you imagine a single offseason where Ryan agrees to 6-7 MLB contracts and not a single one of them is a scrapheap guy? I can't.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe in two years the Twins need to give someone 4-5 years to get a decent player. That was not the case this offseason. But that’s two years you don’t have to worry about a player’s long term health or potential decline. In essence, a two year deal now allows you to postpone the typically bad portion of a contract. Worry about the four year contract when that’s your only option to get a good player and be happy that day isn’t today.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. A two year deal is the sweet spot, especially at the prices the Twins paid this offseason. In two years, the rotation might look solid but third base is a black hole. Or maybe an outfielder goes down with an injury that removes them from the field permanently. Any number of guys could simply fail. A two year contract allows you the flexibility to do a few things: 1. Lock down a position in the mid-term. 2. Retain future payroll flexibility to adapt to new challenges. 3. Rotate through free agents and avoid what too often become albatross contract seasons in years four, five, and six. There's absolutely no downside here because we're not talking about locking down a 25 year old Clayton Kershaw, we're talking about locking down a 30-something Yu Darvish. Long term contracts are always a risk but they almost always contain a serious downside unless you're talking about one of the generational players who broke into the majors at 20-21 and reached free agency in the middle of their prime. And the Twins will never be able to afford one of those players so it's a moot point anyway. Where the Twins will play in free agency has enormous risk and a lot of downside at the back end of long-term deals. If the risk wasn't there, the player would be too expensive because teams like Minnesota can't afford to give Bryce Harper an eight year, $300m deal.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    You cut Sanchez (and they did) and kick the can down the road on Hughes. Let everybody keep starting in ST and make a decision when you need to make a decision.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, yeah, I still don't trust the guy at all. But when he does something correct (or more accurately in this case, not awful), I have to acknowledge it in some capacity. On a semi-related topic, I've been listening to MPR pretty much all day for the past several weeks (baby in house, not much else to do to keep my brain occupied). It's depressing to hear fake news thrown at some of these institutions that do such a great job reporting balanced coverage, the Trumpets just don't listen and can't get past ANYTHING negative said about the man. Our country (and the world, really) is in a pretty sad state right now. If anything, MPR has convinced me that not everything Trump does is terrible. That in itself is pretty impressive and speaks volumes about how they approach news coverage. Not that MPR is new to me but in the past, I just picked and chose what I read when they posted to Facebook, which creates its own filter and skews things negatively toward Trump because that's how I naturally lean. When you pop on a station and just listen to everything they talk about without that filter, it pushes the coverage back to center a bit.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    I dislike both Trump and tariffs as much as the next guy but he appears to actually be using his supposed strength to his advantage for once: negotiation. I have to give the guy a little credit here. He put the world on the edge of its seat with a flat tariff but has brought some of our closest allies - Mexico, Canada, Australia, and probably Britain - back to the negotiating table by exempting them from the tariffs... for now. I don't like tariffs and I don't like bluster but he seems to be getting the job done here and deserves at least a little credit for it.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    That's not a terrible deal, as you're only on the hook for three seasons but that's a lot of money per season. I'll take Lynn, thanks.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    Dunno, I kinda lean with the "more is better" approach for an 85 win team. If 50% of your pitching staff is a black hole, one guy might not get it done in the regular season. Picking up two pretty good starters and two pretty good relievers might reap more rewards on a staff that flawed. If the Twins were a 90+ team, then obviously you want that front line starter because it's harder to gain wins at that level. But the Twins certainly didn't have that problem; they could shore up half a dozen roster spots and potentially gain more wins in the process, though obviously your team looks weaker on paper in postseason play. But if you don't make the postseason at all, that frontline starter is a moot point. And I think the Twins' acquisitions have given them a better chance at the postseason than Darvish alone.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Well... not really. They have an option on Morrison and Odorizzi is arg eligible in 2019 as well. And they can expect to see a healthy Pineda in 2019 as well. They also picked up a second year of Reed. Other than Lynn, the front office locked up the guys you might want to see locked up for more than one season. They didn't get a second year on Rodney but does anyone want that anyway? The front office did a very good job of dipping their toes into the water without overcommitting to any single player. It's a pretty impressive feat and given how little the front office paid to do it all, several other MLB front offices should be kinda embarrassed right now.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    At this point, would you trade Darvish at 5-6 years for two years of Odorizzi, one year of Lynn, and two years of Morrison? I’m not sure I would. To get that kind of talent for Darvish money without suffering through the back half of a six year deal is HUGE. As for Lynn vs Cobb, I also lean Cobb but didn’t see enough difference to really get upset about it (not claiming you did either).
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Given how this front office has plucked guys like Odorizzi, Morrison, Reed, and now Lynn this offseason for peanuts, I’d be enraged if I was a fan of one of the other 5-7 fringe contender teams in baseball. It feels really good to be on this end of things for once.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    This just... isn’t correct. “Interestingly, current theory generally holds that rotational and angular movements are more culpable than linear ones.” I literally listened to a doctor talk about this with the football player for an hour about two months ago. There’s no way that Morneau’s concussion looked worse and therefore WAS worse. https://www.google.com/amp/s/syndication.bleacherreport.com/amp/1800383-doctor-dave-explains-concussions-and-head-trauma.amp.html “Of course, there are cases where football players can get an injury and be dead in a few hours. In those cases, they are hit from an angle, and the brain can whip around inside the skull, tearing and stretching, which causes a large hemorrhage and they don't get to the hospital in time.” http://abcnews.go.com/GMA/OnCall/story?id=7121271&page=1 Just search concussion plus either angular or rotational and you’ll find a gaggle of articles that talk about how dangerous some pretty innocent-looking hits can be.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    While the offer seems insulting and lower than I’d offer Lynn (and I don’t even care for Lynn), has ANY other offer been publicized? Because I haven’t seen anything else publicized. And that matters. If you have one offer on the table and there are two other similar guys on the market with the same problem, is any offer actually insulting?
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    First paragraph: Absolutely, and that's the point of my post. I don't even approach the subject of claiming the severity or effects of Mauer's concussion. I won't touch that topic with a ten foot pole because concussions are way out of my depth as a layman. Second paragraph: Maybe I'm misunderstanding this paragraph but immediately after saying all concussions are different, you proceed to say one concussion looked more severe than the other. As I'm sure you understand, how a concussion "looks" doesn't have much impact on its severity or long-term effects. Just a month or so ago I was listening to an interview with a football player (can't remember his name for the life of me) who had several concussions in his career... and the one that took him out of the sport forever is the concussion he received when a teammate tripped over him, barely making contact. But the contact was particularly damaging to his brain because of the specific spot it hit, the angle at which it hit, and the impact's focus on a specific part of his brain.
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