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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Agreed. I think Ryan will bow out gracefully. I have a hard time seeing him get fired... And we all know that he's considering retirement, given that he did it once already.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm fine with Ryan, at least for one more year to finish his rebuild. After that, I don't really care. As for coaches, I'd retain Molitor, Brunansky, and Cuellar (with Bobby potentially sliding into the pitching coach position). None of them have been around long enough to get the blame for this losing stretch and Bruno/Cuellar had success in MiLB (and I think Bruno has done fine with MLB hitters). I think Molitor is potentially the next manager so I keep him around. If the team thinks Mienkiewicz is a better fit for the younger players, then it's probably best to move on from Molly as well. Don't care about the rest.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    I haven't been a huge Rick Anderson fan for quite some time (or Gardy for that matter). I'm fine with Gardy staying on board for one more season if that's what the front office wants to do... But Anderson needs to go. I've seen enough bad pitching in the past four seasons to last a lifetime.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Oh boy, I disagree. I didn't buy a Twins hat for years because I so hated the M logo. When they started reintroducing the TC logo around 2001 or so, I was soooooo happy.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't know what on earth you're talking about.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit, sed do eiusmod tempor incididunt ut labore et dolore magna aliqua. Ut enim ad minim veniam, quis nostrud exercitation ullamco laboris nisi ut aliquip ex ea commodo consequat. Duis aute irure dolor in reprehenderit in voluptate velit esse cillum dolore eu fugiat nulla pariatur. Excepteur sint occaecat cupidatat non proident, sunt in culpa qui officia deserunt mollit anim id est laborum.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    He didn't say team, he said player. And wins-losses is a terrible statistic to use in player evaluation.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Not a bad idea, particularly if the Twins don't think he can catch (and given how they've worked him, they don't seem to think he can catch). Now that I think about it more, it's not a bad idea either way. Josmil's floor is way higher than Herrmann, as is his ceiling.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    *shudders*
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    In the context of my "80 win team", I meant the previous year. So, the earliest the Twins could be an "80 win team" is October of 2015 - provided they win 80 games - and then make the corresponding moves to contend the following offseason. With that said, if they pick up a free agent or two and the Twins spring into contention next July, then I'm all for trading a piece or two - nothing major - to make a push for the playoffs. But now, after coming off a 71-74 win season? Nah. Too many variables, too many players that will need to step up to fill the 20-win gap to the playoffs as a legitimate contender.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Yep. Sustained success comes through a solid foundation. Signing free agents does not build a solid foundation. Trading prospects for veterans does not build a solid foundation. Both should be used as complementary pieces for an already-solid foundation of young MLB talent from the farm.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    I said nothing about acquiring free agents to make the team better, only that it's a mistake to give away internal pieces in the middle of a rebuild process. If the money and need is there, go find a decent free agent. I absolutely believe that's a good idea. I simply don't believe the Twins are currently in the position to trade away farm pieces they might need in 2016 if something goes wrong with their current batch of upper-minors prospects (not to mention that trading a prospect during 2016 might not push them into the 88 win territory but instead the 92 win territory). If the Twins find themselves in contention, a mid-season trade can always happen in June or July.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Now is not the time to trade prospects. It might take Buxton or Sano 1-2 years to get up to speed. One of them might fail. One of them might get injured. You trade prospects when you're an 80 win team pushing for the playoffs, not when you're a 73 win team trying to get its feet back under itself. Any veterans traded for today might be gone and/or ineffective by the time the Twins are ready to compete. It's a mistake to give up prospects you might need later when there are still so many question marks in the near future.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Ell-oh-ell.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd go for two fixes: 1. A stop-gap CF option. Pick up a vet who can hold a bat without embarrassing himself with the expectation that either Hicks or Buxton will later take the job. Do all you can to move Santana to short. 2. A more long-term fix for LF or RF. Maybe not Melky but someone who is competent out there. By mid-season, that could be a pretty good lineup if Sano slides Plouffe into a utility role and platoon and Buxton/Santana slide into CF/SS and Escobar becomes a roving bench guy. At this point, I don't care what happens to the likes of Nunez, Parmelee, and their ilk. They're fine as bench guys until something better comes along.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    That's basically an All-Star corner outfielder from a platoon. I like the idea of Arcia getting ABs against lefties but should he fail, this would be a great fall-back option.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah, I'm not the least bit worried about Thorpe. He's holding his own in a league of much older players.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    I love these quick breakdowns. Great work.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    At some point, Hicks is going to need to get another shot at MLB. Personally, I'd like to see Santana start making the transition back to short as soon as possible because he's not going to stay in center. One or all of Hicks, Rosario, and Buxton are better suited to the position.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    As would any other GM, which drops his trade value to the point that it's not worth moving him. If Escobar repeats his 2014 and the Twins cement Santana at short, then maybe it makes sense to move him. Right now, it's taking a pretty big risk to trade the guy and rely solely on Santana going forward.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I like to poke in and remind everyone of this little thing called "observational bias" every now and again.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Reality is far more complicated than that. 11 HR total. 4 HR in tie games. 6 HR in games within 1 run. 7 HR in games within 2 runs.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Massively improve? No. But should we expect improvement from a 23 year old player as he approaches his prime seasons? Absolutely.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Expect that they don't. Joe Mauer 2014 bases empty: .697 OPS. Joe Mauer 2014 RISP: .796 OPS. Yes, a lot of that is OBP driven (his OBP is a whopping .400 with RISP) but his slugging is also marginally higher with RISP (.015). What can we learn from this? That RISP is pretty much a useless statistic on which to base a player's worth, as it fluctuates wildly from season to season due to SSS. Joe Mauer spent the bulk of his career hitting marginally better with RISP, just as most players do (because RISP appearances tend to come against worse pitchers who are hit more easily). He didn't suddenly "forget" how to hit with RISP after a decade in the league. It's a meaningless statistic. Joe Mauer has been a pretty bad hitter this season. That's his problem, not RISP.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Hard to say. I have so many things on my list right now that it's hard to say when I'll get to the new databases and polish them up.
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