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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Losing Michael will sting a bit. He has really turned it around the past two seasons.
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, yeah. He's better than Stauffer.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    If he's the fifth option and the Twins don't allow him to block younger, better players, it's an acceptable move. Don't really care for it but I won't get too upset, either.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    This is one of the areas where Ryan's conservative nature really hurts him, in my opinion. The 6/7th inning guys shouldn't start with mediocrity. Fien is a mediocre reliever. Guys like Nick Burdi or Alex Meyer aren't going to get the call to Minnesota and become the closer or 8th inning guy overnight. They're going to start in a lesser role and work their way forward in the pen. A guy like Fien blocks higher upside players from getting to the Majors quickly and testing their ability to compete. I see virtually no upside here and marginal downside. Mostly, I think it's pointless. Though if Ryan doesn't hesitate to release Fien or trade him the moment the Twins have a better option, Casey is a fine safety net.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    And that's a fair argument, I'm just not ready to lose Kepler or Berrios. Berrios is the team's only legit hope for a front line starter and I like Kepler better than either Rosario or Hicks (I may have even traded Rosario before Hicks). Anyone else in the system is fair game, IMO... But the problem is that no one else in the system is far enough along in their career and/or good enough to bring back a truly talented catcher. Maybe you can make a case for Gordon but I don't see it yet.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    I'm glad they didn't tap into the farm, as any competent catcher is going to cost Kepler or Berrios. I think both will be better than Hicks, possibly as early as this season. That's why I wanted to roll the dice on Wieters. It's not that I liked Wieters so much, it's that I hated the price of everyone else (not including Murphy, who never even crossed my mind).
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't see it happening without an injury. Rosario is a given. Arcia needs to be on the roster. Buxton has both MLB and AAA time. Then comes Kepler. I don't see Max jumping over the guys in front of him to open the season, though I think we could see him relatively early in the season (May) if one of the other guys is struggling.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    Exactly. I'm much more concerned with what Murphy does in Target Field than what Hicks does in Yankee Stadium.
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    If we're talking about platooning Hicks, there's no reason not to be bullish on this trade. A young cost controlled catcher > A short side platoon corner outfielder The hope is that Hicks figures out RHP, not that he's a 150 PA platoon player. If you think he's a permanent platoon guy, Murphy is more valuable to the Twins.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Absolutely. I hold out hope for two things: 1. He flew through the MiLB system, especially considering he's a catcher. There's possibly some upside left in there. 2. He hasn't received consistent playing time. Maybe some of that latent upside will emerge with more regular plate appearances. But overall, I'm underwhelmed with the trade. I think it's a relatively close swap of matching talent but it's not the direction I wanted to see Ryan take the team this offseason.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    Statistical noise made to support a negative view of the trade (and this is coming from someone who doesn't care for the trade). Murphy has roughly 140 PAs both at home and on the road. Too small a sample to matter. He has almost identical XBH numbers at home and on the road. Yankee Stadium isn't helping him there. The difference is BA-driven. He has a ~.070 BABIP advantage at home. That's just luck. I see troubling numbers with that BABIP but the home/road splits are statistical noise in a SSS.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Not the route I would have taken but let's face it... Hicks is likely to be a role player himself. His troubles against RHP aren't likely to go away. But overall, meh.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    Ah, I think you're right. I was thinking 2011 for some reason.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    A few things here: 1) Different scouting director, different GM. To expect the same process isn't sound analysis. 2) I've heard - albeit second or third hand - that many of the Twins' scouting reports on Nishioka were not positive. I have no idea what the hell happened there but I'm not sure it was the fault of scouts.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    It's pointless to compare them. They're not even from the same country and league, never mind their wildly different performances, swings, and player profiles. They weren't signed by the same GM and they weren't scouted under the same director. We may as well compare Joe Mauer and Chris Herrman. At least they once played the same position. There's reason to be concerned about anyone who comes out of the KBO. That has absolutely nothing to do with Nishioka.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    If I'm Milwaukee, I start the conversation at Berrios and don't dip below Kepler + Gonsalves. That's a realistic trade scenario, not the gibberish being spouted in this thread.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Except for one thing: Why would the Brewers want Plouffe? They're on the cusp of a rebuild, especially if they trade Lucroy. The idea is nonsensical.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Any player that has a 40+ WAR career is a resounding draft success.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    He's definitely better than Boone, which is why I'm not entirely against the idea. But he's a pretty significant risk.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Given the market, I can't see the Twins trading for a decent catcher without giving up Kepler and/or Berrios based on the quality of the trade target. I could swallow losing Kepler but not Berrios. It all depends on what the other team wants. And let's say the Brewers want Kepler + Gonsalves for Lucroy. At that point, giving up money + pick for Wieters seems like a pretty damned good deal, as Lucroy has the same question marks surrounding him. I don't want AJ. He's due to completely fall off a cliff at a moment's notice and his defense is already terrible. Salty is an interesting flyer but there's a good chance he's cooked. The Twins could easily enter 2016 in the same situation they were in 2015.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    I'd hire Gardy before I hired Dusty Baker, I know that much.
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, that has no relevance. It's rare to hit on a guy like Berrios in the supplemental round. Who he is today is what's important, not where he was drafted. Did it impact Pujols' trade value that he was drafted in the 13th round? Which I'd be in favor of if there was someone out there better than the current crop of players. The catching position is ugly this offseason.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    For a season? I might not care. We all know that every FA is a risk and almost every 3+ year deal is not going to pay off in the final year or two (depending on contract length). Those are the terms on which FA is built. You can either swallow that bitter pill, accept its reality, and improve the team or you can continue watching scrub after scrub rotate through this roster. Personally, I'm really tired of seeing the latter. The Twins don't need to spend money on every position and I questioned their expenditure on Santana last season... But that doesn't mean they shouldn't spend money on any position. They need a catcher. They have zero chance of successfully filling that position internally (unlike the pitching situation last offseason). So that means trade or buy. Given the likelihood of trade requiring a loss of Berrios and/or Kepler, I think buy is the pretty obvious choice here.
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    Well, that means the Twins would have to find a stopgap replacement for 1-2 seasons. Given that Nolasco will be off the books and Santana/Mauer will be in their final seasons, that shouldn't be terribly difficult. Or hey, maybe Turner or another Twins prospect has come into his own by that point. The Twins shouldn't be terribly concerned with what happens to payroll in 2018. They're trying to win baseball games in 2016. If the only "loss" to becoming a better team is money, I don't really care and neither should they (at least to a point). Any dollar they spend that brings improvement to the team is a dollar they'll probably get back at the ticket box. Right now, winning baseball games is a very good investment for the Minnesota Twins. They could see increased ticket sales every year for the next half decade (and the increased TV revenue that goes along with winning).
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    "Why not Wieters?" is a good way to frame this question. In a field where every catching option is either flawed or expensive (prospect-wise) to acquire, "Why not Wieters?"
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