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Brock Beauchamp

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Everything posted by Brock Beauchamp

  1. Brock Beauchamp
    Sure, but that's the case every season. 2011 shouldn't have been as disastrous as it was. 2012 also shouldn't be as bad as it is (damn, Baker going down REALLY hurt). Stuff like that happens. If you continue thinking "we need to stock up more to win this thing", you will end up in a perpetual cycle of rebuilding. Look at the Royals. Their prospects aren't panning out as expected again. I'm sure they'll return to respectability but when? And because of their staggered minor leaguers, will they ever get good before losing some of their guys to FA?
  2. Brock Beauchamp
    I agree on some counts. JR is going to have to step up during this trading deadline and during this offseason to have a shot at the division in the near future. Can he do it? I'd like to think so but we haven't seen him in this kind of situation before so it's hard to say for sure. I think the Twins will look pretty good going into 2013 if they can trade Span for a close-to-MLB pitcher, Liriano for a low minors pitcher, and then wait it out. If things don't look good in the pitching FA market this offseason, consider offloading Willingham to pick up another pitcher. My main problem lies in trading everybody at once. If you want to move Willingham now and Span later, that's no big deal but I'd rather see it the other way around because a rebuilding team will look better with Willingham on it than Span. Instead of offloading everybody and everything, I think it's smarter to trade a few pieces and see what you have in December and then act accordingly. Right now, Liriano, Capps, and Span are the no-brainers to me. Also, Dozier is looking more and more like a major leaguer every day. I don't think we should be discounting his play lately, even if it turns out that he needs to move to second base in the future.
  3. Brock Beauchamp
    It's not a bad idea. On the other hand, keeping butts in Target Field in the short term goes a long way toward keeping the payroll on this team reasonably high. Like Dave, I think this team can return to respectability in 2013 if things break right, 2014 more realistically. Again, this is the AL Central. It doesn't take much to win this thing.
  4. Brock Beauchamp
    Yes, the AL Central powerhouse that is the... um... yeah... er... will prevent the Twins from competing any time soon. Find two good pitchers and this team is a contender again. It doesn't take much in this division. Of course, that partially depends on Hendriks and Gibson panning out, but that's not much of a longshot. Both should have floors of slightly below league average guys, ceilings of #2 (Gibson) or #3 (Hendriks). Detroit is going to tank relatively soon under the weight of bad contracts. Kansas City's rebuilding isn't exactly lighting the world on fire. The White Sox are getting older. There isn't much in this division to be afraid of right now.
  5. Brock Beauchamp
    I merged the threads to avoid multiple posting and confusion.
  6. Brock Beauchamp
    Hmm. I'm not sure about that because instead of 5-6 teams looking for outfield help, you have all 30 teams looking for help around the diamond. Sure, some will pick up FAs but if you're offering a guy with two cost-controlled years (at a good rate), it shouldn't be hard to move him for prospects. It's a risk, for sure... As is everything in this game. Worst case scenario is that you hold onto Josh for another three months and then move him next July. No real loss there. I just don't see the point in trading everybody until you can gauge what it is you need moving forward. Pitching is the obvious choice, of course... But pitching help should/will be found with Span and Liriano (who may be the best pitcher on the market if Philly signs Hamels). I'm just not a fan of trading everything and everyone at once, I guess. I think trading a few pieces at a time is the way to go and I'd definitely rather see Span go than Willingham.
  7. Brock Beauchamp
    Then we're not disagreeing at all. I'm fine with trading Willingham if the deal is right. I'm just not sure you'll get the right deal after 1/2 a season when Josh was available to every team in MLB last December and no one signed him. And given Revere's play, Span is more expendable so I think trading him is the smart thing to do. If we're lucky, within a year we'll be talking about trading Revere as well.
  8. Brock Beauchamp
    I don't think we're really disagreeing here. Willingham may get hurt, yes. On the other hand, if he doesn't get hurt, he just put up a full season of All-Star quality ABs. He's rolling right now and an injury is far from a certainty. I'm not against JR listening to offers. What I'd prefer he not do is aggressively shop Willingham. Span is much more easily replaced by the Twins, they already have the guy on the roster. I'd like to see JR push Span hard and move him out for a pitching prospect. It's already going to be hard to get fair market value for two above average players in Span and Liriano. I don't see the point in adding a third player to the list when the Twins still don't know what they have in their minor league OF prospects. Wait until the offseason and re-evaluate the team once you've had a few months to soak in what Benson/Hicks/Arcia are doing, how Gibson is shaking out, and what your trade prospects from July look like in the organization. Change too many pieces at once and there's a good chance you leave the organization weaker than it could have been had you waited to see how things played out for a few months. There are only 2 1/2 months left to the season. If the Twins want to move Willingham later, that option will always be there (with a slight risk/reward loss/gain involved).
  9. Brock Beauchamp
    Maybe not. It's hard to say for sure but the Twins already have an outfielder on the market. I don't see the point in confusing the situation by trading an immensely popular player under team control when Span is more expendable and already on the market. Besides, a full season of Willingham is going to be worth more than the partial season he has put up thus far. Also, by holding off trading both guys in July, the Twins allow themselves to better gauge the Benson/Hicks/Arcia situation going into 2013. If more than one of them plays themselves onto the team, then Willingham is also expendable and if he keeps this up all season (or at least does well all season), his value going into 2013 will be extremely high. I fail to see why the Twins need to rush into trading the entire team in the next two weeks. I understand that we as fans get prospect-hungry but I think some people around here need to step back and take a deep breath. Trade Span, Liriano, Capps and then see how the rest of the season plays out with both the newly acquired prospects and the guys already in the organization, then re-evaluate. There is no need to start trading willy-nilly just for the sake of trading willy-nilly.
  10. Brock Beauchamp
    Your potential trade market is a lot bigger in the winter meetings than it is at the trade deadline. It's already going to be a lot of work to trade Span, Liriano, and Capps and make sure you get fair market value (or better) for them. Adding another high profile player like Willingham might confuse the situation, making potential trade targets waffle between Willingham and Span. If a clear-cut trade comes through that is a blockbuster for the Twins, you do it. But JR already has enough on his plate, I don't see the point in piling on even more guys when the market for outfielders is already limited.
  11. Brock Beauchamp
    I was perusing baseball stats this morning and came across this oddity: Justin Morneau has this slash line against lefties:[TABLE=class: sortable stats_table] [TD=align: right].137[/TD] [TD=align: right].170[/TD] [TD=align: right].221[/TD] [TD=align: right].391[/TD] [/TABLE] No big surprise there, right? But here is his slash line against left-handed starters: [TABLE=class: sortable stats_table] [TD=align: right].203[/TD] [TD=align: right].268[/TD] [TD=align: right].351[/TD] [TD=align: right].620[/TD] [/TABLE] Still bad but not nearly as "oh my god, he's clueless" as his overall slash line. The odd thing is that he has 82 PAs against left-handed starters but only 100 PAs against lefties in general. Basically, Morneau is completely hopeless against left-handed specialists late in the game, going a mighty 2-19 against them with two walks and a double. Yikes. SSS and all but I found the data to be interesting.
  12. Brock Beauchamp
    Even if Willingham has a bad second half (incredibly unlikely given his current play), his trade value will still be high this offseason. If the Twins feel the need to move him, they'll certainly be able to do so at that point and it won't look nearly as bad to the fanbase or incoming free agents.
  13. Brock Beauchamp
    To be fair, he's had 2 1/2 months of success. He had a bad May and that's the only real blemish on his season. His April and June were good and so far, his July has been outstanding.
  14. Brock Beauchamp
    Actually, producing electronics in America isn't nearly as expensive as one would think. Google just started manufacturing the Nexus Q in the US and it retails for $300. If it was made in China, it might be $249 or $199 at the very least. Given the savings in exporting, shipping, and a plethora of other reasons (state subsidies, weak dollar, etc.), it's really not that hard to bring manufacturing to the US if a corporation is truly interested in doing so.
  15. Brock Beauchamp
    You're really underselling the kid. He's still only 22/23 and has dominated every level of the minors. He's more than rotation fluff.
  16. Brock Beauchamp
    CJ Wilson is the type of guy the Twins need to target (though he was a little on the pricey side). I think the Twins' success will be from signing two second tier pitchers for the price of a Greinke or Hamels (assuming the good Greinke hits the market, not the bad one). Pitching is too volatile for a mid-market team to dump $120m+ on one guy.
  17. Brock Beauchamp
    Oddly enough, his road numbers are right in line with his career averages. It's his TF numbers that are skewing his line above the norm. Not sure what that means, just thought it was strange.
  18. Brock Beauchamp
    Run, Denard, Run.
  19. Brock Beauchamp
    My favorite play in baseball, the balk.
  20. Brock Beauchamp
    Talk about **** luck.
  21. Brock Beauchamp
    Indeed. A "double".
  22. Brock Beauchamp
    Mauer's GB% is finally going to drop below his 2011 numbers. A very good sign.
  23. Brock Beauchamp
    Joe can do that? To right field?
  24. Brock Beauchamp
    I suppose the team could wait until the offseason to add Hicks but considering how there should be open spots after some guys are traded, it's possible they might do it earlier.
  25. Brock Beauchamp
    Yeah. In the early/mid 2000s, it was understandable why JR didn't trade prospects. He needed those guys, as he could barely keep the team together given those payrolls. Now, the team is bad so it doesn't make sense to trade prospects for an entirely different reason.
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