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  • Twins Daily 2022 Draft Coverage, May 12


    Jeremy Nygaard

    Injuries. They’re always part of the pre-draft process. But this year feels different. It’s been big names. It’s been a lot of names. And they seem to be happening quite frequently. 

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    Before we get into any injury updates, I wanted to point out that Keith Law released his Top 100 late last week. (You need a subscription to The Athletic to view this list.)

    Out of respect to being behind a paywall, I’m only going to highlight where some players are ranked. One thing about Keith Law - love him or hate him - he’s ranking these players on his own and doing it with conviction. 

    Law has Cam Collier, a 17-year-old junior college third baseman, ranked second overall. Collier went the “Bryce Harper way” by getting his GED after his sophomore year of high school and enrolling at Chipola Junior College. He’s torn up the JC ranks so far with an OPS around 1.000. I checked in with an area scout in regards to Collier who called him a “great young man” and in addition to being complementary of his offensive game, says he’s a solid third baseman with a 70 arm.

    Law notes that a team who factors age into analytics - and the Twins do - will really like Collier. 

    Another player of note is Alabama LHP Connor Prielipp, ranked #15. Prielipp was the first big Tommy John domino to fall in this draft class (last May) when he was viewed as a potential Top 5 pick. He hasn’t pitched since. In fact, he’s only pitched seven times in college total. But he’s getting close to 100%, is going to throw before the draft, and has become my favorite college pitching prospect.

    The last name to highlight is Kumar Rocker, who Law ranks #46. Rocker hasn’t pitched competitively since leaving Vanderbilt last year and there are no known plans of when he will pitch again. But he’ll have to throw before the draft. Won’t he?

    LSU 3B/1B Jacob Berry is the latest to get bitten by the injury bug. It’s not as major - it’s just a finger. But the switch-hitter will be limited. And for a guy with big defensive questions, having a broken finger is going to limit his opportunities to prove himself on the defensive side of the ball. I’m buying his offense, but the more I hear about his profile being so driven by his bat, the more I’m worried… and his drop from my Top 10 reflects that.

    And, finally, in more injury news, Florida LHP Hunter Barco announced that he underwent Tommy John surgery recently. 

    Barco was projected to be picked in the top few rounds, but now his status is murkier as he will likely be unavailable even into next year’s Spring Training.

    JEREMY’S TOP 10 PROSPECTS
    Collier and Prielipp are new. Berry and Susac drop out.

    1.) Druw Jones, OF, Georgia prep (Vanderbilt commit)
    2.) Termarr Johnson, 2B, Georgia prep (Arizona State commit)
    3.) Elijah Green, OF, Florida prep (Miami commit) (Baseball America breaks down his game.)
    4.) Brooks Lee, SS, Cal Poly 
    5.) Kevin Parada, C, Georgia Tech
    6.) Jackson Holliday, SS, Oklahoma prep (Oklahoma State commit) 
    7.) Cam Collier, 3B, Chipola JC
    8.) Connor Prielipp, P, Alabama
    9.) Dylan Lesko, SP, Georgia prep (Vanderbilt commit) (Baseball America breaks down his game.)
    10.) Jace Jung, 3B, Texas Tech (previously: 😎

    Dropped out: Jacob Berry, 3B, LSU (previously: 7); Daniel Susac, C, Arizona (previously: 10)

    JEREMY TALKS PITCHING PROSPECTS
    Jeremy is also writing about the 2022 draft at Brewer Fanatic. While the Twins select at #8, the Brewers have to wait until nearly the end of the first round. Jeremy discusses some of the pitchers that may be available for the Brewers late in the first round. These could also be pitchers the Twins consider in Round 2 if they are still available.  https://brewerfanatic.com/videos/milwaukee-brewers-minor-leagues/2022-mlb-draft-preview-r5/ 

    MOCK DRAFTS / PROSPECT BOARDS

     

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    One small correction--it is Daniel Susac.  I think Andrew is his older brother if I am not mistaken.  I am curious why you dropped Susac out of top ten.  Is it concern as to his hit tool?  I understand the Prielipp ranking.  You know, it used to be that TJ effectively destroyed a pitcher's ability to go high in the draft.  Now, it is so common and the recovery rates so good that it has almost become a right of passage for talented young arms.  I would probably still have Lesko in front of him, but I think Prielipp is a big talent.  Great article, thanks Jeremy.  I always pick up good info and a fresh perspective when I read your updates.  I almost forgot to ask your take on Gavin Cross who BA has the Twins taking at 8.

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    36 minutes ago, RJA said:

    One small correction--it is Daniel Susac.  I think Andrew is his older brother if I am not mistaken.  I am curious why you dropped Susac out of top ten.  Is it concern as to his hit tool?  I understand the Prielipp ranking.  You know, it used to be that TJ effectively destroyed a pitcher's ability to go high in the draft.  Now, it is so common and the recovery rates so good that it has almost become a right of passage for talented young arms.  I would probably still have Lesko in front of him, but I think Prielipp is a big talent.  Great article, thanks Jeremy.  I always pick up good info and a fresh perspective when I read your updates.  I almost forgot to ask your take on Gavin Cross who BA has the Twins taking at 8.

    Thanks for pointing out the name goof... fixed now!

    Berry dropped due to concern. Susac dropped because of the intel I got on Collier and confirmation that Prielipp is going to be throwing again soon. 

    As far as Cross goes, he's solid across the board. I'm not sure that he has a carrying tool, which just makes me wonder if he'll ever project as a regular. Probably won't stick at CF; probably won't have the stick to play a corner.

    I'd rather make a mistake on upside. 

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    Kind of hoping Collier or Holiday fall to the Twins at 8.  Would really like a high school bat since we have so many bats ready at the upper levels already.  It feels like Jace Jung is going to be the best left at 8 unless a team ahead of us goes pitching.  I Really liked Prielipp as an upside pick. Not sure pick number 8 is the right spot but he has an elite change already TJ is out of the way.  He could be a fast mover with a chance to be an elite pitcher.  He does have a slight frame from what I understand and the Twins seem to do well picking pitchers down the line so probably a long shot in a lot of ways.  I do like the arm though.

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    We'll have more on this next week, but Kumar Rocker is signing with a team in the Frontier League. It sounds like he'll ramp up for a month and then pitch in a handful of games before the draft. Probably the player in the draft with the widest variety of outcomes... which is weird, since he was never actually injured - and so many in this draft have been!

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