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    Twins Being Overwhelmed By Underperformance


    Nick Nelson

    The quotes provided by Twins owner Jim Pohlad in a much-discussed Chip Scoggins column that appeared in the Star Tribune last week included some controversial and heavily scrutinized comments.

    In my mind, the general sense of bewilderment and cluelessness conveyed by the team owner in his answers was utterly uninspiring, and representative of leadership that is largely ambivalent to the product on the field.

    But to be fair, the core points Pohlad was making were not wrong.

    Image courtesy of Brad Rempel, USA Today

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    Expressing unequivocal confidence in the general manager who has already dropped four of the 25 players that were on his Opening Day roster, or the second-year manager whose team has looked remarkably unprepared to compete most nights, in the face of an 8-23 start is not a great look. However, it is understandable to an extent.

    As Dan Wade astutely pointed out here on Friday, the Twins aren’t really well served by putting anyone on the hot seat publicly right now. And really, trying to heap mountains of blame on either Terry Ryan or Paul Molitor misses the point.

    While there have been plenty of questionable decisions, this WAS a talent-laden roster. This WAS a team on the rise. This WAS unanimously viewed as one of the best prospect pipelines in the game.

    If even half the players on this club were playing up to their established ability level, things would not be nearly so dire. This is especially frustrating with the veterans, who were asked to fill a leadership void that emerged with Torii Hunter’s retirement. Instead they have helped set the tone for this miserable stretch of baseball with repeated gaffes and failures.

    Let’s take a look, position by position, at the contagious underperforming that has plagued this Twins roster.

    Catcher: The Twins have made their own bed here by continuously miscasting Kurt Suzuki as a starting player, but he’s playing drastically below this standard. The veteran has a .679 career OPS, and a .670 OPS in two years with the Twins. His current mark is .560, and he's hitting .176 with runners in scoring position. Of course, there’s no need to even remark on the subpar production from John Ryan Murphy prior to his demotion.

    First Base: The lone bright spot. Joe Mauer has had a sensational season and of course it’s going largely unnoticed because the team has been so crummy. The same goes for Byung Ho Park, although his novelty as a foreign star and rookie has enabled him to enjoy some nice attention.

    Second Base: Brian Dozier has picked up where he left off, and that's not a good thing. His current .220/.309/.385 slash line bears disconcerting resemblance to his .210/.280/.359 after the break last year. Fortunately, he has been showing signs of heating up lately.

    Shortstop: Eduardo Escobar landed on the disabled list after suffering a groin strain on Friday, and maybe that's just as well. He could use a reset after a first month that saw him fail at the key things that made him an effective player over the last two years. Specifically, I'm talking about hitting for power and playing reliable defense. His .289 slugging percentage is down 150 points from 2015 and he has already committed five errors at shortstop after totaling four last year.

    Third Base: Although Trevor Plouffe has been hitting for decent power when he's been on the field, his plate approach has deteriorated. The 29-year-old has drawn only two walks in 65 plate appearances, resulting in a hideous .277 on-base percentage. He's hardly stepping up in the way you'd hope as one of the roster's cornerstone vets.

    Left Field: A demotion can't be far off for Eddie Rosario, who is batting .196 with a .534 OPS. He's swinging at a whopping 40 percent of pitches outside the zone, and despite his reputation as a "bad ball hitter" he's not doing anything with the garbage he's hacking at, as illustrated by a .222 BABIP and only five extra-base hits in 98 trips.

    Center Field: What is there to be said about Byron Buxton? It was tough to set expectations for him coming into this year given his lack of experience, but no one could have anticipated a sub-.500 OPS with strikeouts in half of his plate appearances. Even accounting for the expected sophomore slumps and rookie learning curves, what we've seen from Rosario and Buxton at the plate has been disheartening.

    Right Field: Miguel Sano's .707 OPS is down more than 200 points from the mark he posted as a rookie. Oddly he hasn't been hitting for power even though he leads baseball in line drive percentage. I fully expect him to come around and get hot at some point soon but there's no doubt that he has let the team down thus far.

    Rotation: You've got Ervin Santana and Phil Hughes, two veterans who signed long-term contracts to be foundations in the rotation, failing to complete even four innings in their latest starts, at a time where the team is desperately in need of a spark. Tommy Milone was about as bad as he's ever been before his demotion. Kyle Gibson, a guy who was trending up in every way, pitched horrendously before going on the shelf.

    Bullpen: Glen Perkins has been unavailable. Kevin Jepsen has been ineffective. That 1-2 punch was the source of whatever confidence this unit could have justified. Multiple relievers (Casey Fien, Ryan O'Rourke, J.R. Graham) pitched poorly enough in one of month of the season to essentially erase themselves from the team's plans.

    Each year, invariably, some players step it up and excel to the max of their ability while others come up short. Right now the scale is tipped so far in the wrong direction for the Twins that they barely look like a competitive team most nights.

    While it's a cliche to point out that the manager can't go out and swing the bat or throw pitches from the mound, it's true. It might be tidier to pin these horrible results on the skipper, or the hitting/pitching coach, but the messy truth is that it's the players who are wearing this and only they can stem the tide.

    These guys know how to play ball. It's about damn time they started.

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    Featured Comments

     

    Bet Puckett had a higher BMI than Sano when he played RF for the Twins.  For the record, Kelly did not quit.

    Right....

     

    Kirby Puckett is a career outfielder that at his heaviest was MAYBE 225 lbs. He was 180 lbs as a rookie. BMI is no more relevant than his blood type. Puckett was a Hall of Fame outfielder his entire career.

     

    Sano is a 280 lbs DH/3B who has never played in the outfield before this season.

     

    Comparing Puckett and Sano is like comparing Apples and the Number 7. 

     

    I don't think they expected Murphy to displace Suzuki as the starter.

    Nor do I,   not right away at least.    But given how much they invested in continually overestimating Hicks,   it seems to me like they probably still valued him highly enough even after last season that they wouldn't have traded him if they felt they were getting just a disposable 'Butera 1.1' catch-and-throw guy in return.

     

    My guess is that they hoped JRM would learn from Suzuki in 2016 while giving them enough production to only ask Suzuki to catch 100-110 games instead of the absurd 130 he had in 2015,  and then cross their fingers and hope that he might develop enough at the plate to take over for Suzuki before Zukes flamed out entirely.

     

    That's not to say the Twins were misguided enough to see JR as 'The Answer' at catcher,  either right away or in the long run as the 120 games/year guy for a contender.    Then again,  it's the Twins,  so who the hell really knows what they're thinking at this point.

     

    No, it's not.  My opinion of him is based on him being a bad baseball player and there is ample evidence of it.  

     

    We're talking about a player that came back in July last year and was pretty good - other than that one short stretch of the season he was considerably below average.  A guy who hits 10 homeruns in a week and then absolutely sucks for 5 weeks may normalize into a semi-competent player but that didn't change the fact that he was a black hole of terrible play for 5 weeks.  

     

    That's what Hicks is.  He can't do anything consistently enough to be a competent player you can rely on.

     

    So, you are debating consistency vs competency.  The argument you are posing is that Hicks can be competent in spurts, but fails to do so consistently.  My counter to that is if Hicks was consistent, he wouldn't be a back up player.  Mastro can't be decent for any stretch, and he isn't going to develop into anything more than that.  Hicks at least has the ability to be a competent, league average player, even if it is inconsistently, and is young enough that there could be hope that he becomes more consistent.  You are never going to have a bench of guys who are both consistent and competent.  With that being understood, isn't a bench of guys who are inconsistently competent better than a bench of guys who are consistently incompetent?

     

    Another point in favor of Hicks as the 4th OF would have been that he's already a pretty good hitter when batting right-handed  (.257/.347/.418).    That made him a good choice to platoon with Arcia and pinch hit for him, in addition to his ability to serve as an excellent defensive sub for him.   It would also make him a good choice to spot start for Rosario occasionally against tough lefties.

    What is this pinch hit and platoon you speak of? Hopefully not another of them new fangled ideas like the catcher wearing a mask!

    Whether one agreed with the decision or not, Hicks fate was just another fallout from not trading Plouffe. It's amazing the trickle down effect that non trade caused! By trading Plouffe, if possible for a better catching prospect, we would have had a better defensive OF, and a more balanced lineup. Santana tries, but Hicks is still a better CF.

     

    You are never going to have a bench of guys who are both consistent and competent.  With that being understood, isn't a bench of guys who are inconsistently competent better than a bench of guys who are consistently incompetent?

     

    Sure you do, the problem is not consistency vs. competency, it's what degree of competency you'll accept from a player on your bench.  

     

    Would I be totally opposed to Aaron Hicks the 4th OF?  No, but I was arguing against the suggestion that Aaron Hicks is more than that.  I also would prefer a significantly better Plan B for Buxton than him.  The Twins could've signed someone capable of playing CF and played them in RFuntil he was needed.  

     

    Now this required adding someone like Fowler (who I said all offseason would've been my top priority) and it would've required dumping the asinine idea of moving Sano to RF by trading Plouffe. However they did it, the point was that no one on the roster was a sufficient Plan B for Buxton including Hicks.  They needed to go outside and avoid the mistake they made when they rushed Hicks, instead they doubled down with Buxton.




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