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    Three Potential Moves for the Twins to Lower Payroll to $130 Million


    Cody Christie

    Current projections have the Twins sitting over $140 million in payroll for the 2025 season. How can the team cut enough off the edges to get closer to ownership’s reported payroll limit?

     

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    The Minnesota Twins face a financial conundrum heading into the 2025 season. FanGraphs projects the team's payroll at $142 million, but internal reports suggest the front office needs to bring that figure closer to $130 million. Finding $12 million in savings won’t be easy, especially with fans expecting the team to remain competitive. However, three potential moves could help the Twins hit their target while maintaining roster flexibility.  

    1. Trade Christian Vázquez   
    Savings: $5 million  

    Vázquez remains a solid veteran presence and the pitching staff has raved about his work behind the plate. Minnesota must trust that Ryan Jeffers and Jaír Camargo are ready to step into more prominent roles. However, having this duo share catching duties would be a defensive downgrade that the Twins might not be able to afford. The front office is likely weighing the pros and cons of shaking up their catching corps

    Based on what free-agent catchers are getting this winter, the Twins could trade him while agreeing to pay half his $10 million salary. The free-agent catching market is always thin, and some names have already been signed this winter. Vázquez’s defensive reputation and experience would appeal to teams looking for a dependable backstop. Saving $5 million would give the Twins some breathing room in their payroll while handing more playing time to Jeffers and younger options.  

    Key Considerations: 
    - Losing Vázquez would shift more responsibility to Jeffers, who has been solid but has flaws.
    - Camargo could join the catching rotation, but the team may need another veteran catcher as insurance. 

    2. Trade Chris Paddack   
    Savings: $7.5 million

    Paddack’s return from Tommy John surgery in 2024 saw an inconsistent performance. In 17 starts, he posted a 4.99 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and 8.0 K/9. On paper, the Twins have a surplus of starting pitchers and could use their depth to shed his $7.5 million salary. Young arms like David Festa and Zebby Matthews are projected to start the year in the minors, but they could provide affordable alternatives for the big-league roster.

    Paddack’s one-year deal makes him an attractive trade target for teams needing starting pitching. So far this winter, the pitching market has been “through the roof,” and this will force contending teams to get creative for veteran arms. His salary might be the most significant piece the team can move this winter, so trading Paddack should be a top priority.   

    Key Considerations:
    - Trading Paddack could backfire if injuries hit the rotation.  
    - Festa and Matthews will need to prove they’re ready for consistent big-league innings.  

    3. Trade Willi Castro
    Savings: $6 million

    Castro was a revelation for the Twins in 2024, offering record-breaking versatility and earning his first All-Star selection. However, his projected $6.2 million arbitration figure might be a luxury the team can’t afford. The Twins have internal options like Austin Martin and Edouard Julien , both of whom had disappointing 2024 seasons but possess the talent to rebound.  

    Castro’s ability to play nearly every position makes him a valuable trade chip, especially for teams looking to add utility players. Last season, he hit .266/.352/.422 (.774) with 34 extra-base hits in 96 first-half games. His OPS dropped by nearly 150 points in the second half, which might scare off some potential buyers. Trading him would clear significant payroll space while allowing Martin and Julien the opportunity to reclaim their promise.  

    Key Considerations:
    - Castro’s departure would put pressure on Martin and Julien to step up.  
    - The Twins would need to address potential depth concerns if injuries arise.

    These moves would save $18.7 million, allowing the Twins to drop well below the $130 million threshold with room to make more minor additions or absorb unexpected costs. Trading Vázquez, Paddack, and Castro comes with risks, but the Twins' organizational depth makes these decisions feasible.  Hitting a lower payroll target while remaining competitive is a delicate balancing act, but smart, forward-looking moves like these can keep the team in contention without compromising its financial health.  


    What do you think? Are these moves worth the potential savings, or should the Twins explore other options? Leave a COMMENT and start the discussion.

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    We all know we need to try to trade Paddack and Vasquez. Problem is the twins always wait it out way too long to the point where there is no market left. Multiple teams have already signed catchers, taking them out of the running for a Vasquez trade. If they wait until all the free agent pitchers are signed and more are traded, there will be nobody left that needs or wants Paddack. They need to get up and get something done before it's too late and there are no trade options left.

    1 hour ago, LambchoP said:

    Multiple teams have already signed catchers, taking them out of the running for a Vasquez trade. 

    With Carson Kelly signed they're basically all gone. Any team who still wants a catcher can get Thaiss from the Cubs or call the Twins.

    6 hours ago, Major League Ready said:

    In a word, no.  Potential buyers are going to value the revenue potential while considering industry trends and the perception of risk.  How they view the potential to rebuild local TV revenues and the impact of the revenue gap on small and mid market teams is going to have far more influence on value than one good or bad season.  I would bet that their perception of the Twins farm system and specifically the ability of that farm system to sustain a good product on the field over the next several years will have far more impact than a single season result.

    For sure, I'll buy the Farm system and it's impact on keeping a competitive team out there.  The Twins have always had a decent system, especially for producing position players.  But you brought up the point that in order to hold it's value there has to be some perceived hope to do well.  Otherwise one of the future money makers ticket sales would go down.  So my point is, or I should say I am going to surmise that if the Pohlads spent just a little, maybe we're able to keep the payroll in the 140 million range that at the moment their team might perform better and would hold the value up.  Then the new owners could potentially break it all down and start over, but I'm thinking if I'm the Pohlads and I want top dollar for the Twins, they definitely don't need a Juan Soto and some crazy ass contract.  But getting a decent guy here or there on a 1 or 2 year deals or keeping someone they have right now, maybe a Santana or whatnot might actually help the sale of the team?  I mean you always fix up the house a little before you sell it, right?  But yeah the farm is a great asset for sure, and some crazy Soto type of contract won't help, but if they would just splash a little paint on the team it might help a little.  I'm saying more like keep the status quo until a sale goes through.  🤞




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