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    The Minnesota Twins Pitching Staff Is a Buzzsaw

    If they stay healthy and keep pitching like this, the Twins could win 100 games. Seriously.

    Nick Nelson
    Image courtesy of Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images

    Twins Video

    It's safe to say the Twins have a formula. They've ridden it to a 17-5 record in their last 22 games, and we saw it successfully deployed again in Tampa on Tuesday night. Minnesota's pitching staff is so good, so consistent, that all the Twins offense needs to do is show up and the game is basically won. 

    Joe Ryan, who didn't even look to be at his best in the sweltering Florida heat, casually rattled off six innings of one-run ball, navigating out of trouble on multiple occasions and keeping the ball in the yard. Ryan struck out five and improved to 5-2 with a 2.57 ERA on the season.

     

    Louis Varland came in to handle the seventh, giving up a run that he could afford to with a 3-1 lead. He got the job done, hammering the zone with nine strikes on 11 pitches. Everyday Louie is thriving in a relief role, and his durability has been nothing short of astounding – this was his MLB-leading 27th appearance, putting him on pace for the second-most in franchise history.

    The eighth inning belonged to Griffin Jax, who struck out the side on 14 pitches while inducing five whiffs. Jax has put his slow start firmly in the rear-view mirror; over the past month he's been the best reliever in baseball. Right now he's at the height of his powers and that's an advantage almost no other team in baseball can match.

     

    Completing the game was Jhoan Durán, who converted his ninth save in 10 tries while lowering his ERA to 1.07. Ho-hum. He's pitching as well as he has at any point in his career, riding a reconfigured pitch mix to All-Star type results. 

    The offense was unspectacular on Tuesday night, but was were able to scratch across four runs and that's been the magic ticket: when scoring four-plus, the Twins are now 26-3 this season. Their pitching staff has been so good that Minnesota basically can't lose when scoring at least an average number of runs. The Rays never stood a chance in a game where they had to scratch and claw to get two men across the plate.

    The Twins pitching staff is relentless. Tampa Bay won't get much of a respite in the series finale when they line up against Pablo López and his 2.31 ERA. Rocco Baldelli might have used three of his very best bullpen arms in Tuesday's win, but he can still call upon a fresh Cole Sands or Brock Stewart, and Danny Coulombe will hopefully be back soon with his pristine 0.00 ERA. 

    Minnesota pitchers lead the American League in fWAR and nobody else is close; entering play on Tuesday, the Twins were at 9.3 – just slightly behind the Phillies (9.4) for the major-league lead. The Astros and Royals were tied for second in the AL at 7.7 apiece. This prestigious ranking is reflective of a group that boasts frontline prowess and impressive depth. Letting Jorge Alcalá work through it in a low-leverage bullpen is a luxury. Many contenders would kill to have a guy like Simeon Woods Richardson – currently standing by at Triple-A – in their big-league rotation. Or a David Festa. Or a Zebby Matthews blocking them both (for the moment).

    Of course, we all know nothing in baseball is ever guaranteed — injuries are inevitably part of the grind, and fortunes can flip quickly. But at this moment, the Twins are making an emphatic case as the best pitching team in the American League. From the top of the rotation to the back end of the bullpen, they’re carving through opponents with ruthless efficiency. When the bats contribute even modestly, this team is nearly impossible to beat.

    Speaking of which, Matt Wallner and Byron Buxton are both in line to return to the lineup any day now.

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    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    The 22-year-old went 2-for-5 on Friday night, his fourth straight multi-hit game. Heading into the week, he was hitting .246/.328/.404 (.732). Four games later, he is hitting .303/.361/.447 (.808).

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    20 hours ago, bean5302 said:

    The pitching staff has has basically been universally at their career bests when the lineup was a catastrophe. A bunch of career years lining up can happen (see 1987, 1991) over a full season, but I feel pretty confident the batters are going to need to figure it out and score more runs steadily for the Twins to make the playoffs, let alone win 100 games. I find the second option there to be pretty far-fetched right now.

    You never know.  Calling the 1987 Twins a team where a bunch of career years lined up isn't really accurate.  Hrbek was awesome.  Bruno and Kirby were very good.  But the rest of the offense was pretty blah.  On the pitching side Viola had one of his best years, Blyleven was OK, and after that, the best starter was Les Straker -- Randy Dobnak anyone?

    The team was good, but mostly they put it together in time to get hot for the playoffs (and had less rounds to go through).  This year's pitching staff is miles ahead of that one.  If the bats can find reasonable consistency, they could be good. One hundred wins good? Not sure, but hardly impossible. 

    16 hours ago, Fire Dan Gladden said:

     

    Other than Santana and Liriano (who were basically automatic wins, SP3-5 were not good in 2006. The total SP WAR for the season for that group was 11th in MLB. The BP in 2006 was light years ahead of the rest of MLB, that is what kept them in things.

    Their hitting was average, but they had the league MVP (Morneau), 6th in MVP voting (Mauer) and peak Cuddyer and Hunter. They were almost guaranteed to score runs through the heart of the order. The 2006 lineup was about 10 spots higher in MLBN runs scored than this team.

    The last 25 or so games for this team have been buoyed by great pitching, but also Kody Clemens and his 1.137 OPS, Harrison Bader's 122 OPS+, a resurgent Jeffers, Buxton playing almost every day, and an effective Paddack. If you believe all of those things will continue (along with Wallner coming back hitting like pre-injury, and Lewis doing something) then sure, 71 wins is possible.

    Radke was lights out in the 2nd half. Pitched to a 2.84 ERA in his last 10 games. Bonser was very good in the 2nd half after he was recalled as well, but not as good as Liriano who Bonser was tasked with replacing in the rotation. That 2006 team was absolutely loaded. If Liriano doesn't go down, the Twins had a good shot at winning the World Series.

    3 hours ago, Rod Carews Birthday said:

    You never know.  Calling the 1987 Twins a team where a bunch of career years lined up isn't really accurate.  Hrbek was awesome.  Bruno and Kirby were very good.  But the rest of the offense was pretty blah.  On the pitching side Viola had one of his best years, Blyleven was OK, and after that, the best starter was Les Straker -- Randy Dobnak anyone?

    The team was good, but mostly they put it together in time to get hot for the playoffs (and had less rounds to go through).  This year's pitching staff is miles ahead of that one.  If the bats can find reasonable consistency, they could be good. One hundred wins good? Not sure, but hardly impossible. 

    Hrbek, Gagne, Brunansky, Puckett, Viola, Berenguer all had the best or close to the best years of their careers. I think you're way overestimating the talent level of this rotation based on recency bias.

    9 minutes ago, bean5302 said:

    Hrbek, Gagne, Brunansky, Puckett, Viola, Berenguer all had the best or close to the best years of their careers. I think you're way overestimating the talent level of this rotation based on recency bias.

    The 1987 offense was better.  The pitching wasn't close.  OPS+ of 99 in 1987.  Current OPS+ of 126 in 2025.  The 1991 offense was excellent and their pitching, while better, still wasn't in the same class as the current pitching staff.

    The 1987 team wasn't a juggernaut.  I still remember everyone thinking that they were going to fade away at some point, but they didn't.  Tom Kelly definitely had all of his smoke and mirrors working in 1987.  Don't misunderstand, I always have been and remain a huge Twins fan, but I think you are waxing nostalgic about that team and Tom Kelly's zebra striped Zubas (and who doesn't!).

     

    46 minutes ago, Rod Carews Birthday said:

    ...The 1987 team wasn't a juggernaut...

     

    That's an understatement. They're considered one of the weakest teams to have ever won a World Series. I'm not saying the 1987 Twins team was great, just that a bunch of good luck and unexpectedly great seasons all together can result in a championship. Just not something anybody should expect.

    Now the 1991 team was great. It also relied on a bunch of career years together. Tapani, Erickson, Morris, Aguilera, Mack, Knoblauch, etc etc etc.




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