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    MIN 7, CHW 0: Twins, Fans Flex Their Muscles in Weekend Sweep


    Tom Froemming

    This was always a baseball state, it’s just that we much prefer baseball that’s, ya know, good.

    Twins Territory turned out to see a some more good baseball Sunday afternoon, as Jake Odorizzi was outstanding and both Eddie Rosario and Max Kepler hit three-run bombas. Over 108,000 fans passed through the gates at Target Field this weekend to watch the Twins sweep the White Sox.

    Image courtesy of © Bruce Kluckhohn-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    Box Score

    Odorizzi: 5.1 IP, 1 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 9 K, 62.4% strikes (58 of 93 pitches)

    Home Runs: Rosario (16), Kepler (12)

    Multi-Hit Games: Kepler (2-for-4, 2B, HR)

    WPA of +0.1: Odorizzi .249, Rosario .190

    WPA of -0.1: None

    Win526.png

    (chart via FanGraphs)

    The Twins drew more than 3.2 million people in their first season at Target Field. Attendance increased by more than 800,000 overall, or roughly 10,000 per game, over the prior year. The prospect of being able to spend time watching a good Major League Baseball team outdoors once again really lit a fire under this fanbase.

    We all know what happened after that. I think it’s fair to say Twins Territory is filled with a great number of frontrunners, and that portion of the fans has been pretty dormant. And that’s OK, there are a lot of other great summer activities to compete with baseball. But it’s clear now they've been waiting, sometimes impatiently, ready to embrace the next good Twins team.

    There’s still definitely some cautious optimism in the air, not everyone is quite ready to get completely swept off their feet, but with each victory you can feel it. People are letting their guard down. They’re starting to believe. The team is the talk of the town, fans are showing up and Twins merch is being brought out from the back of closets.

    The Twins got off to a slow start this afternoon. Well, I mean by their standards. They were held off the board for the entire first two innings of this game. They didn’t even have a hit!

    Byron Buxton got things going with a single, then stole second and advanced to third on a throwing error on the play. Max Kepler drove him home on a double, Jorge Polanco walked and Eddie Rosario blasted a three-run home run. That’s more like it, guys.

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1132726880581312512

    Another thing about Minnesota sports fans is once we’re invested, once the expectations are high, we’ll completely overreact to even the tiniest slip.

    This past Friday, Randball’s Stu brilliantly highlighted that panic reflex in a hilarious piece titled Twins Fan Ready to Overreact to 3-Game Losing Streak. I got a good laugh at that article this week, but you’d better believe I’m gonna turn right into his fictional character Karl Paulson the minute they do lose three straight.

    This is so much fun.

    There might not be a better player who represents the shift in the Twins fandom experience from constant anxiety and fear for the worst to pure, unbridled joy than Jake Odorizzi. Even when he’d be pitching well last year, you just knew the wheels were going to fall off. This year, he’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball.

    Odorizzi gave up just one hit and struck out nine batters over 5 1/3 scoreless innings. His ERA dropped to 2.16. The length of his starts will give your friend Jack from St. Paul something to continue griping about, but Odorizzi has been brilliant so far this season.

    But what about the bullpen? DUN DUN DUUUUN! (Sorry, still no dramatic sound effects available for the game recaps, that was the best I could do. Use your imagination.)

    There’s nothing that creates more cause for concern with Twins fans than the bullpen. Naturally, that’s pretty much all anybody wants to talk about these days. Well, so far so good, and Sunday was another good performance from that unit.

    Max Kepler hit a three-run homer in the seventh inning to provide plenty of breathing room. That certainly helped, but four relievers combined to hold the White Sox scoreless over the final 3 2/3 innings. Tyler Duffey struck out six batters over the final two innings.

    Yes, that Tyler Duffey.

    That’s how you know everything is coming up TC these days. Again, this is so much fun.

    Postgame With Rosario

    https://twitter.com/fsnorth/status/1132758007845015552

    Bullpen Usage

    Here’s a quick look at the number of pitches thrown by the bullpen over the past five days:

    Pen526.png

    Next Game

    Mon vs. MIL, 6:10 pm (Pineda-Gonzalez)

    Last Game

    MIN 8, CHW 1: Gibby Sizzles Over 7 Solid Innings

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    Featured Comments

     

    F Baldelli for pulling Odorizzi at 5.1 ... I would have won 13-1, instead of 12-1 in fantasy this week!!!

     

    Just kidding,  I'm sure he wants to keep him fresh to go down and dominate his old mates.

     

     

    I was wondering what was up with Odorizzi getting pulled in the middle of an inning with no one on base. He was at 90-some pitches but having just gotten the first out by strikeout could he have been given a little leash to try to get through the sixth? Or was there some sign that he was tiring out?

    I was wondering what was up with Odorizzi getting pulled in the middle of an inning with no one on base. He was at 90-some pitches but having just gotten the first out by strikeout could he have been given a little leash to try to get through the sixth? Or was there some sign that he was tiring out?

    I think someone said that Odo sounded terrible after the game, whatever that meant. Perhaps he had the flu bug and gave the team all he had.

    This next week will be a huge test for Twins and where they are really sitting, and if they will be running away with division or not.  Two against brew crew, an above .500 team, four against Rays, the team we are trying to emulate and another playoff contending team, and finally three against closest competitor for division.  Seven on the road too.  If we have a winning record on that stretch, in particular winning the series against Cleveland, we can make Cleveland strongly think about selling.

     

    I still think we will win division with way we are playing and way Cleveland is playing, but if we can get such a big lead that all four in the division sell off and let us get a ton of easy wins to get home field in playoffs would be nice.  I do feel at least one more big time bullpen arm is needed, and would love mad bum for playoffs, being he has proven he knows how to win in playoffs. 

     

    So far this year we have handled our own against top teams so not like we just picking on weak teams, but this next week will be against possible playoff teams, lets show up and keep on keeping on.   

     

    I was wondering what was up with Odorizzi getting pulled in the middle of an inning with no one on base. He was at 90-some pitches but having just gotten the first out by strikeout could he have been given a little leash to try to get through the sixth? Or was there some sign that he was tiring out?

    In today's paper they talked about Odorizzi having been sick for a few days before yesterday's start.  Although he was getting over it, wasn't 100%.  Kepler also was dealing with the same bug which is why he was kept out of an earlier game...not the banged up knee we all knew about. 

     

    One can sincerely celebrate the wins in a starting pitcher's record, without at the same time believing it makes as good a forecasting tool as a lot of other stats at our disposal. Scherzer has already been mentioned - 6 really good starts, 4 league-average starts, 1 stinker - 2-5 W/L record.

    It shows me that he pitched well enough for his team to get a decision - better if it was 5 - 2, but the starter's job is to be there long enough to be a major factor in the final score.

    It shows me that he pitched well enough for his team to get a decision - better if it was 5 - 2, but the starter's job is to be there long enough to be a major factor in the final score.

    The starter can't get credit for a win unless he goes 5 full innings, but he can get tagged with the loss for any small number of innings. The '5' part of 2-5 doesn't tell you much - Trevor Cahill is also 2-5 at this writing and has had nothing like the season Max has had.

     

    In context, I am not sure these numbers mean much. The KC metro is a million-plus less population than the Minneapolis metro, so we probably can't consider them on the same scale. Also, the 2011-2015 Twins attendance was almost certainly buoyed by the new ballpark, and the fact the team was consistently good for 10 years prior to that period (As opposed to the Royals, whose 1994-2012 era of suckiness is unmatched in Twins history.)

    Examples of different contexts: with a new ballpark and good teams, the 1973-1989 Royals were consistently great in attendance. Meanwhile, the Twins twice dropped out of the top 10 in AL attendance just 3 years after winning World Series titles in the Dome around that same era.

     

    I'll buy some of this, but not all of it.  I mean, Kaufmann just underwent a $250 million dollar renovation in 2009 that was impressive enough that MLB gave them the 2012 All-Star game, so the K is not a dump and it basically never was a dump like the Dome was essentially immediately upon it being built.  Rather, Kaufmann has basically always been a top 10 park.  Which is why it is meaningful to me how quickly their attendance dropped off after their recent peak.  This is particularly true when comparing them to, say, the Kansas City Chiefs, who have always had great attendance and great home-field advantage, even during poor stretches (for example, that 1-million person smaller metro area set the record for loudest crowd ever in a game 4 years ago in any stadium, even though their stadium is an open-air stadium, and even though they were in the middle of a 40-72 stretch over the preceeding 7 seasons... it's just not much of a baseball city, it is a football city).

     

    That said, I agree that I don't like calling out non-yankee fans, and feel a bit sheepish that I did so in retrospect.  I mainly did so because I was so shocked that the twins were being called bandwagon fans, as they have regularly been some of the more persistent in town and across the nation (I always notice a disproportionate amount of twins hats when I travel nationally, given that we are only the 14th biggest metro area in the US).

     

    I'll buy some of this, but not all of it.  I mean, Kaufmann just underwent a $250 million dollar renovation in 2009 that was impressive enough that MLB gave them the 2012 All-Star game, so the K is not a dump and it basically never was a dump like the Dome was essentially immediately upon it being built.  Rather, Kaufmann has basically always been a top 10 park.  Which is why it is meaningful to me how quickly their attendance dropped off after their recent peak.  This is particularly true when comparing them to, say, the Kansas City Chiefs, who have always had great attendance and great home-field advantage, even during poor stretches (for example, that 1-million person smaller metro area set the record for loudest crowd ever in a game 4 years ago in any stadium, even though their stadium is an open-air stadium, and even though they were in the middle of a 40-72 stretch over the preceeding 7 seasons... it's just not much of a baseball city, it is a football city).

     

    The primary factor is going to be population. Although I'll add that a fully new park has a different effect than a renovated one, even a well-regarded renovated one.

     

    And of course, it's a lot easier to fill a football stadium 8 times a year than a baseball stadium 81 times a year! The last place 2019 Royals are on track to out-draw the first place 2018 Chiefs in the next month. :) But I am sure there are plenty of other ways to measure the popularity of football over baseball in KC.




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