Jump to content
Twins Daily
  • Create Account
  • Twins News & Analysis

    José Berríos Losing Arbitration Case Provides Reason for Concern Over Long-Term Future with Twins


    Matthew Taylor

    Earlier today, Jon Heyman reported that Jose Berríos lost his arbitration case and will be paid $4.025M in 2020 as opposed to the $4.4M that he was seeking. Should Twins fans be worried about this impacting Berríos’s long-term future with the Twins?

    Image courtesy of © Brad Rempel-USA TODAY Sports

    Twins Video

    To recap how arbitration works, when an MLB player has more than three years of service time he becomes arbitration eligible. Each offseason, arbitration eligible players and their teams will each submit a salary that they feel the player warrants. This offseason, Berríos submitted a salary of $4.4M and the Twins submitted a salary of $4.025M. The two sides were unable to come to a mutual agreement, so they submitted their cases in front of a panel of arbitrators who ruled in favor of the Minnesota Twins.

    After hearing about the Twins going to arbitration with Berríos over $375,000, it’s easy to be worried about Minnesota's long-term relationship with their ace. Especially with all of the other factors that have come into play over the past year.

    If you’ll remember, last season the Twins traded middle reliever, Mike Morin, to the Philadelphia Phillies. While this was seemingly a very small transaction involving a marginal middle reliever, Berríos was clearly upset, sending a (later deleted) tweet about how the Twins only care about money.

    Next, the Minnesota Twins made an agreement with the Los Angeles Dodgers to trade away Brusdar Graterol for Dodgers’ starting pitcher, Kenta Maeda. While Berríos hasn’t spoken publicly or indicated in any way that he was frustrated with the trade, it’s fair to speculate that he may be frustrated with the organization trading away someone he was close with. In a Star Tribune piece by Chris Hine, Berríos relishes being a mentor to Graterol saying, “It’s amazing, meeting people like him, now I have the opportunity to bring him my experience, my day-by-day. He’s in the same clubhouse now and we’re teammates. I’ve always heard about him. He’s got really good stuff, but I never had the chance to see him pitch. It’s amazing the things he’s doing out there.”

    While neither of these events seems like a big deal in isolation, when combined with taking Berríos to arbitration over just $375,000 there is valid reason to be concerned. In the arbitration process, teams will tear down the performance of their players in order to convince arbitrators that they should rule in the team’s favor. This can be an awkward process and certainly leave players disenchanted.

    While there have certainly been cases of players who went to arbitration and went on to sign long-term deals with teams, in Berríos’s case there are reasons to believe that things could be souring and should be some concern over his long-term future with the Minnesota Twins.

    What do you think about Berríos’s long-term future with the Minnesota Twins? Do you think the events over the past year, culminating with his arbitration case, have put his future with the Twins into doubt? Leave a comment below and start the conversation!

    MORE FROM TWINS DAILY

    — Latest Twins coverage from our writers

    — Recent Twins discussion in our forums

    — Follow Twins Daily via Twitter, Facebook or email

    Follow Twins Daily For Minnesota Twins News & Analysis

    Recent Twins Articles

    Recent Twins Videos

    Twins Top Prospects

    Marek Houston

    Cedar Rapids Kernels - A+, SS
    Friday night, Marek Houston's first homer came in a 6-run 7th inning. His second home run gave his team an 8-2 lead an inning later. He's 3-for-5, 2 HR (5) and a stolen base, his 15th.

    User Feedback

    Recommended Comments



    Featured Comments

    According to the Athletics, Berrios' number was an attempt to reset the arb numbers for players in his comp range. Which is fine, but I don't see how any of this means that his future is jeopardized. that's pretty clickbait, unless you have a quote from him or his agent saying that he's getting screwed over by this franchise. There's way too many assumptions built in here to presume that any long-term future with the team is problematic because of going to arbitration and losing.

     

    The bigger concern is he's not showing any interest in a long-term contract extension right now. If he hits the FA market going into his age 29 season, he's going to be in line for a massive payday if he stays healthy (even if he doesn't get any better). And if he's betting on himself to that extent, it's a risk for the Twins just because if there are 6-10 teams bidding on a player you never know what will decide it and it might be totally out of your control. But he has every right to go that way.

     

    I think the twins will try to buy out both his next 2 arbitration years and get 1 year of FA. we'll see if they can make that happen.

     

    According to the Athletics, Berrios' number was an attempt to reset the arb numbers for players in his comp range. Which is fine, but I don't see how any of this means that his future is jeopardized.

    Yep, exactly. Per MLBTradeRumors:

     

     

    Berrios’ relatively affordable salary for the upcoming season only serves to underscore the difficulty that first-time-arbitration-eligible starters have had in moving the needle forward. Dallas Keuchel is still the only first-time-eligible starting pitcher to topple the $4.35MM benchmark set by Dontrelle Willis way back in 2006, and it took Keuchel winning a Cy Young Award to do so.

     

    Berrios would be setting the new record by a little bit, so I can see why they declined. Berrios' camp likely wasn't open to settling in the middle, since it would mean he would not set the new benchmark.

     

    I'm not all that concerned that a Berrios extension does not appear to be in the cards. We have him for 3 more years, and I'm not all that worried if we lose him for the 2023 season. I don't care about the team that far in the future at this point.

    You needed this situation to happen in order to be concerned? Not the last 2 off seasons where he’s declined extensions?

     

    Honestly, quoted you without remembering who you were speaking to directly, so forgive.

     

    Berrios declined an extension last year. OK.

     

    As of now he has not declined an extension this year. Maybe he will. "Reports" say talks are amicable and the arbitration process was not contentious. Reports also say talks are ongoing, while apart, which is why I'm not going nuts over this hearing.

     

    Maybe, maybe Berrios will follow the Bauer concept of betting on yourself yearly. Personally, I find that ridiculous in regard to guaranteed contracts, but whatever. Maybe, maybe Berrios is banking on being productive and healthy long enough to escape the whole arbitration and year to year process because he wants to escape Minnesota for a big market city. I also find that ridiculous because if I were his agent I'd be looking for at least a little security in case of injury, if nothing else.

     

    He is young, and part of a winning team, who has a wide open window. He's seen a few teammates lock up deals. He's seen the team be aggressive with recent contracts and additions to make the best team they can. They just made a major trade following a franchise record FA signing.

     

    Personally, I think he's smart enough to bet on himself and his future, while not being short-sighted enough to bet on "what if" tomorrow and is holding out for more but willing to sign. What that magic number is I don't know. Are we talking something like 5yrs and $1M per apart or $5M? None of us knows. But if talks are truly ongoing and cordial, then something will get done. And $3K+ will mean nothing.

     

    I feel this FO is smart enough to know what they have that they will be realistic but not be "cheap".




    Create an account or sign in to comment

    You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

    Create an account

    Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

    Register a new account

    Sign in

    Already have an account? Sign in here.

    Sign In Now

×
×
  • Create New...