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    Departures Don’t Change Twins Future


    Ted Schwerzler

    The 2018 Major League Baseball trade deadline has come and gone, with the Minnesota Twins jettisoning 20% of their active roster. Beloved figureheads Brian Dozier and Eduardo Escobar are both gone, while one-year fill ins Zach Duke and Lance Lynn followed. Of the moves made, only Ryan Pressly’s time with the organization was truly cut short. Having now moved on from the names above, it’s worth exploring why exactly nothing has changed regarding the outlook for the years ahead.

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    There’s been plenty of hand-wringing over the decisions made by the front office over the past week. The reality is that each one of them were both the right and correct move. Flipping veterans set to become free agents for tangible assets usable down the line is a logical concept. Maximizing the peak value of a relief pitcher, one of the most unstable roles on a team, is also a good bet. There’s no denying that the Twins shed a lot of talent at the end of July, but the reality is that in September that same talent would have left and there’d be nothing to show for it.

    Getting past the heartache of Dozier's and Escobar’s smiles being gone from the clubhouse, we can look toward the future. That’s where things come back into focus, and the reality is that for 2019 and beyond, the blueprint remains unchanged for the organization.

    Coming into 2018, the Twins were fresh off a postseason berth and had added plenty of talent through free agency. Supplementing a developed core of players, the front office positioned the active roster for a season of competitiveness within a weak AL Central division. Looking ahead to 2019, that same formula remains.

    The core for Minnesota will continue to revolve around players like Miguel Sano and Byron Buxton. The breakout of Eddie Rosario has been much welcomed, and the emergence of Jose Berrios continues. Getting more from Max Kepler is a must and picking up steam from a couple of additional guys like Jorge Polanco or Mitch Garver would be a nice boost. This collection of talent that has largely risen through the system together, will continue to be the backbone of any progress going forward.

    You can’t recap the 2018 season without noting the frustrations circling around that established core however. Both Buxton and Sano experiencing lost seasons is a significant setback. Kepler failing to really break out is unfortunate, and Polanco missing half of the season due to poor choice is suboptimal. For all their faults and failures however, it’s because of those guys that supplementing and signing free agents even made sense in the first place.

    Going into 2019, the same opportunity will be afforded Minnesota’s front office once again. There’s less than $70 million of committed money in the upcoming year, and the organization should be expected to nearly double that amount when the payroll hits it's ceiling. Whether going all in on a premiere name, or spreading the wealth around a bit, reinforcements should help to bolster what will once again be a talented group on paper.

    Outside of the organization, the same positive factors will also be in favor of the Twins. While the Indians window of competitiveness should remain open, the rest of the AL Central will continue to be bottom feeders in the foreseeable future. Although the White Sox system is loaded, the talent is not yet ready to emerge. The Tigers remain in the middle of a rebuild, and the Royals have yet to start a very necessary overhaul. For a Twins team that should be well positioned to feast on poor competition, they’ll have plenty of opportunities presented to them over the course of their schedule.

    At the end of the day, it all comes down to the talent Minnesota has been banking on for years. Sano and Buxton are two of the highest rates prospects to ever come through the system and doing so at the same time should make them cornerstone pieces on a team that provides years of relevance. It’s probably beginning to get late a little early, but they are also just 25 and 24 years-old respectively. We aren’t at all past the point of no return, but there’s no denying that it will be a direct result of their efforts if this team takes the next step forward.

    As Minnesota’s core has arrived together at the big-league level, it’s become time that spending finally makes sense. The front office, and ownership showed a commitment to that belief this offseason. They’ll get an opportunity to hit the reset button prior to 2019, and the trajectory of this team doesn’t need to change at all. From a year in which things fell flat, there’s a very real opportunity to make noise in the immediate future.


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    Featured Comments

     

    Well, he can't play both positions! And Sano is your 3B to start next year, unless he moves to 1B full time...., 

     

    The team is missing a MIF, a 1B, a DH. It really needs a backup 3B/1B/DH. If Castro is healthy, they won't bring in a C.

     

    The solution I would like to see is resigning Escobar and Sano weighing in for spring training at 235 lbs. I would be fine rolling with that infield. That still leaves a hole at 1B but that one should be easier to fill than the others. We even have a couple prospects that might be ready by then.

     

    Wow, more posts suggesting Gordon get the call and questioning Forsythe blocking him. He has about three weeks to figure out AAA, or he won't even be a top 100 prospect next year. By that time, he should have well over 300 PAs with the Red Wings. If that ends with this sub-50 wRC+ non-sense, there is no way he should be looked at in September. He'll need to be added to the 40, so that will probably get him an ST invite. I wouldn't say he "deserves" that though.

    I'm glad you can read MILB posts as well. Unfortunately the Twins don't have another internal option besides Gordon, it should be his chance that arrives next at the middle infield position. I've seen players called up to the majors for a trial run on worse stats than what Nick has produced at AAA. Obviously he hasn't been the prospect we all would've hoped for this second half of the year but he's surely a better option than a washed up Logan Forsythe. One word that should help clear up this argument for those of you blindly thinking Forsythe deserves a Twins roster spot - potential. I get we aren't going to cut him given how much he is owed but man, that would be nice.

    The truth is that they competed last year and not this year. On paper, they were improved, but they play on grass, not on paper. Berrios and Gibson performed as expected. Escobar and Rosario did their part. Who else? I have to wonder if Polanco and Santana would have made a difference the first half. 

    You people certainly are optimistic, not in the least considering how many times in recent years this club has folded or never gotten off the ground in the first place. Overvaluing what the Twins have, as someone has mentioned, has no doubt been contributive. If that is a fault of you who are 'fans' as well as amateur analysts, the sports writers for the (Red) Star-Tribune (& Crescent) and all the TV talkers must share equally in the blame.

    I have no confidence that Buxton or Sano will ever fulfill the hype. I wouldn't even call it potential anymore, simply hype.

    I have a question: How many here consider themselves part of the "metrics" group and how many are plain old fans?

     

    Mike Sixel:

    Are you a fan or a metrics guy? How about the folks in the business who create the prospect ratings?

     

    the people in the prospect business were fans, largely, that started working in baseball (either in a clubhouse or online) and are still fans of the game, but not of teams as much as they used to be. That's from meeting some, chatting with some, and reading them. I'm not sure how that is relevant.....

     

    If I wasn't a fan, I wouldn't be here all the time, but most here would say I'm too into the metrics to be a "real" fan. Not sure what that means to you.

    If not already obvious, it means I am your proverbial dinosaur. There's little about the game I like anymore, and not the least of it is the strikeouts and home runs. The home runs are a joke; reminds me of the steroid era. 

    Thanks for your polite reply; I appreciate it.

     

    If not already obvious, it means I am your proverbial dinosaur. There's little about the game I like anymore, and not the least of it is the strikeouts and home runs. The home runs are a joke; reminds me of the steroid era. 

    Thanks for your polite reply; I appreciate it.

     

    I'm less of a fan of the current game than some past game I can only barely recall at this point. I too would like to see more balls in play, that's when stuff happens. BTW, welcome to the site!

    I'm glad you can read MILB posts as well. Unfortunately the Twins don't have another internal option besides Gordon, it should be his chance that arrives next at the middle infield position. I've seen players called up to the majors for a trial run on worse stats than what Nick has produced at AAA. Obviously he hasn't been the prospect we all would've hoped for this second half of the year but he's surely a better option than a washed up Logan Forsythe. One word that should help clear up this argument for those of you blindly thinking Forsythe deserves a Twins roster spot - potential. I get we aren't going to cut him given how much he is owed but man, that would be nice.

    Nobody said anything about keeping Forsythe. There was one comment saying if he got back to previous form he might be a placeholder. I'm not interested in that but Gordon has faded badly the last three years. He needs to figure that out. The FO can't win. They're too slow calling guys up, but maybe they rushed Buxton.




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