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    All Eyes on Fort Myers


    Nick Nelson

    In February and March, Fort Myers isn't just the center of the Twins baseball universe. It IS the Twins baseball universe.

    Pitchers and catchers report, followed shortly by the rest of the roster. Coaches and front office personnel, from every corner of the organization, gradually assemble. Minor-leaguers eventually show up – all of them.

    Every media member who covers the team in any capacity is on hand for at least a while. Even a bunch of bloggers from Twins Daily are regularly seen awkwardly stumbling about the bowels of Hammond Stadium.

    Spring training is almost overwhelming in its scale. For about six weeks, Lee County Sports Complex IS the Twins, making the franchise's supposed hometown of Minneapolis feel further even than its considerable geographic distance.

    But by the time Opening Day arrives, it all changes. Players, coaches, and execs pack up and ship out. The complex goes from hosting a half-dozen teams to one – the Single-A Fort Myers Miracle, along with a smattering of young kids and extended spring assignees.

    Usually, focus shifts to Minnesota for the balance of the year. But this ain't your usual season. And as the All Star break concludes, Twins fans are finding far more reason to stay rigidly tuned into the happenings in Fort Myers than to closely follow the big-league club.

    Image courtesy of Rick Osentoski, USA Today

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    By wrapping up the first half with a 9-2 home stand, Minnesota undid the damage of a disastrous 1-8 road trip, but this only returned them to their lackluster watermark: six games below .500 and trailing Cleveland by more than a touchdown in the standings.

    While this recent run has done enough to give the front office pause about unloading everything at the deadline, hope remains a tough sell in the Twin Cities.

    Less so in Southwest Florida. The Miracle roster currently boasts the top three Twins prospects: teenage phenom Royce Lewis, jaw-dropping hitter Alex Kirilloff, and flamethrowing righty Brusdar Graterol.

    In the newly updated Baseball America Top 100 rankings, those three rank 10th, 37th, and 61st respectively.

    It's worth scrolling straight to the "Miracle Matters" section of our minor-league reports each day just to see how this trio performed, and they rarely seem to disappoint. On Wednesday night Kirilloff notched four hits, lifting his average to .323. He has 75 RBIs in 89 games this year between two levels. Lewis, the second-youngest hitter to take an at-bat in the Florida State League, is batting .400 through five games there.

    And while Graterol hasn't fared well in his first three starts with the Miracle, he is one of only three teenage pitchers in the FSL. His ability is obvious to anyone in range. Baseball America exclaims that he "has the highest ceiling of any Twins pitching prospect, projecting rotation-topping potential."

    These three players equip Minnesota with a more promising future pipeline than almost any other team can tout, but that "future" part is the sticking point. Twins fans have been looking ahead for eight years. Lewis, Kirilloff and Graterol are all extremely young by Single-A standards, which says a lot about realistic MLB timelines.

    All of which brings us to this point: the most important player in Fort Myers, at present, is not either of those three. It's the 25-year-old Miguel Sano – almost exactly one year removed from an All-Star appearance – who commands our attention most.

    If the Twins are going to pull off a highly improbable return to contention in the final stretch of the season, it stands to reason they're going to need Sano, back in star form and powering their lineup. But even beyond that, we all need this.

    Before fans at large will buy into this next wave of shiny prospects, and the hope they represent, they're gonna need to see what a finished product looks like, rather than another what-if story. Sano ranked as a top 15 prospect in the game three straight years (per BA) before graduating in 2015. He was the epitome of a franchise cornerstone before veering toward the path of a cautionary tale.

    The good news is he's still young, and under team control for several years. The book is not closed on Sano and the Twins by any means. But it is anyone's guess where the story goes from here. We're all watching it play out, from afar, as he taxis on the Single-A runway and watches the organization's top prospects take off.

    Hopefully, soon, Sano will give us one less reason to pay careful attention to Fort Myers, FL. He's hitting .328/.442/.453 in 19 games, albeit against vastly inferior competition. If Sano doesn't get bumped up soon, with a quick adaptation to the next level, then Twins fans might need to reset expectations in line with the ETAs of those emerging top prospects.

    I can't blame you if it's a struggle. Fort Myers is so far away, in every sense.

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    It didn't appear that it was handed to them. Both had minor league track records that were superior to Rosario, and Sano had a Sep call-up that gave him the inside track the following year.

     

    I'm not sure what happened, but putting high expectations on them fairly early seemed rational to me.

    It may depend how you look at it.  I agree they performed well, and at every level. Yet maybe it came too easy and they didn't develop the skills and/or behaviors needed to succeed at the highest level.  Another point to consider, how many centerfielders did we trade as Buxton worked his way through the minors.  Some people might consider that a strong signal that he is our future, well before he has proved it.  

    An interesting read in the trib this morning.  Joe Christensen's paragraph on Sano insinuates that projections of his future fortunes got to Sano.  A good read. 

     

    http://www.startribune.com/false-starts-to-careers-of-miguel-sano-byron-buxton-leave-twins-with-hope-concerns/488682521/

    Kirilloff was regarded as possibly the best HS bat in the draft when selected. IIRC, there were even comments made the Twins may have stolen him where selected. He obviously has things to continue to work on, but what he has done, at his age, at 2 levels this season, is very, very impressive. Now factor his production after missing all of 2017!

    This far, Lewis has proven to be an outstanding selection. He truly looks like a 5 tool talent. From what I have read, a few video clips, and one ST game this year, he absolutely has the athleticism, range and arm for SS. I'm not worried about error totals for such a young infield prospect. He's still learning the position and all the nuances involved, and didn't even play SS full time until his senior year. (I still want to know who the hell was playing SS for his team previously)!

    Yes, he's still developing and very young. But it seems the only thing holding Graterol back is experience/IP.

    It is not out of the question that all of Kiriloff, Lewis and Graterol could/should be in AA next season. If not to start, then by mid season.

    My impression has been that Kiriloff is more advanced than Lewis or Graterol. I would be surprised to see those two begin next year in AA unless they really blow up the rest of the season. Kiriloff was promoted a little earlier than them and isn't a short stop so I would not be surprised to see him begin next year in AA. Less positional pressure to perform and more about that incredible bat.

     

    Don't get me wrong, I much appreciate the topic being brought up, it's just that the article is highly incomplete as it invites more questions than it tells us in "what is happening in Ft Myers." Certainly, phone inquiries can be made to the local radio broadcaster, fans in the know, "inside sources", etc., to give the article more granularity.

    If this was my day job and I had the time/energy chase down all that info, yes I agree it would've been nice to include it all.

    In reality, this article was simply a talker, written late-night before I headed out of town because I thought it was interesting to see the organization's fast-rising top prospects (briefly) stationed alongside the stalled-out superstar – almost exactly one year after Sano appeared in the All-Star Game.

     

    In pieces like this, my hope is that the commenters will add in perspective to round out the topic, and from my view they've done so here. Thanks to all who have contributed links and insight.




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