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rdehring

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Everything posted by rdehring

  1. rdehring
    I too have always felt that Mauer hit into too many double plays. But for whatever reason, it seemed to be less this year. So I looked it up. He actually grounded into 17 double plays this year. That's about one every ten days...which really isn't a lot at all.
  2. rdehring
    I knew Gonsalves was going to be added to the 40-man, but was really excited to see that Thorpe was also. I expect he is a Top 5 prospect, but understand that he needs to pitch next year before you, or anyone else, can put him there. Personally, I believe he has the highest ceiling of anyone in the organization right now...well maybe second to that other Lewis. My question, Seth, is why you have Garver this low. His floor is that of a major league backup catcher, which he likely will be in 2018. His ceiling is a starting catcher, likely beginning in 2020. He is expected to hit better than your average catcher and you say he has a cannon for an arm. All reports have him improving a lot defensively, so we could expect that he should continue to get better and eventually be average or even above average behind the plate. Sounds a lot to me like someone who should be 5-10 spots higher than he is.
  3. rdehring
    That's an interesting thought, Seth. Will there be someone available at pick #20 something in the Rule 5 who thy like better than Reed, Stewart or Diaz? I don't know what's out there, however, based on history one wouldn't expect that.. On the other hand, could they work a deal and trade a prospect to someone for the #1 or #2 Rule 5 pick...someone they really like?
  4. rdehring
    We can now see that there is a new sherriff in town. And its going to be interesting...I like it! Unlike the past, they cleared 40-man roster space early and didn't refill it with prospects. Rather, they kept four spots for four players they expect to add over the next month(s). We can all speculate who they will add, but not even the Twins Execs know who they will be able to sign...although I expect they have a good idea on a couple. Expect all four spots will go to pitchers, although one could be a bat or catcher. This method of managing the 40-man also tells me that they like the guys they kept on their roster, all of them. That includes Sleegers, Boshier, and others. Gonsalves, Littell and Thorpe all have a high ceiling. All those left off have some warts...Stewart's lack of results for much of 5 years plus the knee, Diaz is too far away, Burdi's injuries, etc. They will likely clear a spot on the 40-man at the end of spring training when they move May and/or Hughes to the 60-day DL. Having had TJ surgery at the beginning of last season, there is no way May is going to be anywhere other than XSP on April 1st. Personally, I see him spending the first 6 weeks of the year in XSP, then go on a rehab to be ready to rejoin the Twins in June. Could be as a starter, but more likely as a reliever...which wouldn't prohibit him from going back to the rotation in 2019. Moving either to the 60-day will open a spot for any player they want to add who was signed to a minor league contract to the 25-man roster. Do any of the guys left off the 40-man get selected? We will find out in a few weeks. The important thing to remember is that only 20 some guys get picked every year. So the likelihood of losing more than one (or maybe two) of the eight we are all talking about is minimal.
  5. rdehring
    The bigger question for all of us, who will be that surprise that none of us saw being added? Seems almost every year there is some player added we didn't see coming.
  6. rdehring
    Is he really a top 10 talent, Seth? I know lots of people have him there. Personally, I think there are to many questions to put him on the 40, questions that would drop him out of the top 10 in my book.
  7. rdehring
    Right on article Nick, thanks. I am of the opinion that the right course for the Twins is: 1) Get Sano 100% healthy; 2) give him time to be as productive as he can...hopefully better than the 1st half this year; and then, 3) Trade him for a BIG return, including one top young starting pitcher (not a prospect, rather someone with a year or two in the major leagues). In addition to the concerns you stated above, I am concerned with what his conditioning will be like as he ages and his contracts get bigger and longer. I am also concerned with his desire to spend more time in one of the more glamorous market. Finally, I am concerned with the amount he will demand and IF that fits with what the Twins can pay when you also consider all the other contracts they will need to extend for the rest of the team. Don't know when the right time will be to pull the trigger, just know it isn't now. Will it be this July? Or maybe next winter? Will it come before or after you do that first extension?
  8. rdehring
    If added to the 40-man roster, Diaz will burn an option next spring when assigned to the minors and additional options each year he is sent down.
  9. rdehring
    When I responded above, Seth, I was thinking more of the guys like your second tier of players when you did your Rule 5 article. Expect the time to have moved them would have been July. Perhaps we will see more moves in the future now that the new young management has settled in.
  10. rdehring
    Like you Rosterman, I always wonder why we don't see some of these guys moved before we lose them in either the Rule 5 or ML free agency. Perhaps someone knows, but I am guessing there isn't much of a market for these type of trades. Wouldn't help to get somebody's player back who is in the same situation. Anyone have any insight into this problem?
  11. rdehring
    Two pitchers who barring injury will have solid major league careers, plus three young infielders with good upside makes for a bright #16-#20. Doubt there are any future stars in this group, although any of them could surprise us.
  12. rdehring
    Has he ever played regularly for an extended period of time? Even 3/4 of the games for more than a week or two? Until he does, we really won't know what he can do.
  13. rdehring
    My position is that Vargas should be penciled in as the Twins full-time DH while also serving as Maruer's backup at first base. Let's see him get a year with 550-600 PA. If he does, I believe he will perform at a level that the Twins will want him doing that for the next decade. As for Sano possibly needing to be the DH, worry about that when/if it happens.
  14. rdehring
    Not certain Mejia can be counted on.
  15. rdehring
    When I did my annual 40-man roster panic, I thought Jorge was less valuable to the Twins than several pitchers who MUST be added (at least must in my opinion). When I do the same comparison I did for Rosario the other day, I get similar results. For me, that put him at risk of being outrighted to AAA. Doubt the Twins view him the same as I do!
  16. rdehring
    Gets the 40-man roster down to 33. Gives them room to add 6 players while retaining an open spot for the Rule 5 draft. Or will they add 7 and make another move if they want to participate in the Rule 5 draft? Several other candidates to be removed when they sign a couple free agents. Thinking of Boshers, Enns and what to do with Phil Hughes? Or will they strengthen the club via the trade route? Will they add Seth's top 4 plus 2, or 3, of the next group of 4? Will still be some difficult decisions while leaving a few good players exposed to the draft.
  17. rdehring
    If there are 30 players better than this group, the Twins organization is good...really good. Would love to see the Twins move a couple players in the next week so they don't lose several players in the Rule 5 draft. Unfortunately, most teams are facing the same problem and those type of moves probably won't happen.
  18. rdehring
    Great seeing them open spots on the 40-man for what could be as many as 8 players needing to be protected. Expect there are a few more who they may first try to trade, although not certain how successful teams are doing that this time of year. Now that games are behind us, perhaps they could put together a deal to fill one of their needs...a deal that could include someone like Tonkin as a minor part. As for O'Rourke and Turley, they would never be part of a contending Twins team of the future.
  19. rdehring
    Great to see them making these decisions early. To me, Palka was an easy decision. Granite is their 5th outfielder who will begin the season in Rochester. Wade is moving up to be next in line with Rooker hot on his heels. As for Rosario, that could also have been expected. Rosario vs. Stewart, Rosario vs. Thorpe, Rosario vs. Chargois, Rosario vs. Burdi, Rosario vs. Bard, Rosario vs. Littell, Rosario vs. Moya, Rosario vs. Jorge, Rosario vs. Slegers, Rosario vs. Enns. That's 10 pitchers who probably all get the nod ahead of him, and there probably won't be room for all of those 10.
  20. rdehring
    Thanks, Seth, this is always interesting. I have a concern over Mejia. I don't like his lack of mobility, nor how he seems to not be able to go past 4+ or 5 innings. Will he end up a long reliever? Or maybe more of a AAAA guy? Anyway, I am not comfortable with him even penciled into the starting rotation, although I expect I am in a minority. Also, assume all the 2017 salary values are meant to be 2018...time does fly, doesn't it?
  21. rdehring
    Have a question about Diaz, Seth. Does he have to be added this year? MiLB shows him as signing with the Twins on November 21, 2013...two days after his 17th birthday. The rule of thumb I use is that players under 18 have 5 years before they are Rule 5 eligible. For him, that would be 2014, 2015, 2016, 2017 and 2018. Per you rule 1 above, you say signed in 2013 (during the minor league season). If MiLB has his signing date correct, he was not signed until after the season...kind of like the Sano situation a few years ago. Have you checked with the Twins on him? If he isn't eligible, that could also give you room to move the player I would hate to lose the most, Lewis Thorpe, into your 'lock' category.
  22. rdehring
    Vasquez and Morani have too much talent to be 49 and 50, Seth. And by sending him to the AFL, Vasquez is awfully close to becoming a Twin. I don't see how the Twins will have room to add Bard to the 40-man. Not only are there several relievers ahead of him, I count seven starters who should be added (won't be room for all seven). If he isn't added, is it likely he is taken by someone in the Rule 5? By the way, what is Chargois' injury status?
  23. rdehring
    The Twins have an ACE coming, they just have to wait until Lewis Thorpe gets here!
  24. rdehring
    No problem with such an extension, Seth. But I am of the opinion that of all the players talked about, Sano should be at the top of the list to be traded. Perhaps, such an extension would help by giving the buyer a longer term return. Not certain to the timing, although I doubt it should be this winter. Perhaps next July, but probably next winter. My biggest concern is related to his role in the 'chemistry' of the Rosario/Sano/Berrios/Polanco/Buxton/Kepler/Vargas group on the team. If he is that critical leader, my interest in trading him goes down. I believe the Twins are going to have to trade someone to get that young starter every bit as good, or better, than Berrios. Not another prospect, but someone who has one or two very good years under their belt. Toss in another prospect (coming to us) and I would pull the trigger to put the rotation at a championship level. (I am assuming at least one of the guys at AA last year is going to make it big) Why Sano? Too many questions, weight, defensive (he has done better than most of us expected) uncertainties amongst others. Also, he has the potential to be great and should bring the return we need. Could probably get that from he and Buxton and Buxton should not be traded, period! Does he become another Cabrera? Maybe, but not certain I care if we get the right starting pitcher that makes us a contender for the next ten years.
  25. rdehring
    Hate it! Expansion to 32 is ok, but why not keep the structure we have had?
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