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yarnivek1972

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Everything posted by yarnivek1972

  1. yarnivek1972
    I know he’s not the only name you mentioned, but Kohl Stewart has next to zero trade value. I don’t think anyone views him as anything better than a long reliever.
  2. yarnivek1972
    And I’ll wager his manager cringes every time he gets on base. One bad turn around a base, $30 mil down the drain.
  3. yarnivek1972
    My bet on that would be Gibson and Pineda. Of the three, Odorizzi has the highest number of pitches per PA and the lowest swinging strike percentage. In terms of results, they are pretty close to the same. The edge goes to the guys that take you deeper and lessen the burden on the pen. That’s not Odorizzi.
  4. yarnivek1972
    As was mentioned, there is going to have to be some give in the payroll somewhere. I also think Rosario is the more likely trade candidate. He won’t fetch a king’s ransom, but even in this era, a 30 HR OFer controllable for two more years will have value.
  5. yarnivek1972
    The Twins are currently spending about $ 30 mil on the rotation. I would anticipate that being over $ 50 mil in 2020. On the presumption that the “regular” infield will be Cron, Arraez, Sano and Polanco, that’s about $20 mil. Maybe $18-20 mil on the OF unless Buxton or Rosario is dealt for pitching. IMO that is a distinct possibility if they hang onto Rooker. Trading either would drop the OF to $10-$12 mil. Garver is still pre-arb. I think the Twins will probably latch on to a veteran reserve (maybe even Castro) in the $ 4 mil range. Marwin and the rest of the bench for $ 11 mil tops. The Twins front loaded his deal and Cruz adds $ 12 mil. If my math is correct, that’s $117 mil with the current OF, or $ 107 mil if one is traded. So, that leaves about $ 20 - $ 30 mil for the pen. Rogers figures to get about $ 4 mil of that. So, there is room for 2-3 $ 8 mil per year guys.
  6. yarnivek1972
    If he gets healthy reasonably soon he’s probably going to get 25 plus HR with a .320 ish ISO. He doesn’t strike out a ton for a power hitter. No one is saying he’s an all star but he’s a pretty solid veteran first baseman that slots very nicely into the lineup. As for salary, I don’t see him topping $ 9 mil in 2020. That would double his 2019 salary. Anyone “better” isn’t going to be cheaper and I doubt anyone cheaper will be better.
  7. yarnivek1972
    Of course that would be one way, not round trip.
  8. yarnivek1972
    But the Yankees, Red Sox, Cardinals, Dodgers and other teams on the no trade list are perrenial contenders. So, clearly going to a winner isn’t necesarily what is important to him. As for what “compensation” it might take, I suppose it is impossible to say. Greinke has to know that at his age there is no team that is going to extend him past the two more years he is already under contract.
  9. yarnivek1972
    For most of the members of this forum? Probably true. However, this was posted on the public Twins Daily site as an article. I’m pretty sure those are read by plenty of people that aren’t members of the forum and that probably would describe themselves as a more casual fan. Pretty good chance they don’t know that.
  10. yarnivek1972
    Greinke also doesn’t have much incentive to waive his no trade clause. Maybe it is personal against the Twins. You don’t know that it isn’t. Calling it not much of a factor is foolish IMO. A lot of the teams on his no trade list are perrenial contenders. So, clearly having a chance to go to a better team isn’t his top priority or those teams wouldn’t be on it. Maybe he likes it in Arizona. The point still remains that if one is going to write an article about a potential trade target it would seem to me that that player having a “no trade” list with the Twins listed on it is pertinent.
  11. yarnivek1972
    Nice article. Until the point that it fails to mention that the Twins are on Greinke’s no-trade list. That’s not insurmountable, but usually the team is going to have to offer some kind of incentive to get the player to waive it. I certainly have zero interest in giving a 36 year old an extension. Not sure what other incentive there is to offer.
  12. yarnivek1972
    That is supposed to be one of the roles of the veteran catcher on the roster. Which brings up a completely unrelated topic. How comfortable should the Twins be with only Garver and Astudillo as catchers next year? They have combined for fewer than 200 games caught at the MLB level. Veteran MLB catchers aren’t particularly hard to find and stash at AAA however.
  13. yarnivek1972
    I think we’ll be seeing Romo get the 9th inning most days with a lead (esp with RHB due) and Rogers pitching in the 7th or 8th as the “fireman”. It’s kinda weird that he has a 14% swinging strike rate but a k per 9 under 9. The league as a whole has a k per 9 of 8.8.
  14. yarnivek1972
    I’m not talking about MLB worthiness. I’m talking about availability. Right now, for today’s game the only adequately rested reliever is Trevor May. Harper has thrown 3 straight days. Duffey has 30 pitches in the last two. Rogers 34 in the last two. Thorpe threw 40 on Monday. Stashak 30 yesterday. All 5 of those guys are for sure “no go” today. Even Parker and Stewart threw around 20 yesterday. They could possibly go 1 today, but neither is going to help in high leverage, if such a situation arises.
  15. yarnivek1972
    I don’t think Rogers has been overused. Maybe in July. His 10 IP this month doesn’t sound like a lot, but keep in mind almost everyone had 4 days off. Of the handful of guys with more relief IP than Rogers this month none of them have any saves or even holds. Which suggests mop up or long relievers as opposed to high leverage. He isn’t even top 50 in games relieved and he’s not top 20 in relief IP overall in 2019. The A’s have two guys in the top 5 for relief IP and two more just behind Rogers. If they don’t get those guys some rest, they will have nothing left in October. Not saying the Twins don’t need bullpen help. They clearly do. But Rogers’ usage so far has been managed pretty well.
  16. yarnivek1972
    I could see Duffey, Harper, Stashak and Stewart all being sent out. For sure none of them are available today. But I don’t think the Twins have 4 guys to bring up. Certainly not on the 40 man.
  17. yarnivek1972
    Twins have 4 players with at least 20 HR. Before July 25.
  18. yarnivek1972
    I love this logic. He’s not very good but he’s going to fetch a “great return”. It doesn’t work that way.
  19. yarnivek1972
    Nelson Cruz was a 2.9 bWAR player last year. He’s not making over $20 mil.
  20. yarnivek1972
    There aren’t 162 games left. And no one is talking about using that strategy in the playoffs. You can use almost everyone every game in the playoffs if you have to because there are never more than 3 games without an off day.
  21. yarnivek1972
    The 2018 Twins last day above .500 was April 20. Molitor may have been asking for help, but “good” help was never going to happen. Trading assets to supplement a bad team for the short term makes zero sense.
  22. yarnivek1972
    Or February.
  23. yarnivek1972
    I don’t consider 7 relievers to be “undermanned”. Especially when 2-3 can be easily swapped out for a fresh arm from AAA. What the bullpen lacks is guys that can consistently get hitters out in high leverage situations.
  24. yarnivek1972
    Possibly both. For whom is difficult to say without knowing who worked when in AAA. For sure neither would be available tomorrow. Littell has worked 3 straight days.
  25. yarnivek1972
    Since May became a full time reliever, he has only thrown more than 40 pitches once before. In a game in which the teams combined for more than 20 runs.
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