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nicksaviking

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Everything posted by nicksaviking

  1. nicksaviking
    He's been scouted a ton in the last couple of months with various showcases. He may be unknown to most of us as surely the scouts are keeping tight lips about their thoughts on him, but I don't think agent hype alone is going to get him $100 million. Odrisamier Despaigne, Miguel Alfredo Gonzalez, Alexander Guerrero and Erisbal Arrueberrena are all recent Cuban imports who were originally tabbed for much larger paydays by fans and the media before their showcases caused teams to lose some interest. I think teams at least have a passable assesment on these guys at this point.
  2. nicksaviking
    Jerry Crasnick says Masterson is finding a very active market for his services. https://twitter.com/jcrasnick/status/534361908334587905 Mark Polishuk at MLBTR extrapolates a bit about the known suitors: http://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2014/11/multiple-teams-interested-in-justin-masterson.html My favorite line: "The six teams Crasnick lists present an interesting array of suitors, incorporating the two pennant winners, three teams looking to return to contention in 2015 and the rebuilding Twins..." For the record, one of the "three teams looking to return to contention in 2015" is the Cubs. The Twins can't even keep company with the Cubs these days!
  3. nicksaviking
    I don't know, if we ran into ourselves 25 years ago and our younger version was talking about how the best player in baseball led the league in RBI, batting average or runs, we'd probably tell our past self to get real as those numbers were a bit of a sham and the real indicators hadn't been invented yet.
  4. nicksaviking
    Well the assumption is that Masterson will only get/request a 1-year deal. That says two things. First, Ryan has had no problem cutting bait on players on the final year of their deals, so if he stinks, I don't think he'll block anyone, he'll go to the pen, get released or traded. Second, it says that Masterson and his camp don't believe his damage is irreversable. A truely damaged goods pitcher would probably take even a low AAV in exchange for multiple years. Otherwise I agree with you. I don't want any more back of the rotation, multi-year contracts blocking May or Meyer.
  5. nicksaviking
    Seems like fair value for both sides, but I think St. Louis came out ahead. They needed another OF and got one with strong defensive and offensive value. They gave up a nice young pitcher, but they have a lot of nice young pitching. The Braves also seem to have a lot of nice young pitching and they also seem to have offensive needs. Even if the players are a push skill-wise, it looks like St. Louis filled a hole while dealing from a strength, while Atlanta did the opposite.
  6. nicksaviking
    If they want to play hardball, Swarzak is my final offer.
  7. nicksaviking
    I like Masterson, as I'm a "high ceiling, I don't give a damn about the floor" kind of guy. I actually think Hunter may have been a good sign the previous years under Gardy. There seemed to be a leadership void, and I would have taken him just for his clubhouse presence. Some may argue that his leadership skills tend toward the selfish side, but hey, Hitler sure as hell made a fine army out of those Germans. I don't think there is as much of a leadership void now though. Dozier seems to have taken the reigns and who knows what the dynamic will be with a new manager. I liked seeing the young Latin players at the top of the dugout most of the games, I think Vargas, Santana and/or Arcia may turn into a field general. I hope it's not Rommel, but he did get results.
  8. nicksaviking
    You may be right about Thomas, but I think you are way over-valuing Rasmus. We're talking about a guy who's had a sub .740 OPS in four of his six seasons, and his defense is below average. He'd be a 4th OF for most contending clubs. Getting Rasmus shouldn't be an alternative to getting Tomas, getting Rasmus should be an alternative to playing Jordan Schafer.
  9. nicksaviking
    Are we all talking about the same Michael Saunders? The one in Seattle can't get on base consistantly and only once posted an OPS over .740 which happened last year while playing in only half his games because he can't stay healthy. That abbreviated season was also the only time in the last three years he posted a postive UZR if people are looking at him to upgrade the OF defense. Don't forget a contending team is looking to trade him because they think his offseason workout habits are "lackidasical." It seems like the Twins haven't had the best track record with injury prone players who's offseason work habits are called into question. 27 isn't an old player normally, but it seems pretty old for a guy who gets back and shoulder injuries. I'd give them Duensing. That's it.
  10. nicksaviking
    My initial thought was, well not a damn one of them. Then I realized 2015 is next year already. Who needs to be back: None Who will be back: Parmelee, Nunez, Duensing, Pryor and Theilbar. Herrmann and Fryer will pass through waivers and resign with the club, Thompson will get claimed and Swarzak and Colabello will be released and look for new homes.
  11. nicksaviking
    Good point, but a WAR gained/lost table could just as easily be created. Not be me of course, I've got plenty of work I have to pretend I'm doing.
  12. nicksaviking
    Good stuff. This could be very useful. Since WAR is a cumulative stat we would probably also need to see the number of trades made. If Detroit gets half of their roster by trade, WAR will likely be higher for instance.
  13. nicksaviking
    No need to get antsy, I'm sure the Twins are considering bringing back Tyner.
  14. nicksaviking
    It's safe to say the Royals are one of the "unlikely" teams that are going after Tomas. They are currently working him out at a number of positions. After they beat the A's in the play-in game I said I was torn. I wanted to cheer for the underdog, but I was also jealous that a team that has historically been a doormat was going to put my favorite team's futility in an even brighter light. If they gave out a large contract to an external player, that light would shine even brighter.
  15. nicksaviking
    I'd be fine if they give it a try. But really, it's more about trying things they've never done before regardless of which other teams are doing it.
  16. nicksaviking
    Which is the problem. The freshmen who only hang out with the two guys they knew from high school don't enjoy college, end up dropping out and miss out on all the cool stuff the rest of the folks on campus can bring to the table, the good, the reckless and the eye-opening. Comfort should have ZERO influence on these decisions, in fact, doing something uncomfortable is usually the only way you'll ever experience new things.
  17. nicksaviking
    How about a Delmon?
  18. nicksaviking
    If Tomas and the rest of the Cubans that follow turn out to not be as good as their predecessors, then the Twins need to look themselves in the mirror and finally decide they can no longer afford to follow trends but instead create them. At minimum, Oakland was instrumental in these transactions, there should be nothing Oakland can do that the Twins cannot unless resistance to innovation is insurmountable.
  19. nicksaviking
    It would be great it he developed like Brady Anderson, however in today's MLB, that production would be accompanied by an ensuing 50 game suspension. Schafer looks an awful lot like Alex Presley to me.
  20. nicksaviking
    Well that's not the majority of the scouts. Abreu wasn't supposed to be anywhere near the hitter than Puig was and Puig wasn't supposed to have talent anywhere near what Cespedes had. It's all a leap of faith at this point. Someone's going to have mud on their face eventually with these Cubans, and with the Twins luck, it will be them if they finally take the plunge, but so far, the success rate of these guys is leaps and bounds ahead of every other means of procuring talent.
  21. nicksaviking
    I just want them to prove that they are willing to try things that may make them feel uncomfortable. I hate to say it's symbolic, but largely it is. This club is one of the most risk-adverse clubs in all of professional sports and a lot of us don't believe you can win a championship when you have such a severe level of trepidation about every move you make. Continuing to hire candidates you or the organization is intimately familiar with over putting your trust in a new face just seems like an extension of this resistance to change. I don't think any of us think these hires aren't qualified people, but at some point we need to see this team take a trust fall.
  22. nicksaviking
    Ok, but what should the mid market teams that struggle to find traditional free agent talent and have issues developing MLB talent do? I wish the Twins could do what St. Louis is doing, but they're not. If they were serious about doing things the way succesful comparable teams are doing things, they probably would be looking to hire some on field and off field personalities from different organizations. They aren't, which implies they still want to do things their way. Perhaps their way should include some higher priced international players. You've got to try something different.
  23. nicksaviking
    I like Viola, he'd probably be a good pitching coach. I like Molitor, I liked seeing Brunansky and Steinbach back, I like Glynn getting called up to the big staff and I'm happy for Rudy Hernandez after all the time he's put into this game. Danny Gladden and Bert Blyleven may not be very good at their jobs, but I still like them, they remind me of watching games when I was younger. I enjoyed seeing Jason Kubel, Jason Bartlett and Matt Guerrier one last time also. All that being said, I don't think it's unfair to ask why Ryan and company make nearly all their hires based on some level of organizational relationship.
  24. nicksaviking
    Tim Dierkes Tweeted that Yasmany Thomas is meeting with four teams and that three of those teams would typically be considered "very unlikely" to sign him. https://twitter.com/timdierkes/status/533010714697666560 Logic would say that the fourth team, or the non-unlikely suitor will win out, but I say it's time to get our hopes up unreasonably high and open ourselves up to the possibility that he's coming to Minnesota. Screw our internal defense mechanisms built to protect us from crushed dreams! Let's get the rampant speculation machine rolling!
  25. nicksaviking
    Detroit is going to get bad, real quick. Still, it's hard to complain about their method as they are attempting to put together a WS winning caliber team each year. They have some bad contracts that will run 4-5 more years. Even if their collapse begins this year, their nadir likely won't be any longer than the current drought the Twins are in and at least they went all out trying to win the championship before their inevitable implosion. Sure they don't have a farm, but Detroit doesn't rely on their farm and they haven't in a long time. When they shake the restraints of the current burdonsome contracts, they'll go right back to trades and free agency to rebuild, which may actually be a safer bet and a quicker fix than relying on the prospects.
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